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Feyenoord v Como

Feyenoord
3–2Full time
Como

UEFA Champions League · WED 14 OCT · Stadion Feijenoord

Full timeGraded 14 Oct 20:30
Feyenoord 3–2 Como COMO WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Como win42%
The market said45%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.683
The market’s Brier score0.749

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay11 notes · 29 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Como win at 42%.
  2. 0′Little has changed for our model: Como 42% before kick-off, 42% now. 0–0 · 34–24–42
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Feyenoord v Como
  4. 17′Assane Diao Diaoune scores for Como on 18′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 13–19–68
  5. 17′⚽ GOAL · 18' Feyenoord 0–1 Como · Assane Diao Diaoune
  6. 17′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 17' Como win: 42% at kick-off, 68% now
  7. 19′We said Como at 42% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 68%. 0–1 · 13–20–68
  8. 20′20′ and it is 1–1: Gjivai Zechiel on the scoresheet for Feyenoord. 1–1 · 32–28–40
  9. 20′⚽ GOAL · 20' Feyenoord 1–1 Como · Gjivai Zechiel
  10. 20′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 20' Como win: 42% at kick-off, 40% now
  11. 23′SUBSTITUTION · 23' Como · On: Jesús Rodríguez · Off: Assane Diao Diaoune
  12. 45′THE CALL SWINGS · 45' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Como win 33%)
  13. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Feyenoord · On: Gaoussou Kyassou Diarra · Off: Luciano Valente
  14. 45′SECOND HALF Feyenoord 1–1 Como
  15. 49′The goal count is tracking the 3.0 we expected. 1–1 · 28–39–33
  16. 50′🟨 YELLOW · 50' Gaoussou Kyassou Diarra · Feyenoord
  17. 51′We said Como at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 2–1 · 68–23–9
  18. 51′⚽ GOAL · 51' Feyenoord 2–1 Como · Gjivai Zechiel
  19. 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 51' Como win: 42% at kick-off, 9% now
  20. 51′THE CALL SWINGS · 51' Feyenoord win is now our likeliest result at 68% (was Draw 23%)
  21. 52′Feyenoord ahead on 52′ through Anis Hadj Moussa. 2–1. 2–1 · 68–23–9
  22. 53′3 goals already, more than the 3.0 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 68–23–9
  23. 56′🟨 YELLOW · 57' Ivan Smolcic · Como
  24. 60′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Como · On: Anastasios Douvikas · Off: Kaiki Bruno
  25. 60′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Como · On: Yan Couto · Off: Ivan Smolcic
  26. 60′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Como · On: Lucas Da Cunha · Off: Luis Milla
  27. 60′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Como · On: Lucas Da Cunha · Off: Luis Milla
  28. 68′We said Como at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 2–1 · 76–20–4
  29. 69′🟨 YELLOW · 69' Jacobo Ramón · Como
  30. 74′🟨 YELLOW · 74' Lucas Da Cunha · Como
  31. 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 75' Como win: 42% at kick-off, 2% now
  32. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Feyenoord · On: Tsuyoshi Watanabe · Off: Jeremiah St. Juste
  33. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Feyenoord · On: Tobias van den Elshout · Off: Nacho Ferri
  34. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Como · On: Mattia Liberali · Off: Martin Baturina
  35. 81′⚽ GOAL · 82' Feyenoord 3–1 Como · Robert Sanchez
  36. 83′Robert Sanchez scores for Feyenoord on 81′ — 3–1. 3–1 · 99–1–0
  37. 83′🟨 YELLOW · 84' Givairo Read · Feyenoord
  38. 84′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.0 across ninety minutes. 3–1 · 100–0–0
  39. 91′SUBSTITUTION · 91' Feyenoord · On: Jerayno Schaken · Off: Anis Hadj Moussa
  40. 92′⚽ GOAL · 92' Feyenoord 3–2 Como · Assane Diao Diaoune
  41. FTFULL TIME Feyenoord 3–2 Como
  42. FTFeyenoord 3–2 Como · Como win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass
Example · Everton v Chelsea · written before kick-off

Chelsea are slight favourites, but Everton are close behind.

Chelsea are our model’s narrow favourites at 38%, with Everton at 35% and the draw at 27%. Chelsea remain below an even chance: this is a slight lean towards the visitors, not a strong likelihood.

Everton are at home and unbeaten in the 2026/27 Premier League: two wins and four draws from six matches, earning 10 points, scoring eight and conceding five.

The AI’s read on Feyenoord v ComoBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

Published 14 Oct 16:59 · locked at kick-off

Feyenoord win33%
Draw25%
Como win42%

Kick-offWED 14 OCT · 17:45

VenueStadion Feijenoord

RefereeDonatas Rumsas

Line-ups

Feyenoord

4-3-3

Como

4-2-3-1

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Feyenoord

Como

35Days since last match34
0Matches in previous 14 days0

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#TEAMPGDPTS
6Como133
33Feyenoord1-40

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Feyenoord

4-3-3

1 T. Ernst

26 G. Read

6 J. St. Juste

35 Mika Màrmol

16 Javi López

8 G. Zechiël

34 C. Vanhoutte

28 O. Targhalline

23 A. Hadj-Moussa

19 Nacho Ferri

10 L. Valente

Coach · G. van Bronckhorst

Substitutes

11 · Gonçalo Borges

36 · J. Zinhagel

39 · L. Bossin

20 · M. Deijl

27 · G. Diarra

33 · F. Kastenmeier

24 · T. Kraaijeveld

57 · J. Schaken

14 · S. Steijn

22 · T. van den Elshout

4 · T. Watanabe

32 · T. Wessels

Como

4-2-3-1

97 Robert Sánchez

28 I. Smolčić

4 Jacobo Ramón Naveros

99 T. Chalobah

3 Álex Valle

6 Luis Milla

5 M. Perrone

11 Assane Diao

20 M. Baturina

16 Kaiki

10 N. Paz

Coach · Cesc Fàbregas

Substitutes

17 · Jesús Rodríguez

21 · S. Ricci

30 · M. Liberali

2 · M. Kempf

12 · Lorenzo Luigi Ginelli

9 · T. Douvikas

13 · A. Dossena

7 · L. da Cunha

27 · Yan Couto

1 · J. Butez

Our number · como winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · updated 14 Oct 16:59 · locked at kick-off
42% The market45%
Us42%
Market45%

We make Como a 42% chance to win. The market has them at 45%. We are 3 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.4–1.6.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Feyenoord v Como1.38 – 1.58
Last six in UEFA Champions LeagueW1 D1 L4 · W1 D0 L0
Table places · points 0 v 333 v 6
The market · Como win45% · ours 42%

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
40%45%50%55% 9 OCT 06:2114 OCT 15:48
Our probability · como win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 51% to 45% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Feyenoord win33%30%+3
Draw25%25%0
Como win42%45%−3
Over 2.5 goals57%63%−6
Both teams to score60%65%−5
Over 1.5 goals80%82%−2
Over 3.5 goals34%43%−8
Feyenoord or draw58%55%+3
Feyenoord clean sheet21%––
Como clean sheet25%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.7%
0123450 5.5 7.8 6.4 3.4 1 6.8 11.7 8.9 4.7 2 5.0 7.8 6.2 3.2 3 2.3 3.6 2.8 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Feyenoord down, Como across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No meetings between these two in UEFA Champions League since 2021. Cup ties and meetings in other competitions are not counted here.

Form · last six in UEFA Champions League

FEYENOORD

DLLWLL1–1 · 0–2 · 1–2 · 2–1 · 2–5 · 1–5

COMO

W4–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Barcelona276
2Sporting CP246
3Arsenal246
4Bayern München254
5Paris Saint Germain153
6Como133
7Manchester United223
8VfB Stuttgart123
9Manchester City123
10Villarreal213
11Aston Villa113
12Real Betis113
13Atletico Madrid213
14Borussia Dortmund113
15Liverpool113
16Real Madrid113
17AEK Athens FC113
18Club Brugge KV203
19Lens2-13
20RB Leipzig2-23
21Sabah FA2-23
22AS Roma101
23Shakhtar Donetsk101
24Fenerbahçe101
25PSV Eindhoven2-11
26Viking2-21
27Lask Linz1-10
28Inter2-20
29FC Porto1-20
30Slavia Praha2-30
31Napoli2-30
32Lille2-40
33Feyenoord1-40
34Galatasaray2-50
35Slovan Bratislava1-50
36Bodo/Glimt1-50

The competition's standings.