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Senegal W v Tunisia W

Senegal W
2–0Full time
Tunisia W

Olympics Women - Qualification CAF · TUE 13 OCT

Full timeGraded 13 Oct 20:46
Senegal W 2–0 Tunisia W SENEGAL W WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Senegal W win51%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.359

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay8 notes · 8 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Senegal W win at 51%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Senegal W 51% before kick-off, 49% now. 0–0 · 49–26–25
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Senegal W v Tunisia W
  4. 12′⚽ GOAL · 12' Senegal W 1–0 Tunisia W
  5. 12′⚽ GOAL · 13' Senegal W 1–0 Tunisia W
  6. 13′A goal for Senegal W on 13′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 76–17–8
  7. 13′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 13' Senegal W win: 51% at kick-off, 76% now
  8. 16′We said Senegal W at 51% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 76%. 1–0 · 76–17–8
  9. 26′⚽ GOAL · 27' Senegal W 2–0 Tunisia W
  10. 30′27′ and it is 2–0: N. Ndiaye on the scoresheet for Senegal W. 2–0 · 94–5–1
  11. 30′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 30' Senegal W win: 51% at kick-off, 94% now
  12. 33′We said Senegal W at 51% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 94%. 2–0 · 94–5–1
  13. 38′We said Senegal W at 51% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 2–0 · 95–4–1
  14. 45′SECOND HALF Senegal W 2–0 Tunisia W
  15. 59′The goal count is tracking the 2.5 we expected. 2–0 · 97–3–0
  16. 80′We said Senegal W at 51% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 100%. 2–0 · 100–0–0
  17. FTFULL TIME Senegal W 2–0 Tunisia W
  18. FTSenegal W 2–0 Tunisia W · Senegal W win: right · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass

Our analyst’s one-line verdict on how this match goes.

What decides it

1

The reason that decides itThe fact behind it, in one line.

– –
2

Where the chances come fromThe figure that shows it, in one line.

– –
3

What could tip the balanceWhat could change it, in one line.

– –
The AI’s read on this match

The verdict, the three reasons that decide it, what would change it and the players to watch — checked live during the game, with a review after full time. Included with a pass.

See the passes

Pre-match prediction

Published 13 Oct 17:30 · locked at kick-off

Senegal W win51%
Draw22%
Tunisia W win27%

Kick-offTUE 13 OCT · 18:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Senegal W

Tunisia W

5Days since last match5
1Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2028

Positions of these teams

#TEAMPGDPTS
16Senegal W1+13
23Tunisia W1−10

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · senegal w winFirst published 10 Oct 03:49 · updated 13 Oct 17:30 · locked at kick-off
51% The market–
Us51%

We make Senegal W a 51% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–1.0, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 15%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

How the number movedSince we published
45%50%55% 10 OCT 04:0213 OCT 05:55
Our probability · senegal w win

Published at 53%, 51% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Senegal W win51%––
Draw22%––
Tunisia W win27%––
Over 2.5 goals45%––
Both teams to score46%––
Over 1.5 goals68%––
Over 3.5 goals23%––
Senegal W or draw73%––
Senegal W clean sheet38%––
Tunisia W clean sheet23%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 14.8%
0123450 6.4 10.5 4.1 1 14.8 10.3 6.0 2 9.4 9.2 4.5 3 4.7 4.5 2.2 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Senegal W down, Tunisia W across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2022
Goals a meeting0.33
Over 2.50 of 3
Both scored0 of 3
Last meetingsTUN 0–1 SEN · SEN 0–0 TUN · TUN 0–0 SEN

Form · last six in Olympics Women - Qualification CAF

SENEGAL W

WLLWDW1–0 · 0–1 · 0–2 · 1–0 · 0–0 · 1–0

TUNISIA W

LWWDDL0–1 · 1–0 · 2–1 · 1–1 · 2–2 · 0–1

The table

2028
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Comoros W3+286
2Kenya W2+226
3Mauritius W3−16
4Angola W2+24
5Madagascar W3−34
6Algeria W1+83
7South Africa W1+43
8Ivory Coast W1+33
9Ghana W1+33
10Benin W1+23
11Burkina Faso W1+23
12Malawi W1+23
13Nigeria W1+23
14Uganda W1+13
15Ethiopia W1+13
16Senegal W1+13
17Tanzania W1+13
18South Sudan W2−11
19Namibia W2−21
20Zambia W1−10
21Botswana W1−10
22Rwanda W1−10
23Tunisia W1−10
24Djibouti W2−20
25Equatorial Guinea W1−20
26Mali W1−20
27Zimbabwe W1−20
28Congo DR W1−30
29Central Africa W1−80
30Seychelles W2−220
31Sudan W2−300

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.