Como v Manchester United

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Manchester United win at 40%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Manchester United 40% before kick-off, 40% now. 0–0 · 34–26–40
3. 1′KICK-OFF Como v Manchester United
4. 3′Nico Paz scores for Como on 2′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 60–21–19
5. 3′⚽ GOAL · 2' Como 1–0 Manchester United · Nico Paz
6. 3′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 3' Manchester United win: 40% at kick-off, 19% now
7. 3′THE CALL SWINGS · 3' Como win is now our likeliest result at 60% (was Manchester United win 40%)
8. 4′We said Manchester United at 40%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–0 · 60–21–19
9. 26′🟨 YELLOW · 25' Andrey Santos · Manchester United
10. 28′We said Manchester United at 40%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–0 · 63–22–14
11. 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.9 we expected. 1–0 · 64–22–14
12. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Manchester United win: 40% at kick-off, 10% now
13. 45′HALF-TIME Como 1–0 Manchester United
14. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Manchester United · On: Amad Diallo · Off: Matheus Cunha
15. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Manchester United · On: Carlos Baleba · Off: Andrey Santos
16. 46′SECOND HALF Como 1–0 Manchester United
17. 49′We said Manchester United at 40%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–0 · 68–23–9
18. 50′We said Manchester United at 40%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 2%. 2–0 · 91–7–2
19. 50′49′: Anastasios Douvikas on the scoresheet for Como, making it 2–0. 2–0 · 91–7–2
20. 50′⚽ GOAL · 50' Como 2–0 Manchester United
21. 52′🟨 YELLOW · 51' Carlos Baleba · Manchester United
22. 57′3 goals already, more than the 2.9 we expected for the whole match. 3–0 · 99–1–0
23. 57′⚽ GOAL · 57' Como 3–0 Manchester United
24. 57′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 57' Manchester United win: 40% at kick-off, under 1% now
25. 58′Como ahead on 57′ through Nico Paz. 3–0. 3–0 · 99–1–0
26. 65′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Como · On: Maxence Caqueret · Off: Martin Baturina
27. 68′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Manchester United · On: Joshua Zirkzee · Off: Bruno Fernandes
28. 70′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Como · On: Kaiki Bruno · Off: Lucas Da Cunha
29. 76′Jacobo Ramón scores for Como on 76′ — 4–0. 4–0 · 100–0–0
30. 76′⚽ GOAL · 76' Como 4–0 Manchester United · Jacobo Ramón
31. 77′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.9 across ninety minutes. 4–0 · 100–0–0
32. 80′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Manchester United · On: Harry Amass · Off: Matthijs De Ligt
33. 81′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Como · On: Alberto Dossena · Off: Maximo Perrone
34. 81′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Como · On: Samuele Ricci · Off: Nico Paz
35. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Como · On: Ivan Smolcic · Off: Yan Couto
36. 85′5 goals already, more than the 2.9 we expected for the whole match. 4–1 · 100–0–0
37. 85′⚽ GOAL · 85' Como 4–1 Manchester United
38. 86′🟨 YELLOW · 85' Marc-Oliver Kempf · Como
39. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Manchester United · On: Shea Lacey · Off: Bryan Mbeumo
40. 86′GOAL DISALLOWED · 86' Manchester United
41. 87′🟨 YELLOW · 86' Shea Lacey · Manchester United
42. 91′⚽ GOAL · 90+1' Como 4–1 Manchester United
43. 93′90′: Joshua Zirkzee on the scoresheet for Manchester United, making it 4–1. 4–1 · 100–0–0
44. FTFULL TIME Como 4–1 Manchester United
45. FTComo 4–1 Manchester United · Manchester United win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.