Fenerbahçe v Slavia Praha

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Fenerbahçe win at 46%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Fenerbahçe 46% before kick-off, 46% now. 0–0 · 46–25–29
3. 1′KICK-OFF Fenerbahçe v Slavia Praha
4. 5′Fenerbahçe ahead on 4′ through Oğuz Aydın. 1–0. 1–0 · 71–17–12
5. 5′⚽ GOAL · 4' Fenerbahçe 1–0 Slavia Praha · Oğuz Aydın
6. 5′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 5' Fenerbahçe win: 46% at kick-off, 71% now
7. 6′We said Fenerbahçe at 46% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 71%. 1–0 · 71–17–12
8. 12′Mason Greenwood scores for Fenerbahçe on 11′ — 2–0. 2–0 · 89–8–3
9. 12′⚽ GOAL · 11' Fenerbahçe 2–0 Slavia Praha · Mason Greenwood
10. 12′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 12' Fenerbahçe win: 46% at kick-off, 89% now
11. 13′We said Fenerbahçe at 46% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 89%. 2–0 · 89–8–3
12. 15′15′: Lukáš Provod on the scoresheet for Slavia Praha, making it 2–1. 2–1 · 71–18–11
13. 15′⚽ GOAL · 15' Fenerbahçe 2–1 Slavia Praha · Lukáš Provod
14. 15′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 15' Fenerbahçe win: 46% at kick-off, 71% now
15. 22′SUBSTITUTION · 21' Fenerbahçe · On: Kojo Peprah Oppong · Off: Nathan Aké
16. 30′3 goals already, more than the 2.9 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 72–18–9
17. 32′🟨 YELLOW · 31' N'Golo Kanté · Fenerbahçe
18. 45′HALF-TIME Fenerbahçe 2–1 Slavia Praha
19. 46′SECOND HALF Fenerbahçe 2–1 Slavia Praha
20. 47′We said Fenerbahçe at 46% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 2–1 · 75–19–7
21. 50′🟨 YELLOW · 49' Milan Škriniar · Fenerbahçe
22. 52′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 52' Fenerbahçe win: 46% at kick-off, 76% now
23. 60′🟨 YELLOW · 60' Wiktor Nowak · Slavia Praha
24. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Slavia Praha · On: Mojmír Chytil · Off: Danijel Sturm
25. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Slavia Praha · On: Samuel Isife · Off: Tomáš Vlček
26. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Fenerbahçe · On: Romelu Lukaku · Off: Vedat Muriqi
27. 64′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Fenerbahçe · On: Nene Dorgeles · Off: Oğuz Aydın
28. 66′We said Fenerbahçe at 46% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 2–1 · 80–17–3
29. 69′🟨 YELLOW · 69' Jindřich Trpišovský · Slavia Praha
30. 70′🟨 YELLOW · 59' Jindřich Trpišovský · Slavia Praha
31. 75′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Slavia Praha · On: Toumani Diakite · Off: Oskar Kubiak
32. 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 76' Fenerbahçe win: 46% at kick-off, 86% now
33. 81′We said Fenerbahçe at 46% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 2–1 · 90–10–1
34. 83′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Fenerbahçe · On: İrfan Can Kahveci · Off: Mason Greenwood
35. 83′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Fenerbahçe · On: Ismail Yüksek · Off: Kerem Aktürkoğlu
36. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Slavia Praha · On: Michal Sadílek · Off: Lukáš Provod
37. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Slavia Praha · On: Pavel Kacor · Off: Mubarak Suleiman
38. 88′We said Fenerbahçe at 46% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 2–1 · 95–5–0
39. 90′We said Fenerbahçe at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 5%. 2–2 · 5–91–4
40. 90′🟨 YELLOW · 88' Ismail Yüksek · Fenerbahçe
41. 90′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90' Fenerbahçe win: 46% at kick-off, 96% now
42. 90′⚽ GOAL · 90' Fenerbahçe 2–2 Slavia Praha
43. 90′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90' Fenerbahçe win: 46% at kick-off, 5% now
44. 90′THE CALL SWINGS · 90' Draw is now our likeliest result at 91% (was Fenerbahçe win 96%)
45. 91′Slavia Praha level it on 90′ through Pavel Kacor. 2–2. 2–2 · 4–92–3
46. 92′We said Fenerbahçe at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 2–2 · 4–94–3
47. 93′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.9 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 3–95–2
48. FTFULL TIME Fenerbahçe 2–2 Slavia Praha
49. FTFenerbahçe 2–2 Slavia Praha · Fenerbahçe win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.