Install the appInstall the appPitchside Lab · free · no ads
Pitchside Lab
Model 1.1

Home › Football › Olympics Women - Qualification CAF › Ethiopia W v Rwanda W

Back

Ethiopia W v Rwanda W

Ethiopia W
1–1Full time
Rwanda W

Olympics Women - Qualification CAF · TUE 13 OCT · Addis Ababa Stadium

Full timeGraded 13 Oct 17:00
Ethiopia W 1–1 Rwanda W ETHIOPIA W WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · WRONG4–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Ethiopia W win90%
Brier score, this match · lower is better1.706

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Our analyst’s one-line verdict on how this match goes.

What decides it

1

The reason that decides itThe fact behind it, in one line.

– –
2

Where the chances come fromThe figure that shows it, in one line.

– –
3

What could tip the balanceWhat could change it, in one line.

– –
The AI’s read on this match

The verdict, the three reasons that decide it, what would change it and the players to watch — checked live during the game, with a review after full time. Included with a pass.

See the passes

Pre-match prediction

Published 13 Oct 13:24 · locked at kick-off

Ethiopia W win90%
Draw6%
Rwanda W win4%

Kick-offTUE 13 OCT · 14:00

VenueAddis Ababa Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Ethiopia W

Rwanda W

6Days since last match6
1Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2028

Positions of these teams

#TEAMPGDPTS
15Ethiopia W1+13
22Rwanda W1−10

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · ethiopia w winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · updated 13 Oct 13:24 · locked at kick-off
90% The market–
Us90%

We make Ethiopia W a 90% chance to win. The model expects 4.5–1.1, and 4–1 is the single most likely score at 7%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

How the number movedSince we published
60%70%80%90%100% 11 OCT 04:0913 OCT 05:55
Our probability · ethiopia w win

Published at 91%, 90% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Ethiopia W win90%––
Draw6%––
Rwanda W win4%––
Over 2.5 goals92%––
Both teams to score66%––
Over 1.5 goals97%––
Over 3.5 goals81%––
Ethiopia W or draw96%––
Ethiopia W clean sheet33%––
Rwanda W clean sheet1%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 4–1 at 7.0%
0123450 1 2 3.8 4.1 2.3 3 5.7 6.2 3.4 4 6.4 7.0 3.8 5 5.7 6.3 3.5
under 2% 5% 12%+Ethiopia W down, Rwanda W across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2026
Goals a meeting1.00
Over 2.50 of 1
Both scored0 of 1
Last meetingsRWA 0–1 ETH

Form · last six in Olympics Women - Qualification CAF

ETHIOPIA W

LWWWWW0–4 · 10–0 · 7–0 · 16–0 · 10–0 · 1–0

RWANDA W

DLLDL3–3 · 0–1 · 0–1 · 1–1 · 0–1

The table

2028
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Comoros W3+286
2Kenya W2+226
3Mauritius W3−16
4Angola W2+24
5Madagascar W3−34
6Algeria W1+83
7South Africa W1+43
8Ivory Coast W1+33
9Ghana W1+33
10Benin W1+23
11Burkina Faso W1+23
12Malawi W1+23
13Nigeria W1+23
14Uganda W1+13
15Ethiopia W1+13
16Senegal W1+13
17Tanzania W1+13
18South Sudan W2−11
19Namibia W2−21
20Zambia W1−10
21Botswana W1−10
22Rwanda W1−10
23Tunisia W1−10
24Djibouti W2−20
25Equatorial Guinea W1−20
26Mali W1−20
27Zimbabwe W1−20
28Congo DR W1−30
29Central Africa W1−80
30Seychelles W2−220
31Sudan W2−300

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.