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Ivory Coast W v Congo DR W

Ivory Coast W
3–0Full time
Congo DR W

Olympics Women - Qualification CAF · TUE 13 OCT

Full timeGraded 13 Oct 22:30
Ivory Coast W 3–0 Congo DR W IVORY COAST W WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · WRONG3–0 EXACTLY · RIGHT
We said Ivory Coast W win85%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.036

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay7 notes · 10 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Ivory Coast W win at 85%.
  2. 1′KICK-OFF Ivory Coast W v Congo DR W
  3. 2′Much as we predicted: Ivory Coast W was 85% before kick-off and our model makes it 83% now. 0–0 · 83–10–6
  4. 17′⚽ GOAL · 17' Ivory Coast W 1–0 Congo DR W
  5. 19′17′ and it is 1–0: Ivory Coast W have scored. 1–0 · 92–6–2
  6. 25′Ivory Coast W find the net on 25′. 2–0. 2–0 · 98–2–0
  7. 25′⚽ GOAL · 25' Ivory Coast W 2–0 Congo DR W
  8. 25′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 25' Ivory Coast W win: 85% at kick-off, 98% now
  9. 27′We published Ivory Coast W at 85%. Our model now makes it 98%. 2–0 · 98–2–0
  10. 34′Goals are coming at about the 4.5 we expected. 2–0 · 98–2–0
  11. 45′HALF-TIME Ivory Coast W 2–0 Congo DR W
  12. 45′⚽ GOAL · 17' Ivory Coast W 2–0 Congo DR W
  13. 45′⚽ GOAL · 25' Ivory Coast W 2–0 Congo DR W
  14. 46′SECOND HALF Ivory Coast W 2–0 Congo DR W
  15. 80′We published Ivory Coast W at 85%. Our model now makes it 100%. 2–0 · 100–0–0
  16. 90′A goal for Ivory Coast W on 90′ — 3–0. 3–0 · 100–0–0
  17. 90′⚽ GOAL · 93' Ivory Coast W 3–0 Congo DR W
  18. FTFULL TIME Ivory Coast W 3–0 Congo DR W
  19. FTIvory Coast W 3–0 Congo DR W · Ivory Coast W win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: wrong · 3–0 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass

Our analyst’s one-line verdict on how this match goes.

What decides it

1

The reason that decides itThe fact behind it, in one line.

– –
2

Where the chances come fromThe figure that shows it, in one line.

– –
3

What could tip the balanceWhat could change it, in one line.

– –
The AI’s read on this match

The verdict, the three reasons that decide it, what would change it and the players to watch — checked live during the game, with a review after full time. Included with a pass.

See the passes

Pre-match prediction

Published 13 Oct 19:33 · locked at kick-off

Ivory Coast W win85%
Draw8%
Congo DR W win7%

Kick-offTUE 13 OCT · 20:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Ivory Coast W

Congo DR W

4Days since last match4
1Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2028

Positions of these teams

#TEAMPGDPTS
8Ivory Coast W1+33
28Congo DR W1−30

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · ivory coast w winFirst published 10 Oct 03:49 · updated 13 Oct 19:33 · locked at kick-off
85% The market–
Us85%

We make Ivory Coast W a 85% chance to win. The model expects 3.5–1.0, and 3–0 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

How the number movedSince we published
70%75%80%85%90% 10 OCT 04:0213 OCT 05:55
Our probability · ivory coast w win

Published at 83%, 85% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Ivory Coast W win85%––
Draw8%––
Congo DR W win7%––
Over 2.5 goals82%––
Both teams to score59%––
Over 1.5 goals93%––
Over 3.5 goals65%––
Ivory Coast W or draw93%––
Ivory Coast W clean sheet38%––
Congo DR W clean sheet3%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 3–0 at 8.2%
0123450 1 4.7 3.2 2 7.0 6.8 3.3 3 8.2 7.9 3.8 4 7.2 7.0 3.4 5 5.1 4.9 2.4
under 2% 5% 12%+Ivory Coast W down, Congo DR W across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2026
Goals a meeting5.00
Over 2.51 of 1
Both scored1 of 1
Last meetingsCON 1–4 IVO

Form · last six in Olympics Women - Qualification CAF

IVORY COAST W

WDWLLW4–1 · 2–2 · 2–1 · 1–2 · 1–2 · 4–1

CONGO DR W

LLLWLL0–4 · 2–4 · 0–1 · 7–1 · 0–2 · 1–4

The table

2028
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Comoros W3+286
2Kenya W2+226
3Mauritius W3−16
4Angola W2+24
5Madagascar W3−34
6Algeria W1+83
7South Africa W1+43
8Ivory Coast W1+33
9Ghana W1+33
10Benin W1+23
11Burkina Faso W1+23
12Malawi W1+23
13Nigeria W1+23
14Uganda W1+13
15Ethiopia W1+13
16Senegal W1+13
17Tanzania W1+13
18South Sudan W2−11
19Namibia W2−21
20Zambia W1−10
21Botswana W1−10
22Rwanda W1−10
23Tunisia W1−10
24Djibouti W2−20
25Equatorial Guinea W1−20
26Mali W1−20
27Zimbabwe W1−20
28Congo DR W1−30
29Central Africa W1−80
30Seychelles W2−220
31Sudan W2−300

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.