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Model 1.1

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India W v Russia W

India W
0–8Full time
Russia W

Friendlies Women · SUN 11 OCT

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 16:04
India W 0–8 Russia W INDIA W WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said India W win42%
The market said2%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.606
The market’s Brier score0.027

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay6 notes · 34 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said India W win at 42%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: India W 42% before kick-off, 40% now. 0–0 · 40–24–36
  3. 1′KICK-OFF India W v Russia W
  4. 3′Little has changed for our model: India W 42% before kick-off, 40% now. 0–0 · 40–24–36
  5. 22′22′ and it is 0–1: Russia W have scored. 0–1 · 16–22–62
  6. 22′⚽ GOAL · 22' India W 0–1 Russia W
  7. 22′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 22' India W win: 42% at kick-off, 16% now
  8. 22′THE CALL SWINGS · 22' Russia W win is now our likeliest result at 62% (was India W win 16%)
  9. 22′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 22' India W win: 42% at kick-off, 40% now
  10. 23′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 23' India W win: 42% at kick-off, 40% now
  11. 23′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 23' India W win: 42% at kick-off, 16% now
  12. 24′22′ and it is 0–1: Russia W have scored. 0–1 · 16–22–62
  13. 24′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 24' India W win: 42% at kick-off, 16% now
  14. 24′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 24' India W win: 42% at kick-off, 40% now
  15. 26′⚽ GOAL · 25' India W 0–2 Russia W
  16. 29′⚽ GOAL · 29' India W 0–3 Russia W
  17. 32′⚽ GOAL · 32' India W 0–4 Russia W
  18. 43′A goal for Russia W on 29′ — 0–3. 0–3 · 1–2–97
  19. 43′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 43' India W win: 42% at kick-off, 1% now
  20. 43′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 43' India W win: 42% at kick-off, 16% now
  21. 44′43′ and it is 0–4: Russia W have scored. 0–4 · 0–0–99
  22. 44′⚽ GOAL · 43' India W 0–4 Russia W
  23. 44′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 44' India W win: 42% at kick-off, 16% now
  24. 44′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 44' India W win: 42% at kick-off, 1% now
  25. 45′⚽ GOAL · 46' India W 0–5 Russia W
  26. 45′HALF-TIME India W 0–5 Russia W
  27. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' India W win: 42% at kick-off, 0% now
  28. 45′THE CALL SWINGS · 45' Russia W win is now our likeliest result at 99% (was India W win 0%)
  29. 46′SECOND HALF India W 0–5 Russia W
  30. 50′⚽ GOAL · 50' India W 0–6 Russia W
  31. 51′⚽ GOAL · 51' India W 0–7 Russia W
  32. 75′⚽ GOAL · 75' India W 0–8 Russia W
  33. 81′⚽ GOAL · 22' India W 0–8 Russia W
  34. 81′⚽ GOAL · 25' India W 0–8 Russia W
  35. 81′⚽ GOAL · 29' India W 0–8 Russia W
  36. 81′⚽ GOAL · 43' India W 0–8 Russia W
  37. 81′⚽ GOAL · 46' India W 0–8 Russia W
  38. 81′⚽ GOAL · 50' India W 0–8 Russia W
  39. 81′⚽ GOAL · 51' India W 0–8 Russia W
  40. 81′⚽ GOAL · 75' India W 0–8 Russia W
  41. FTFULL TIME India W 0–8 Russia W
  42. FTIndia W 0–8 Russia W · India W win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

The model’s prediction on this page stays free.

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

India W win42%
Draw20%
Russia W win38%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 13:30

Line-ups

India W

Russia W

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

India W

Russia W

3Days since last match3
1Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026

Positions of these teams

#TEAMPGDPTS
4India W11+619
9Russia W7+616

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

India W

Formation not confirmed

1 M. Moirangthem

4 S. Singh

5 M. Mousumi

6 S. Basfore

8 S. Nongrum

9 L. Serto

14 S. Chanu

15 Renu

18 J. Kishan

19 P. Dhurga

20 P. Selladurai

Coach · Thomas Dennerby

Substitutes

23 · Nandini

– · A. Sarkhel

2 · P. Kumari

– · J. Munda

– · Cindy

– · Sibani

– · B. Devi

– · S. Lepcha

– · Singh

24 · B. Lisham

– · M. Malati

25 · M. Prasad

– · Kiran

Russia W

Formation not confirmed

21 V. Dudorova

5 V. Butkevich

3 V. Kuropatkina

13 M. Durnova

19 K. Dolgova

14 D. Ishmukhametova

24 C. Petkus

11 M. Achoyan

20 D. Kishmakhova

8 A. Zalmieva

6 K. Petukhova

Coach · –

Substitutes

– · D. Ponomareva

– · K. Oleksyuk

63 · V. Lakeeva

– · E. Semenova

16 · Y. Sheina

– · A. Shuba

– · I. Svistunova

– · J. Morozova

10 · N. Smirnova

9 · N. Mashina

Our number · india w winPublished 11 Oct 13:43
42% The market2%
Us42%
Market2%

We make India W a 42% chance to win. The market has them at 2%. We are 40 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.6–1.5.

How the number movedSince we published
0%10%20%30%40%50% 9 OCT 06:2311 OCT 12:45
Our probability · india w win The market, margin stripped

Published at 41%, 42% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 2% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
India W win42%2%+40
Draw20%10%+10
Russia W win38%88%−50
Over 2.5 goals60%76%−16
Both teams to score61%––
Over 1.5 goals80%––
Over 3.5 goals38%58%−20
India W or draw62%12%+50
India W clean sheet22%––
Russia W clean sheet20%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 1 bookmaker, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.1%
0123450 2.8 8.4 5.1 2.5 1 8.8 9.1 8.1 4.1 2 5.7 8.6 6.5 3.3 3 3.1 4.6 3.5 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+India W down, Russia W across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025
Goals a meeting3.00
Over 2.51 of 2
Both scored0 of 2
Last meetingsIND 0–4 RUS · RUS 2–0 IND

Form · last six in Friendlies Women

INDIA W

LLLLWL1–2 · 0–11 · 1–3 · 0–2 · 3–2 · 0–4

RUSSIA W

DWLWWW1–1 · 4–1 · 0–4 · 2–1 · 1–0 · 4–0

The table

2026
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Ivory Coast W9+2922
2Saudi Arabia W10+1922
3Morocco W9+1921
4India W11+619
5Brazil W9+1318
6England U20 W9+1517
7United States W U179+1417
8USA U19 W7+1016
9Russia W7+616
10Papua New Guinea W5+1313
11Ghana W5+1313
12Sweden U23 W6+613
13Germany U23 W6+413
14USA U18 W4+2612
15USA W7+912
16Japan U175+712
17Nigeria W5+612
18United States U20 W6+711
19Egypt W8−111
20Uzbekistan U20 W10−311
21Canada W5+1110
22Thailand W4+710
23El Salvador W5+510
24Russia U19 W5+510
25England U23 W4+510
26Algeria W6+210
27Sweden U18 W6−510
28Bangladesh U19 W4+149
29Spain U20 W3+129
30India U17 W4+119
31China W5+89
32Australia W5+69
33Italy U23 W4+39
34South Africa W4−19
35Botswana W4+68
36Vanuatu W5+48
37Tunisia W4+28
38Morocco U20 W4+67
39Canada U20 W4+47
40Kenya W6+37
41Iran U20 W3+27
42Scotland U17 W4+27
43Jamaica W3+27
44Brazil U20 W507
45Portugal U20 W5−17
46Solomon Islands W4−27
47Senegal W6−37
48Ethiopia W2+266
49Romania U19 W2+126
50Georgia U19 W2+86
51Montenegro U19 W2+66
52Denmark U19 W3+56
53Bermuda W2+56
54Kyrgyz Republic W4+46
55Japan W4+46
56Austria U19 W2+46
57Chile U20 W2+46
58Cook Islands W2+46
59Uzbekistan W4+36
60Finland U23 W3+36
61Austria U17 W2+36
62Haiti W2+36
63Czech Republic U17 W3+26
64Finland U18 W2+26
65Netherlands U23 W6+16
66Italy U17 W4+16
67Jordan W3+16
68Thailand U20 W3+16
69Cameroon W3+16
70Portugal U17 W3+16
71Mauritania W3−16
72Hong Kong W3−16
73Mexico W4−16
74Portugal U23 W4−16
75Germany U19 W4−16
76Benin W7−36
77Chile W3−36
78Malta U19 W4−56
79France U23 W6−56
80Zambia W7−76
81Fiji W7−76
82Mexico U20 W6−86
83Mexico U23 W3+35
84Portugal U19 W3+25
85USA U23 W3+15
86Scotland U19 W3+15
87England U17 W405
88Norway U23 W5−15
89Morocco U17 W4−45
90Indonesia W5−65
91Tanzania W6−65
92Cambodia W2+54
93Faroe Islands W2+54
94Vietnam U20 W2+44
95Switzerland U19 W2+24
96Bosnia & Herzegovina U19 W2+24
97Turkey U18 W2+24
98Finland U17 W2+14
99Uruguay W2+14
100Argentina U17 W2+14
101France U19 W2+14
102Japan U20 W2+14
103Armenia W2+14
104Moldova W2+14
105Nigeria U20 W2+14
106Serbia U19 W2+14
107Colombia U20 W2+14
108Norway U17 W2+14
109Canada W U17304
110Venezuela W304
111Portugal U18 W4−14
112Uruguay U20 W4−34
113Burkina Faso W6−64
114France W1+93
115Bhutan W1+73
116Pakistan W3+53
117Congo DR W2+43
118Liechtenstein W1+33
119Czechia U23 W3+23
120Germany W1+23
121Bangladesh U20 W1+23
122Metalist 1925 W1+23
123Netherlands U17 W1+23
124Spain W1+23
125Turkey U19 W2+13
126France U20 W1+13
127Montenegro W1+13
128Morocco U23 W1+13
129Norway U19 W2+13
130Palestine W2+13
131Poland U20 W2+13
132Colombia W1+13
133Csikszereda MC W1+13
134Malta W1+13
135San Diego Wave W1+13
136Iceland U19 W203
137Kyrgyzstan W303
138Philippines W303
139Mali W4−13
140Zimbabwe W2−13
141Italy U19 W4−13
142Denmark U23 W4−23
143Denmark U17 W2−23
144Sweden U19 W2−23
145Azerbaijan U19 W2−33
146Poland U17 W4−33
147Estonia W2−33
148Finland U19 W3−33
149Singapore W2−33
150Paraguay W4−43
151Nepal U19 W3−43
152Peru W3−43
153Netherlands U19 W3−53
154Wales U19 W4−73
155Vietnam W5−133
156Poland U19 W202
157Germany U17 W3−12
158Mexico U17 W4−22
159Switzerland U17 W5−72
160América W101
161Cyprus W101
162Denmark W101
163Greece W101
164Italy U20 W101
165Croatia U19 W101
166Spartak Moskva W101
167Tajikistan W101
168UAE W101
169Benin U20 W2−11
170Ecuador W2−11
171Hungary U17 W2−11
172South Africa U17 W2−11
173Ecuador U20 W2−11
174Greece U19 W2−11
175Myanmar W2−11
176New Zealand W2−11
177Panama W2−11
178Belgium U19 W3−21
179Republic of Ireland U19 W2−21
180Slovenia U19 W2−21
181Uzbekistan U18 W2−21
182Namibia W2−31
183Scotland U23 W3−51
184South Korea W3−61
185Czech Republic U19 W4−61
186Korea Republic U20 W4−61
187Hungary U19 W3−81
188Costa Rica W3−91
189Cape Verde W4−111
190Malawi W6−121
191Ukraine U19 W3−121
192Bosnia-Herzegovina W1−10
193American Samoa W1−10
194Belgium U17 W1−10
195Ghana U20 W1−10
196Schlieren W1−10
197Georgia W1−10
198Hertha Berlin W1−10
199Luxembourg W1−10
200Norway U18 W2−20
201Argentina W1−20
202Equatorial Guinea W1−20
203Albion San Diego W1−20
204France U17 W1−20
205Zvezda Perm W1−20
206Comoros W2−30
207Dominican Republic W1−30
208Gibraltar W1−30
209Argentina U20 W2−40
210Guatemala W1−40
211Romania U23 W1−40
212Afghanistan W2−40
213Chile U17 W2−40
214Sri Lanka W1−40
215Malaysia W3−50
216Perth Azzurri W1−50
217Costa Rica U20 W2−50
218Andorra W1−50
219Belize W2−50
220Perth RedStar W1−50
221Cyprus U19 W2−60
222Jordan U20 W3−60
223Belgium U23 W5−70
224Macau W1−70
225Wales U17 W2−70
226Laos W2−80
227Lesotho W2−80
228Armenia U19 W2−80
229Latvia W1−90
230Tajikistan U20 W3−100
231Saudi Arabia U20 W3−100
232New Caledonia U20 W1−110
233Bahrain W3−120
234New Caledonia W6−160
235Bhutan U19 W3−210
236Seychelles W2−260
237Turks and Caicos Islands W3−280

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.