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Nigeria W v Comoros W

Nigeria W
5–0Full time
Comoros W

Olympics Women - Qualification CAF · TUE 13 OCT

Full timeGraded 13 Oct 19:02
Nigeria W 5–0 Comoros W NIGERIA W WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Nigeria W win61%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.225

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay10 notes · 14 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Nigeria W win at 61%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Nigeria W 61% before kick-off, 59% now. 0–0 · 59–21–20
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Nigeria W v Comoros W
  4. 35′⚽ GOAL · 37' Nigeria W 0–0 Comoros W
  5. 40′A goal for Nigeria W on 41′ — 0–0. 0–0 · 49–31–20
  6. 41′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 41' Nigeria W win: 61% at kick-off, 49% now
  7. 45′We said Nigeria W at 61%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 47%. 0–0 · 47–34–19
  8. 45′We said Nigeria W at 61% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 81%. 1–0 · 81–15–5
  9. 45′HALF-TIME Nigeria W 1–0 Comoros W
  10. 45′⚽ GOAL · 45' Nigeria W 1–0 Comoros W
  11. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Nigeria W win: 61% at kick-off, 81% now
  12. 46′SECOND HALF Nigeria W 1–0 Comoros W
  13. 59′⚽ GOAL · 58' Nigeria W 2–0 Comoros W
  14. 61′⚽ GOAL · 61' Nigeria W 3–0 Comoros W
  15. 62′Nigeria W find the net on 61′. 3–0. 3–0 · 100–0–0
  16. 62′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 62' Nigeria W win: 61% at kick-off, 100% now
  17. 64′⚽ GOAL · 64' Nigeria W 3–0 Comoros W
  18. 67′Nigeria W ahead on 64′ through A. Oyedupe Payne. 3–0. 3–0 · 100–0–0
  19. 68′⚽ GOAL · 67' Nigeria W 4–0 Comoros W
  20. 71′U. Kanu scores for Nigeria W on 67′ — 4–0. 4–0 · 100–0–0
  21. 72′⚽ GOAL · 72' Nigeria W 5–0 Comoros W
  22. 77′71′ and it is 5–0: C. Ucheibe on the scoresheet for Nigeria W. 5–0 · 100–0–0
  23. 83′We said Nigeria W at 61% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 100%. 5–0 · 100–0–0
  24. 88′5 goals already, more than the 3.2 we expected for the whole match. 5–0 · 100–0–0
  25. FTFULL TIME Nigeria W 5–0 Comoros W
  26. FTNigeria W 5–0 Comoros W · Nigeria W win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass

Our analyst’s one-line verdict on how this match goes.

What decides it

1

The reason that decides itThe fact behind it, in one line.

– –
2

Where the chances come fromThe figure that shows it, in one line.

– –
3

What could tip the balanceWhat could change it, in one line.

– –
The AI’s read on this match

The verdict, the three reasons that decide it, what would change it and the players to watch — checked live during the game, with a review after full time. Included with a pass.

See the passes

Pre-match prediction

Published 13 Oct 15:17 · locked at kick-off

Nigeria W win61%
Draw17%
Comoros W win21%

Kick-offTUE 13 OCT · 16:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Nigeria W

Comoros W

4Days since last match4
1Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2028

Positions of these teams

#TEAMPGDPTS
1Comoros W3+286
13Nigeria W1+23

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · nigeria w winFirst published 10 Oct 03:49 · updated 13 Oct 15:17 · locked at kick-off
61% The market–
Us61%

We make Nigeria W a 61% chance to win. The model expects 2.1–1.1, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

How the number movedSince we published
60%70%80%90%100% 10 OCT 04:0213 OCT 05:55
Our probability · nigeria w win

Published at 74%, 61% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Nigeria W win61%––
Draw17%––
Comoros W win21%––
Over 2.5 goals62%––
Both teams to score57%––
Over 1.5 goals81%––
Over 3.5 goals40%––
Nigeria W or draw79%––
Nigeria W clean sheet33%––
Comoros W clean sheet12%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 10.0%
0123450 2.4 6.1 2.5 1 10.0 7.8 5.3 2 8.8 9.9 5.5 2.1 3 6.1 6.9 3.9 4 3.2 3.6 2.0 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Nigeria W down, Comoros W across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2026
Goals a meeting2.00
Over 2.50 of 1
Both scored0 of 1
Last meetingsCOM 0–2 NIG

Form · last six in Olympics Women - Qualification CAF

NIGERIA W

LWWLLW2–3 · 1–0 · 6–2 · 0–1 · 1–2 · 2–0

COMOROS W

LLLWWL0–4 · 0–2 · 1–2 · 17–0 · 13–0 · 0–2

The table

2028
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Comoros W3+286
2Kenya W2+226
3Mauritius W3−16
4Angola W2+24
5Madagascar W3−34
6Algeria W1+83
7South Africa W1+43
8Ivory Coast W1+33
9Ghana W1+33
10Benin W1+23
11Burkina Faso W1+23
12Malawi W1+23
13Nigeria W1+23
14Uganda W1+13
15Ethiopia W1+13
16Senegal W1+13
17Tanzania W1+13
18South Sudan W2−11
19Namibia W2−21
20Zambia W1−10
21Botswana W1−10
22Rwanda W1−10
23Tunisia W1−10
24Djibouti W2−20
25Equatorial Guinea W1−20
26Mali W1−20
27Zimbabwe W1−20
28Congo DR W1−30
29Central Africa W1−80
30Seychelles W2−220
31Sudan W2−300

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.