Inter v Shakhtar Donetsk

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Inter win at 76%.
2. 1′KICK-OFF Inter v Shakhtar Donetsk
3. 2′Much as we predicted: Inter was 76% before kick-off and our model makes it 75% now. 0–0 · 75–16–9
4. 24′7 shots for Inter, 2 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 0–0 · 69–21–10
5. 30′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 30' Inter win: 76% at kick-off, 66% now
6. 33′SUBSTITUTION · 32' Shakhtar Donetsk · On: Egor Nazaryna · Off: Pedrinho
7. 35′We said Inter at 76%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 64%. 0–0 · 64–25–11
8. 36′🟨 YELLOW · 36' Oleg Ocheretko · Shakhtar Donetsk
9. 45′We said Inter at 76%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 59%. 0–0 · 59–30–11
10. 45′SECOND HALF Inter 0–0 Shakhtar Donetsk
11. 47′HALF-TIME Inter 0–0 Shakhtar Donetsk
12. 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 50' Inter win: 76% at kick-off, 56% now
13. 53′We said Inter at 76%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 54%. 0–0 · 54–35–11
14. 55′We expected about 3.3 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 53–36–11
15. 55′🟨 YELLOW · 54' Marcus Thuram · Inter
16. 59′We said Inter at 76%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 49%. 0–0 · 49–40–11
17. 60′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Inter · On: Yann Bisseck · Off: Federico Dimarco
18. 60′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Inter · On: Andy Diouf · Off: Djed Spence
19. 60′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Inter · On: Piotr Zieliński · Off: Hakan Çalhanoğlu
20. 63′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 63' Inter win: 76% at kick-off, 46% now
21. 65′We said Inter at 76%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 44%. 0–0 · 44–46–10
22. 67′THE CALL SWINGS · 67' Draw is now our likeliest result at 48% (was Inter win 45%)
23. 67′🟨 YELLOW · 66' Alessandro Bastoni · Inter
24. 69′We said Inter at 76%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 39–51–10
25. 69′🟥 RED CARD · 69' Inter
26. 70′A red card for Inter on 68′. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 0–0 · 38–53–9
27. 70′🟨 YELLOW · 68' Marlon Gomes · Shakhtar Donetsk
28. 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 72' Inter win: 76% at kick-off, 36% now
29. 73′We said Inter at 76%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–57–9
30. 73′🟨 YELLOW · 72' Petar Sučić · Inter
31. 74′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Shakhtar Donetsk · On: Isaque · Off: Oleg Ocheretko
32. 74′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Shakhtar Donetsk · On: Newerton · Off: Gleiker Mendoza
33. 74′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Shakhtar Donetsk · On: Lassina Traore · Off: Kauã Elias
34. 74′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Inter · On: Luis Henrique · Off: Petar Sučić
35. 76′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Inter · On: Henrikh Mkhitaryan · Off: Ange-Yoan Bonny
36. 77′We published Inter at 76%. Our model now makes it 93%. 1–0 · 93–7–0
37. 77′⚽ GOAL · 77' Inter 1–0 Shakhtar Donetsk
38. 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 77' Inter win: 76% at kick-off, 93% now
39. 77′THE CALL SWINGS · 77' Inter win is now our likeliest result at 93% (was Draw 64%)
40. 78′77′: Carlos Augusto on the scoresheet for Inter, making it 1–0. 1–0 · 93–7–0
41. 82′We published Inter at 76%. Our model now makes it 95%. 1–0 · 95–5–0
42. 84′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 84' Inter win: 76% at kick-off, 96% now
43. 84′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Shakhtar Donetsk · On: Bruno Braga Ramos · Off: Alisson
44. FTFULL TIME Inter 1–0 Shakhtar Donetsk
45. FTInter 1–0 Shakhtar Donetsk · Inter win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 2–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.