Home › Football › Friendlies Women › Luxembourg W v Montenegro W

Luxembourg W v Montenegro W

Luxembourg W

0–4Full time

Montenegro W

Friendlies Women · TUE 13 OCT

Full timeGraded 13 Oct 20:46

Luxembourg W 0–4 Montenegro W MONTENEGRO W WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT2–2 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Montenegro W win~~42%

~~The market said~~70%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.522

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.137

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay12 notes · 17 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Montenegro W win at 42%.
0′Much as we predicted: Montenegro W was 42% before kick-off and our model makes it 42% now. 0–0 · 39–18–42
1′KICK-OFF Luxembourg W v Montenegro W
14′⚽ GOAL · 14' Luxembourg W 0–1 Montenegro W
14′⚽ GOAL · 15' Luxembourg W 0–1 Montenegro W
15′15′ and it is 0–1: Montenegro W have scored. 0–1 · 21–17–61
15′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 15' Montenegro W win: 42% at kick-off, 61% now
16′⚽ GOAL · 16' Luxembourg W 0–2 Montenegro W
16′⚽ GOAL · 17' Luxembourg W 0–2 Montenegro W
18′Montenegro W find the net on 17′. 0–2. 0–2 · 9–11–79
18′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 18' Montenegro W win: 42% at kick-off, 79% now
19′We published Montenegro W at 42%. Our model now makes it 79%. 0–2 · 9–11–79
21′We published Montenegro W at 42%. Our model now makes it 80%. 0–2 · 9–11–80
25′A goal for Montenegro W on 26′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 8–11–80
25′⚽ GOAL · 25' Luxembourg W 0–3 Montenegro W
25′⚽ GOAL · 26' Luxembourg W 0–2 Montenegro W
32′Goals are coming at about the 5.0 we expected. 0–2 · 7–11–82
32′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 32' Montenegro W win: 42% at kick-off, 82% now
39′⚽ GOAL · 39' Luxembourg W 0–3 Montenegro W
39′⚽ GOAL · 40' Luxembourg W 0–3 Montenegro W
40′A goal for Montenegro W on 40′ — 0–3. 0–3 · 2–4–94
40′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 40' Montenegro W win: 42% at kick-off, 94% now
42′We published Montenegro W at 42%. Our model now makes it 94%. 0–3 · 2–4–94
44′We published Montenegro W at 42%. Our model now makes it 95%. 0–3 · 1–4–95
45′SECOND HALF Luxembourg W 0–3 Montenegro W
48′⚽ GOAL · 48' Luxembourg W 0–4 Montenegro W
49′50′ and it is 0–4: Montenegro W have scored. 0–4 · 0–1–99
49′⚽ GOAL · 50' Luxembourg W 0–4 Montenegro W
60′We published Montenegro W at 42%. Our model now makes it 100%. 0–4 · 0–0–100
FTFULL TIME Luxembourg W 0–4 Montenegro W
FTLuxembourg W 0–4 Montenegro W · Montenegro W win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 2–2 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass

Our analyst’s one-line verdict on how this match goes.

What decides it

The reason that decides itThe fact behind it, in one line.

– –

Where the chances come fromThe figure that shows it, in one line.

– –

What could tip the balanceWhat could change it, in one line.

– –

The AI’s read on this match

The verdict, the three reasons that decide it, what would change it and the players to watch — checked live during the game, with a review after full time. Included with a pass.

See the passes

Pre-match prediction

Published 13 Oct 17:30 · locked at kick-off

Luxembourg W win39%

Draw18%

Montenegro W win42%

Kick-offTUE 13 OCT · 18:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Luxembourg W

Montenegro W

4Days since last match4

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
137	Montenegro W	1	+1	3
211	Luxembourg W	1	−1	0

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · montenegro w winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · updated 13 Oct 17:30 · locked at kick-off

42% The market70%

Us42%

~~Market~~70%

We make Montenegro W a 42% chance to win. The market has them at 70%. We are 28 points less confident than the market. The model expects 2.4–2.5.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · montenegro w win The market, margin stripped

Published at 48%, 42% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 70% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Luxembourg W win	39%	13%	+26
Draw	18%	17%	+2
Montenegro W win	42%	70%	−28
Over 2.5 goals	87%	66%	+21
Both teams to score	84%	53%	+31
Over 1.5 goals	96%	84%	+12
Over 3.5 goals	73%	44%	+29
Luxembourg W or draw	58%	30%	+28
Luxembourg W clean sheet	8%	–	–
Montenegro W clean sheet	9%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 7 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–2 at 6.6%

0123450 2.2 1 4.3 5.4 4.6 2.9 2 2.1 5.2 6.6 5.6 3.5 3 4.3 5.4 4.5 2.9 4 2.6 3.3 2.8 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Luxembourg W down, Montenegro W across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2011

No meetings between these two in Friendlies Women since 2011. Cup ties and meetings in other competitions are not counted here.

Form · last six in Friendlies Women

LUXEMBOURG W

LLLLLL0–7 · 0–6 · 1–3 · 0–6 · 0–7 · 0–1

MONTENEGRO W

LLLDLW1–6 · 0–5 · 1–4 · 1–1 · 2–5 · 3–2

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco W	11	+21	25
2	Ivory Coast W	9	+29	22
3	Saudi Arabia W	10	+19	22
4	Russia W	8	+14	19
5	India W	12	−2	19
6	Brazil W	9	+13	18
7	England U20 W	9	+15	17
8	United States W U17	9	+14	17
9	Sweden U23 W	8	+7	17
10	Germany U23 W	8	+6	17
11	USA U19 W	7	+10	16
12	Russia U19 W	7	+8	14
13	Papua New Guinea W	5	+13	13
14	Ghana W	5	+13	13
15	USA U18 W	4	+26	12
16	USA W	7	+9	12
17	Japan U17	5	+7	12
18	Nigeria W	5	+6	12
19	Germany U19 W	6	+5	12
20	United States U20 W	6	+7	11
21	Norway U23 W	7	+4	11
22	Egypt W	8	−1	11
23	Uzbekistan U20 W	10	−3	11
24	Sweden U18 W	7	−5	11
25	Canada W	6	+10	10
26	Thailand W	4	+7	10
27	El Salvador W	5	+5	10
28	Italy U23 W	5	+3	10
29	England U23 W	5	+3	10
30	Algeria W	6	+2	10
31	Bangladesh U19 W	4	+14	9
32	Spain U20 W	3	+12	9
33	India U17 W	4	+11	9
34	China W	5	+8	9
35	Japan W	5	+8	9
36	Australia W	5	+6	9
37	Netherlands U23 W	7	+4	9
38	Chile W	4	+4	9
39	Austria U19 W	4	+3	9
40	South Africa W	4	−1	9
41	Botswana W	4	+6	8
42	Vanuatu W	5	+4	8
43	Scotland U19 W	4	+3	8
44	Tunisia W	4	+2	8
45	Morocco U20 W	4	+6	7
46	Canada U20 W	4	+4	7
47	Kenya W	6	+3	7
48	Iran U20 W	3	+2	7
49	Scotland U17 W	4	+2	7
50	Jamaica W	3	+2	7
51	Uzbekistan W	6	+1	7
52	Brazil U20 W	5	0	7
53	Portugal U20 W	5	−1	7
54	Solomon Islands W	4	−2	7
55	Senegal W	6	−3	7
56	Portugal U23 W	6	−4	7
57	France U23 W	7	−5	7
58	Ethiopia W	2	+26	6
59	Romania U19 W	2	+12	6
60	Georgia U19 W	2	+8	6
61	Montenegro U19 W	2	+6	6
62	Denmark U19 W	3	+5	6
63	Norway U19 W	3	+5	6
64	Bermuda W	2	+5	6
65	Kyrgyz Republic W	4	+4	6
66	Chile U20 W	2	+4	6
67	Cook Islands W	2	+4	6
68	Austria U17 W	2	+3	6
69	Czech Republic U17 W	3	+2	6
70	Finland U23 W	4	+2	6
71	Finland U18 W	2	+2	6
72	Italy U17 W	4	+1	6
73	Jordan W	3	+1	6
74	Thailand U20 W	3	+1	6
75	Cameroon W	3	+1	6
76	Portugal U17 W	3	+1	6
77	Mauritania W	3	−1	6
78	Haiti W	3	−1	6
79	Hong Kong W	3	−1	6
80	Mexico W	4	−1	6
81	Benin W	7	−3	6
82	Malta U19 W	4	−5	6
83	Zambia W	7	−7	6
84	Fiji W	7	−7	6
85	Mexico U20 W	6	−8	6
86	Mexico U23 W	3	+3	5
87	Poland U19 W	3	+3	5
88	Portugal U19 W	3	+2	5
89	USA U23 W	3	+1	5
90	England U17 W	4	0	5
91	Morocco U17 W	4	−4	5
92	Indonesia W	5	−6	5
93	Tanzania W	6	−6	5
94	Cambodia W	2	+5	4
95	Faroe Islands W	3	+4	4
96	Vietnam U20 W	2	+4	4
97	Switzerland U19 W	2	+2	4
98	Bosnia & Herzegovina U19 W	2	+2	4
99	Turkey U18 W	2	+2	4
100	Denmark W	2	+1	4
101	Turkey U19 W	3	+1	4
102	Finland U17 W	2	+1	4
103	Uruguay W	2	+1	4
104	Argentina U17 W	2	+1	4
105	France U19 W	2	+1	4
106	Japan U20 W	2	+1	4
107	Latvia U19 W	2	+1	4
108	Palestine W	3	+1	4
109	Armenia W	2	+1	4
110	Nigeria U20 W	2	+1	4
111	Colombia U20 W	2	+1	4
112	Norway U17 W	2	+1	4
113	Canada W U17	3	0	4
114	Venezuela W	3	0	4
115	Greece U19 W	3	0	4
116	Moldova W	3	0	4
117	Croatia U19 W	3	−1	4
118	Portugal U18 W	4	−1	4
119	Serbia U19 W	4	−2	4
120	Finland U19 W	4	−3	4
121	Slovenia U19 W	4	−3	4
122	Uruguay U20 W	4	−3	4
123	Burkina Faso W	6	−6	4
124	France W	1	+9	3
125	Bhutan W	1	+7	3
126	Pakistan W	3	+5	3
127	Congo DR W	2	+4	3
128	Liechtenstein W	1	+3	3
129	Czechia U23 W	3	+2	3
130	Germany W	1	+2	3
131	Spain U19 W	1	+2	3
132	Bangladesh U20 W	1	+2	3
133	Metalist 1925 W	1	+2	3
134	Netherlands U17 W	1	+2	3
135	Spain W	1	+2	3
136	France U20 W	1	+1	3
137	Montenegro W	1	+1	3
138	Morocco U23 W	1	+1	3
139	Poland U20 W	2	+1	3
140	Colombia W	1	+1	3
141	Csikszereda MC W	1	+1	3
142	Malta W	1	+1	3
143	San Diego Wave W	1	+1	3
144	Iceland U19 W	2	0	3
145	Kyrgyzstan W	3	0	3
146	Philippines W	3	0	3
147	Georgia W	2	0	3
148	Mali W	4	−1	3
149	Zimbabwe W	2	−1	3
150	Denmark U23 W	4	−2	3
151	Denmark U17 W	2	−2	3
152	Azerbaijan U19 W	2	−3	3
153	Poland U17 W	4	−3	3
154	Estonia W	2	−3	3
155	Singapore W	2	−3	3
156	Paraguay W	4	−4	3
157	Andorra W	2	−4	3
158	Jordan U20 W	4	−4	3
159	Nepal U19 W	3	−4	3
160	Peru W	3	−4	3
161	Sweden U19 W	3	−4	3
162	Italy U19 W	5	−5	3
163	Netherlands U19 W	4	−6	3
164	Wales U19 W	5	−8	3
165	Vietnam W	5	−13	3
166	Germany U17 W	3	−1	2
167	Belgium U19 W	4	−2	2
168	Mexico U17 W	4	−2	2
169	Switzerland U17 W	5	−7	2
170	América W	1	0	1
171	Cyprus W	1	0	1
172	Greece W	1	0	1
173	Italy U20 W	1	0	1
174	Kosovo U19 W	1	0	1
175	Lebanon W	1	0	1
176	North Macedonia U19 W	1	0	1
177	Puerto Rico W U17	1	0	1
178	Slovakia U19 W	1	0	1
179	Spartak Moskva W	1	0	1
180	Tajikistan W	1	0	1
181	UAE W	1	0	1
182	Benin U20 W	2	−1	1
183	Ecuador W	2	−1	1
184	Hungary U17 W	2	−1	1
185	Estonia U19 W	2	−1	1
186	South Africa U17 W	2	−1	1
187	Ecuador U20 W	2	−1	1
188	Myanmar W	2	−1	1
189	New Zealand W	2	−1	1
190	Panama W	2	−1	1
191	Republic of Ireland U19 W	2	−2	1
192	Uzbekistan U18 W	2	−2	1
193	Belarus U19 W	2	−3	1
194	Namibia W	2	−3	1
195	South Korea W	3	−6	1
196	Czech Republic U19 W	4	−6	1
197	Korea Republic U20 W	4	−6	1
198	Belgium U23 W	6	−7	1
199	Costa Rica W	3	−9	1
200	Scotland U23 W	5	−10	1
201	Cape Verde W	4	−11	1
202	Malawi W	6	−12	1
203	Hungary U19 W	4	−12	1
204	Ukraine U19 W	3	−12	1
205	Bosnia-Herzegovina W	1	−1	0
206	American Samoa W	1	−1	0
207	Belgium U17 W	1	−1	0
208	Ghana U20 W	1	−1	0
209	Schlieren W	1	−1	0
210	Hertha Berlin W	1	−1	0
211	Luxembourg W	1	−1	0
212	Norway U18 W	2	−2	0
213	Argentina W	1	−2	0
214	Equatorial Guinea W	1	−2	0
215	Albion San Diego W	1	−2	0
216	France U17 W	1	−2	0
217	Zvezda Perm W	1	−2	0
218	Comoros W	2	−3	0
219	Dominican Republic W	1	−3	0
220	Gibraltar W	1	−3	0
221	Argentina U20 W	2	−4	0
222	Guatemala W	1	−4	0
223	Romania U23 W	1	−4	0
224	Afghanistan W	2	−4	0
225	Chile U17 W	2	−4	0
226	Sri Lanka W	1	−4	0
227	Malaysia W	3	−5	0
228	Perth Azzurri W	1	−5	0
229	Costa Rica U20 W	2	−5	0
230	Belize W	2	−5	0
231	Perth RedStar W	1	−5	0
232	Cyprus U19 W	2	−6	0
233	Bolivia W	1	−7	0
234	Macau W	1	−7	0
235	Wales U17 W	2	−7	0
236	Laos W	2	−8	0
237	Lesotho W	2	−8	0
238	Armenia U19 W	2	−8	0
239	Latvia W	1	−9	0
240	Tajikistan U20 W	3	−10	0
241	New Caledonia U20 W	1	−11	0
242	Bahrain W	3	−12	0
243	Saudi Arabia U20 W	4	−12	0
244	New Caledonia W	6	−16	0
245	Bhutan U19 W	3	−21	0
246	Seychelles W	2	−26	0
247	Turks and Caicos Islands W	3	−28	0