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Feyenoord v Como
Feyenoord
ComoUEFA Champions League · WED 14 OCT · Stadion Feijenoord
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Como win at 42%.
- 0′Little has changed for our model: Como 42% before kick-off, 42% now. 0–0 · 34–24–42
- 1′KICK-OFF Feyenoord v Como
- 17′Assane Diao Diaoune scores for Como on 18′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 13–19–68
- 17′⚽ GOAL · 18' Feyenoord 0–1 Como · Assane Diao Diaoune
- 17′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 17' Como win: 42% at kick-off, 68% now
- 19′We said Como at 42% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 68%. 0–1 · 13–20–68
- 20′20′ and it is 1–1: Gjivai Zechiel on the scoresheet for Feyenoord. 1–1 · 32–28–40
- 20′⚽ GOAL · 20' Feyenoord 1–1 Como · Gjivai Zechiel
- 20′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 20' Como win: 42% at kick-off, 40% now
- 23′SUBSTITUTION · 23' Como · On: Jesús Rodríguez · Off: Assane Diao Diaoune
- 45′THE CALL SWINGS · 45' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Como win 33%)
- 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Feyenoord · On: Gaoussou Kyassou Diarra · Off: Luciano Valente
- 45′SECOND HALF Feyenoord 1–1 Como
- 49′The goal count is tracking the 3.0 we expected. 1–1 · 28–39–33
- 50′🟨 YELLOW · 50' Gaoussou Kyassou Diarra · Feyenoord
- 51′We said Como at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 2–1 · 68–23–9
- 51′⚽ GOAL · 51' Feyenoord 2–1 Como · Gjivai Zechiel
- 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 51' Como win: 42% at kick-off, 9% now
- 51′THE CALL SWINGS · 51' Feyenoord win is now our likeliest result at 68% (was Draw 23%)
- 52′Feyenoord ahead on 52′ through Anis Hadj Moussa. 2–1. 2–1 · 68–23–9
- 53′3 goals already, more than the 3.0 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 68–23–9
- 56′🟨 YELLOW · 57' Ivan Smolcic · Como
- 60′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Como · On: Anastasios Douvikas · Off: Kaiki Bruno
- 60′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Como · On: Yan Couto · Off: Ivan Smolcic
- 60′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Como · On: Lucas Da Cunha · Off: Luis Milla
- 60′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Como · On: Lucas Da Cunha · Off: Luis Milla
- 68′We said Como at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 2–1 · 76–20–4
- 69′🟨 YELLOW · 69' Jacobo Ramón · Como
- 74′🟨 YELLOW · 74' Lucas Da Cunha · Como
- 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 75' Como win: 42% at kick-off, 2% now
- 79′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Feyenoord · On: Tsuyoshi Watanabe · Off: Jeremiah St. Juste
- 79′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Feyenoord · On: Tobias van den Elshout · Off: Nacho Ferri
- 79′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Como · On: Mattia Liberali · Off: Martin Baturina
- 81′⚽ GOAL · 82' Feyenoord 3–1 Como · Robert Sanchez
- 83′Robert Sanchez scores for Feyenoord on 81′ — 3–1. 3–1 · 99–1–0
- 83′🟨 YELLOW · 84' Givairo Read · Feyenoord
- 84′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.0 across ninety minutes. 3–1 · 100–0–0
- 91′SUBSTITUTION · 91' Feyenoord · On: Jerayno Schaken · Off: Anis Hadj Moussa
- 92′⚽ GOAL · 92' Feyenoord 3–2 Como · Assane Diao Diaoune
- FTFULL TIME Feyenoord 3–2 Como
- FTFeyenoord 3–2 Como · Como win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassChelsea are slight favourites, but Everton are close behind.
Chelsea are our model’s narrow favourites at 38%, with Everton at 35% and the draw at 27%. Chelsea remain below an even chance: this is a slight lean towards the visitors, not a strong likelihood.
Everton are at home and unbeaten in the 2026/27 Premier League: two wins and four draws from six matches, earning 10 points, scoring eight and conceding five.
Pre-match prediction
Published 14 Oct 16:59 · locked at kick-off
Feyenoord win33%
Como win42%Kick-offWED 14 OCT · 17:45
VenueStadion Feijenoord
RefereeDonatas Rumsas
Match timeline
All events
FeyenoordMIN
ComoEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Feyenoord
4-3-3
Como
4-2-3-1
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · this competition
Feyenoord
Como
Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.
Line-ups
Feyenoord
4-3-3
1 T. Ernst
26 G. Read
6 J. St. Juste
35 Mika Màrmol
16 Javi López
8 G. Zechiël
34 C. Vanhoutte
28 O. Targhalline
23 A. Hadj-Moussa
19 Nacho Ferri
10 L. Valente
Coach · G. van Bronckhorst
Substitutes
11 · Gonçalo Borges
36 · J. Zinhagel
39 · L. Bossin
20 · M. Deijl
27 · G. Diarra
33 · F. Kastenmeier
24 · T. Kraaijeveld
57 · J. Schaken
14 · S. Steijn
22 · T. van den Elshout
4 · T. Watanabe
32 · T. Wessels
Como
4-2-3-1
97 Robert Sánchez
28 I. Smolčić
4 Jacobo Ramón Naveros
99 T. Chalobah
3 Álex Valle
6 Luis Milla
5 M. Perrone
11 Assane Diao
20 M. Baturina
16 Kaiki
10 N. Paz
Coach · Cesc Fàbregas
Substitutes
17 · Jesús Rodríguez
21 · S. Ricci
30 · M. Liberali
2 · M. Kempf
12 · Lorenzo Luigi Ginelli
9 · T. Douvikas
13 · A. Dossena
7 · L. da Cunha
27 · Yan Couto
1 · J. Butez
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Feyenoord
4-3-3
1 T. Ernst
26 G. Read
6 J. St. Juste
35 Mika Màrmol
16 Javi López
8 G. Zechiël
34 C. Vanhoutte
28 O. Targhalline
23 A. Hadj-Moussa
19 Nacho Ferri
10 L. Valente
Coach · G. van Bronckhorst
Substitutes
11 · Gonçalo Borges
36 · J. Zinhagel
39 · L. Bossin
20 · M. Deijl
27 · G. Diarra
33 · F. Kastenmeier
24 · T. Kraaijeveld
57 · J. Schaken
14 · S. Steijn
22 · T. van den Elshout
4 · T. Watanabe
32 · T. Wessels
Como
4-2-3-1
97 Robert Sánchez
28 I. Smolčić
4 Jacobo Ramón Naveros
99 T. Chalobah
3 Álex Valle
6 Luis Milla
5 M. Perrone
11 Assane Diao
20 M. Baturina
16 Kaiki
10 N. Paz
Coach · Cesc Fàbregas
Substitutes
17 · Jesús Rodríguez
21 · S. Ricci
30 · M. Liberali
2 · M. Kempf
12 · Lorenzo Luigi Ginelli
9 · T. Douvikas
13 · A. Dossena
7 · L. da Cunha
27 · Yan Couto
1 · J. Butez
We make Como a 42% chance to win. The market has them at 45%. We are 3 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.4–1.6.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 51% to 45% in the same time.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feyenoord win | 33% | 30% | +3 |
| Draw | 25% | 25% | 0 |
| Como win | 42% | 45% | −3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 63% | −6 |
| Both teams to score | 60% | 65% | −5 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% | 82% | −2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34% | 43% | −8 |
| Feyenoord or draw | 58% | 55% | +3 |
| Feyenoord clean sheet | 21% | – | – |
| Como clean sheet | 25% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
0 meetings since 2021No meetings between these two in UEFA Champions League since 2021. Cup ties and meetings in other competitions are not counted here.
Form · last six in UEFA Champions League
FEYENOORD
COMO
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 2 | 7 | 6 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Arsenal | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 4 | Bayern München | 2 | 5 | 4 |
| 5 | Paris Saint Germain | 1 | 5 | 3 |
| 6 | Como | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 7 | Manchester United | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | VfB Stuttgart | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | Manchester City | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Villarreal | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | Aston Villa | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 12 | Real Betis | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 13 | Atletico Madrid | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 14 | Borussia Dortmund | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 15 | Liverpool | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 16 | Real Madrid | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 17 | AEK Athens FC | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 18 | Club Brugge KV | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 19 | Lens | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 20 | RB Leipzig | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 21 | Sabah FA | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 22 | AS Roma | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 23 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 24 | Fenerbahçe | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 25 | PSV Eindhoven | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 26 | Viking | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 27 | Lask Linz | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 28 | Inter | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 29 | FC Porto | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 30 | Slavia Praha | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 31 | Napoli | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 32 | Lille | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 33 | Feyenoord | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 34 | Galatasaray | 2 | -5 | 0 |
| 35 | Slovan Bratislava | 1 | -5 | 0 |
| 36 | Bodo/Glimt | 1 | -5 | 0 |
The competition's standings.
Barcelona
Sporting CP
Arsenal
Bayern München
Paris Saint Germain
Manchester United
VfB Stuttgart
Manchester City
Villarreal
Aston Villa
Real Betis
Atletico Madrid
Borussia Dortmund
Liverpool
Real Madrid
AEK Athens FC
Club Brugge KV
Lens
RB Leipzig
Sabah FA
AS Roma
Shakhtar Donetsk
Fenerbahçe
PSV Eindhoven
Viking
Lask Linz
Inter
FC Porto
Slavia Praha
Napoli
Lille
Galatasaray
Slovan Bratislava
Bodo/Glimt