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Zimbabwe W v Malawi W

Zimbabwe W
0–7Full time
Malawi W

Olympics Women - Qualification CAF · TUE 13 OCT

Full timeGraded 13 Oct 17:00
Zimbabwe W 0–7 Malawi W ZIMBABWE W WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Zimbabwe W win45%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.624

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay3 notes · 21 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Zimbabwe W win at 45%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: Zimbabwe W was 45% before kick-off and our model makes it 43% now. 0–0 · 43–20–36
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Zimbabwe W v Malawi W
  4. 10′⚽ GOAL · 11' Zimbabwe W 0–1 Malawi W
  5. 22′⚽ GOAL · 22' Zimbabwe W 0–1 Malawi W
  6. 23′Malawi W find the net on 11′. 0–1. 0–1 · 21–20–59
  7. 23′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 23' Zimbabwe W win: 45% at kick-off, 21% now
  8. 23′THE CALL SWINGS · 23' Malawi W win is now our likeliest result at 59% (was Zimbabwe W win 21%)
  9. 29′⚽ GOAL · 29' Zimbabwe W 0–2 Malawi W
  10. 30′We said Zimbabwe W at 45%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 7%. 0–2 · 7–12–81
  11. 30′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 30' Zimbabwe W win: 45% at kick-off, 7% now
  12. 30′⚽ GOAL · 30' Zimbabwe W 0–2 Malawi W
  13. 54′⚽ GOAL · 53' Zimbabwe W 0–3 Malawi W
  14. 54′⚽ GOAL · 54' Zimbabwe W 0–3 Malawi W · T. Chawinga
  15. 55′⚽ GOAL · 55' Zimbabwe W 0–3 Malawi W · T. Chawinga
  16. 57′⚽ GOAL · 57' Zimbabwe W 0–4 Malawi W
  17. 59′SECOND HALF Zimbabwe W 0–2 Malawi W
  18. 60′SECOND HALF Zimbabwe W 0–2 Malawi W
  19. 61′SECOND HALF Zimbabwe W 0–2 Malawi W
  20. 62′SECOND HALF Zimbabwe W 0–2 Malawi W
  21. 63′SECOND HALF Zimbabwe W 0–2 Malawi W
  22. 86′⚽ GOAL · 86' Zimbabwe W 0–5 Malawi W
  23. 89′⚽ GOAL · 89' Zimbabwe W 0–6 Malawi W
  24. 90′⚽ GOAL · 91' Zimbabwe W 0–7 Malawi W
  25. FTFULL TIME Zimbabwe W 0–7 Malawi W
  26. FTZimbabwe W 0–7 Malawi W · Zimbabwe W win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 2–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass

Our analyst’s one-line verdict on how this match goes.

What decides it

1

The reason that decides itThe fact behind it, in one line.

– –
2

Where the chances come fromThe figure that shows it, in one line.

– –
3

What could tip the balanceWhat could change it, in one line.

– –
The AI’s read on this match

The verdict, the three reasons that decide it, what would change it and the players to watch — checked live during the game, with a review after full time. Included with a pass.

See the passes

Pre-match prediction

Published 13 Oct 13:24 · locked at kick-off

Zimbabwe W win45%
Draw18%
Malawi W win37%

Kick-offTUE 13 OCT · 14:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Zimbabwe W

Malawi W

4Days since last match4
1Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2028

Positions of these teams

#TEAMPGDPTS
12Malawi W1+23
27Zimbabwe W1−20

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · zimbabwe w winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · updated 13 Oct 13:24 · locked at kick-off
45% The market–
Us45%

We make Zimbabwe W a 45% chance to win. The model expects 2.2–2.0, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 7%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

How the number movedSince we published
25%30%35%40%45%50% 11 OCT 04:0912 OCT 04:08
Our probability · zimbabwe w win

Published at 45%, 44% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Zimbabwe W win45%––
Draw18%––
Malawi W win37%––
Over 2.5 goals78%––
Both teams to score75%––
Over 1.5 goals91%––
Over 3.5 goals59%––
Zimbabwe W or draw63%––
Zimbabwe W clean sheet14%––
Malawi W clean sheet11%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 7.4%
0123450 4.3 3.1 2.0 1 4.6 5.6 6.7 4.4 2.2 2 3.7 7.4 7.3 4.8 2.4 3 2.7 5.3 5.3 3.5 4 2.9 2.9 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Zimbabwe W down, Malawi W across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025
Goals a meeting2.50
Over 2.51 of 2
Both scored1 of 2
Last meetingsMAL 2–0 ZIM · ZIM 2–1 MAL

Form · last six in Olympics Women - Qualification CAF

ZIMBABWE W

LWLWLL1–6 · 2–1 · 1–3 · 3–1 · 0–3 · 0–2

MALAWI W

WLWWLW3–1 · 1–2 · 2–1 · 3–1 · 0–3 · 2–0

The table

2028
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Comoros W3+286
2Kenya W2+226
3Mauritius W3−16
4Angola W2+24
5Madagascar W3−34
6Algeria W1+83
7South Africa W1+43
8Ivory Coast W1+33
9Ghana W1+33
10Benin W1+23
11Burkina Faso W1+23
12Malawi W1+23
13Nigeria W1+23
14Uganda W1+13
15Ethiopia W1+13
16Senegal W1+13
17Tanzania W1+13
18South Sudan W2−11
19Namibia W2−21
20Zambia W1−10
21Botswana W1−10
22Rwanda W1−10
23Tunisia W1−10
24Djibouti W2−20
25Equatorial Guinea W1−20
26Mali W1−20
27Zimbabwe W1−20
28Congo DR W1−30
29Central Africa W1−80
30Seychelles W2−220
31Sudan W2−300

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.