Pitchside Lab
Model 1.1
Back

Home › Football › Friendlies Women › Peru W v Philippines W

Peru W v Philippines W

Peru W
2–1Full time
Philippines W

Friendlies Women · FRI 9 OCT

Full timeGraded 9 Oct 23:30
Peru W 2–1 Philippines W PHILIPPINES W WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · WRONG0–3 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Philippines W win91%
Brier score, this match · lower is better1.744

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay6 notes · 10 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Philippines W win at 91%.
  2. 1′A goal for Peru W on 1′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 10–13–76
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Peru W v Philippines W
  4. 1′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 1' Philippines W win: 91% at kick-off, 76% now
  5. 3′⚽ GOAL · 1' Peru W 1–0 Philippines W
  6. 5′We said Philippines W at 91%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 74%. 1–0 · 11–14–74
  7. 14′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 14' Philippines W win: 91% at kick-off, 70% now
  8. 17′We said Philippines W at 91%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 68%. 1–0 · 14–18–68
  9. 21′⚽ GOAL · 20' Peru W 1–1 Philippines W
  10. 23′20′ and it is 1–1: Philippines W have scored. 1–1 · 5–11–84
  11. 23′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 23' Philippines W win: 91% at kick-off, 84% now
  12. 28′Much as we predicted: Philippines W was 91% before kick-off and our model makes it 83% now. 1–1 · 5–12–83
  13. 31′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 31' Philippines W win: 91% at kick-off, 81% now
  14. 37′We said Philippines W at 91%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 79%. 1–1 · 6–15–79
  15. 45′HALF-TIME Peru W 1–1 Philippines W
  16. 46′SECOND HALF Peru W 1–1 Philippines W
  17. 86′⚽ GOAL · 85' Peru W 2–1 Philippines W
  18. FTPeru W 2–1 Philippines W · Philippines W win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: wrong · 0–3 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Peru W win4%
Draw5%
Philippines W win91%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

FRI 9 OCT · 21:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · philippines w winPublished 9 Oct 21:03
91% The market–
Us91%

We make Philippines W a 91% chance to win. The model expects 0.7–3.8, and 0–3 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Peru W win4%––
Draw5%––
Philippines W win91%––
Over 2.5 goals83%––
Both teams to score50%––
Over 1.5 goals93%––
Over 3.5 goals66%––
Peru W or draw9%––
Peru W clean sheet2%––
Philippines W clean sheet49%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–3 at 9.9%
0123450 4.8 7.8 9.9 9.5 7.21 2.3 5.7 7.2 6.8 5.22 2.1 2.6 2.5 3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Peru W down, Philippines W across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2011

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Friendlies Women

PERU W

LWDLDW0–1 · 2–1 · 1–1 · 0–1 · 1–1 · 4–0

PHILIPPINES W

LWLWLW0–3 · 2–0 · 0–7 · 2–0 · 0–1 · 2–0

The table

2026
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Ivory Coast W9+2922
2Morocco W9+1921
3Saudi Arabia W9+1719
4India W11+619
5England U20 W9+1517
6United States W U179+1417
7USA U19 W7+1016
8Russia W7+616
9Brazil W8+1115
10Papua New Guinea W5+1313
11Ghana W5+1313
12Sweden U23 W6+613
13Germany U23 W6+413
14USA U18 W4+2612
15USA W6+1112
16Japan U175+712
17Nigeria W5+612
18United States U20 W6+711
19Egypt W8−111
20Uzbekistan U20 W10−311
21El Salvador W4+910
22Thailand W4+710
23Russia U19 W5+510
24England U23 W4+510
25Algeria W6+210
26Sweden U18 W6−510
27Bangladesh U19 W4+149
28Spain U20 W3+129
29Canada W4+119
30India U17 W4+119
31China W5+89
32Australia W4+89
33Italy U23 W4+39
34South Africa W4−19
35Botswana W4+68
36Vanuatu W5+48
37Tunisia W4+28
38Morocco U20 W4+67
39Canada U20 W4+47
40Kenya W6+37
41Iran U20 W3+27
42Scotland U17 W4+27
43Brazil U20 W507
44Portugal U20 W5−17
45Solomon Islands W4−27
46Senegal W6−37
47Ethiopia W2+266
48Romania U19 W2+126
49Georgia U19 W2+86
50Montenegro U19 W2+66
51Denmark U19 W3+56
52Bermuda W2+56
53Kyrgyz Republic W4+46
54Japan W4+46
55Austria U19 W2+46
56Chile U20 W2+46
57Cook Islands W2+46
58Uzbekistan W4+36
59Finland U23 W3+36
60Austria U17 W2+36
61Haiti W2+36
62Czech Republic U17 W3+26
63Finland U18 W2+26
64Netherlands U23 W6+16
65Italy U17 W4+16
66Jordan W3+16
67Thailand U20 W3+16
68Cameroon W3+16
69Portugal U17 W3+16
70Mexico W306
71Mauritania W3−16
72Hong Kong W3−16
73Portugal U23 W4−16
74Germany U19 W4−16
75Benin W7−36
76Chile W3−36
77Malta U19 W4−56
78France U23 W6−56
79Zambia W7−76
80Fiji W7−76
81Mexico U20 W6−86
82Mexico U23 W3+35
83Portugal U19 W3+25
84USA U23 W3+15
85Scotland U19 W3+15
86England U17 W405
87Norway U23 W5−15
88Morocco U17 W4−45
89Tanzania W6−65
90Cambodia W2+54
91Vietnam U20 W2+44
92Switzerland U19 W2+24
93Bosnia & Herzegovina U19 W2+24
94Turkey U18 W2+24
95Finland U17 W2+14
96Uruguay W2+14
97Venezuela W2+14
98Argentina U17 W2+14
99France U19 W2+14
100Japan U20 W2+14
101Nigeria U20 W2+14
102Serbia U19 W2+14
103Colombia U20 W2+14
104Jamaica W2+14
105Norway U17 W2+14
106Canada W U17304
107Portugal U18 W4−14
108Uruguay U20 W4−34
109Burkina Faso W6−64
110Indonesia W4−64
111Bhutan W1+73
112Pakistan W3+53
113Congo DR W2+43
114Czech Republic U23 W2+33
115Bangladesh U20 W1+23
116Metalist 1925 W1+23
117Netherlands U17 W1+23
118Turkey U19 W2+13
119France U20 W1+13
120Morocco U23 W1+13
121Norway U19 W2+13
122Armenia W1+13
123Palestine W2+13
124Philippines W2+13
125Poland U20 W2+13
126Csikszereda MC W1+13
127San Diego Wave W1+13
128Iceland U19 W203
129Kyrgyzstan W303
130Mali W4−13
131Zimbabwe W2−13
132Italy U19 W4−13
133Denmark U23 W4−23
134Denmark U17 W2−23
135Sweden U19 W2−23
136Azerbaijan U19 W2−33
137Poland U17 W4−33
138Finland U19 W3−33
139Singapore W2−33
140Nepal U19 W3−43
141Netherlands U19 W3−53
142Wales U19 W4−73
143Vietnam W5−133
144Poland U19 W202
145Germany U17 W3−12
146Mexico U17 W4−22
147Switzerland U17 W5−72
148América W101
149Cyprus W101
150Faroe Islands W101
151Greece W101
152Italy U20 W101
153Moldova W101
154Croatia U19 W101
155Spartak Moskva W101
156Tajikistan W101
157UAE W101
158Benin U20 W2−11
159Ecuador W2−11
160Hungary U17 W2−11
161South Africa U17 W2−11
162Ecuador U20 W2−11
163Greece U19 W2−11
164Myanmar W2−11
165New Zealand W2−11
166Panama W2−11
167Belgium U19 W3−21
168Republic of Ireland U19 W2−21
169Slovenia U19 W2−21
170Uzbekistan U18 W2−21
171Namibia W2−31
172Scotland U23 W3−51
173South Korea W3−61
174Czech Republic U19 W4−61
175Korea Republic U20 W4−61
176Hungary U19 W3−81
177Costa Rica W3−91
178Cape Verde W4−111
179Malawi W6−121
180Ukraine U19 W3−121
181American Samoa W1−10
182Belgium U17 W1−10
183Ghana U20 W1−10
184Schlieren W1−10
185Hertha Berlin W1−10
186Norway U18 W2−20
187Equatorial Guinea W1−20
188Albion San Diego W1−20
189France U17 W1−20
190Zvezda Perm W1−20
191Malaysia W2−30
192Comoros W2−30
193Dominican Republic W1−30
194Argentina U20 W2−40
195Guatemala W1−40
196Romania U23 W1−40
197Afghanistan W2−40
198Chile U17 W2−40
199Estonia W1−40
200Sri Lanka W1−40
201Perth Azzurri W1−50
202Costa Rica U20 W2−50
203Belize W2−50
204Perth RedStar W1−50
205Peru W2−50
206Cyprus U19 W2−60
207Jordan U20 W3−60
208Belgium U23 W5−70
209Macau W1−70
210Wales U17 W2−70
211Laos W2−80
212Lesotho W2−80
213Armenia U19 W2−80
214Paraguay W3−80
215Tajikistan U20 W3−100
216Saudi Arabia U20 W3−100
217New Caledonia U20 W1−110
218Bahrain W3−120
219New Caledonia W6−160
220Bhutan U19 W3−210
221Seychelles W2−260
222Turks and Caicos Islands W3−280

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.