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Haiti W v Japan W
Haiti WJapan WFriendlies Women · SAT 10 OCT · Stade Bauer
Corrected on 16 Oct: this prediction was last updated after the match had started (it kicked off on 9 Oct 19:00), so it is shown but not counted in the record’s figures.
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
Match updates
Recorded match details below.
Timeline
Events will appear when the match starts.
Pre-match prediction
Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15
Match information
SAT 10 OCT · 01:00
Venue · Stade Bauer
The game so far
Recorded statisticsMatch statistics
Match statistics are not available yet.
Players on the pitch
Recorded line-upsLine-ups
Haiti W
Formation not confirmed
1 N. Louissaint
3 J. Limage
16 C. Constant
20 K. Louis
7 B. Louis
9 S. Jeudy
21 A. Ibrahim
11 R. Eloissaint
6 D. M. Dumornay
10 N. Mondesir
8 B. Raphino
Coach · Nicolas Delépine
Substitutes
23 · N. Maignan
4 · T. Joseph
18 · J. Vanuxeem
24 · J. Vilgrain
13 · D. Ypema
2 · C. Surpris
22 · N. Jean-Baptiste
14 · A. Pierre-Louis
25 · M. Moryl
15 · F. Joseph
19 · L. Etienne
12 · A. Francois
5 · L. Moise
17 · Chelsea Domond
Japan W
Formation not confirmed
23 A. Okuma
16 Y. Yamamoto
5 H. Takahashi
2 R. Ishikawa
13 H. Kitagawa
8 K. Seike
14 Y. Hasegawa
10 F. Nagano
7 H. Miyazawa
19 M. Tanikawa
17 M. Hamano
Coach · Michihisa Kano
Substitutes
1 · A. Yamashita
12 · S. Ohba
21 · U. Shiragaki
6 · T. Koga
4 · M. Moriya
18 · H. Hayashi
20 · N. Miura
22 · R. Chiba
9 · M. Hijikata
15 · A. Fujino
24 · M. Shimada
Match statistics
Match statistics are not available yet.
Line-ups
Haiti W
Formation not confirmed
1 N. Louissaint
3 J. Limage
16 C. Constant
20 K. Louis
7 B. Louis
9 S. Jeudy
21 A. Ibrahim
11 R. Eloissaint
6 D. M. Dumornay
10 N. Mondesir
8 B. Raphino
Coach · Nicolas Delépine
Substitutes
23 · N. Maignan
4 · T. Joseph
18 · J. Vanuxeem
24 · J. Vilgrain
13 · D. Ypema
2 · C. Surpris
22 · N. Jean-Baptiste
14 · A. Pierre-Louis
25 · M. Moryl
15 · F. Joseph
19 · L. Etienne
12 · A. Francois
5 · L. Moise
17 · Chelsea Domond
Japan W
Formation not confirmed
23 A. Okuma
16 Y. Yamamoto
5 H. Takahashi
2 R. Ishikawa
13 H. Kitagawa
8 K. Seike
14 Y. Hasegawa
10 F. Nagano
7 H. Miyazawa
19 M. Tanikawa
17 M. Hamano
Coach · Michihisa Kano
Substitutes
1 · A. Yamashita
12 · S. Ohba
21 · U. Shiragaki
6 · T. Koga
4 · M. Moriya
18 · H. Hayashi
20 · N. Miura
22 · R. Chiba
9 · M. Hijikata
15 · A. Fujino
24 · M. Shimada
We make Japan W a 64% chance to win. The market has them at 86%. We are 22 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.5–2.7.
Published at 62%, 64% now. The market has gone from 88% to 86% in the same time.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Haiti W win | 21% | 5% | +16 |
| Draw | 15% | 9% | +6 |
| Japan W win | 64% | 86% | −22 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 80% | 0 |
| Both teams to score | 72% | 49% | +23 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 91% | 92% | −1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 62% | 64% | −2 |
| Haiti W or draw | 36% | 14% | +22 |
| Haiti W clean sheet | 7% | – | – |
| Japan W clean sheet | 22% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 7 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
0 meetings since 2011No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.
Form · last six in Friendlies Women
HAITI W
JAPAN W
The table
2026| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ivory Coast W | 9 | +29 | 22 |
| 2 |  Saudi Arabia W | 10 | +19 | 22 |
| 3 |  Morocco W | 9 | +19 | 21 |
| 4 |  India W | 11 | +6 | 19 |
| 5 |  England U20 W | 9 | +15 | 17 |
| 6 |  United States W U17 | 9 | +14 | 17 |
| 7 |  USA U19 W | 7 | +10 | 16 |
| 8 |  Russia W | 7 | +6 | 16 |
| 9 |  Brazil W | 8 | +11 | 15 |
| 10 |  Papua New Guinea W | 5 | +13 | 13 |
| 11 |  Ghana W | 5 | +13 | 13 |
| 12 |  Sweden U23 W | 6 | +6 | 13 |
| 13 |  Germany U23 W | 6 | +4 | 13 |
| 14 |  USA U18 W | 4 | +26 | 12 |
| 15 |  USA W | 6 | +11 | 12 |
| 16 |  Japan U17 | 5 | +7 | 12 |
| 17 |  Nigeria W | 5 | +6 | 12 |
| 18 |  United States U20 W | 6 | +7 | 11 |
| 19 |  Egypt W | 8 | −1 | 11 |
| 20 |  Uzbekistan U20 W | 10 | −3 | 11 |
| 21 |  Canada W | 5 | +11 | 10 |
| 22 |  El Salvador W | 4 | +9 | 10 |
| 23 |  Thailand W | 4 | +7 | 10 |
| 24 |  Russia U19 W | 5 | +5 | 10 |
| 25 |  England U23 W | 4 | +5 | 10 |
| 26 |  Algeria W | 6 | +2 | 10 |
| 27 |  Sweden U18 W | 6 | −5 | 10 |
| 28 |  Bangladesh U19 W | 4 | +14 | 9 |
| 29 |  Spain U20 W | 3 | +12 | 9 |
| 30 |  India U17 W | 4 | +11 | 9 |
| 31 |  China W | 5 | +8 | 9 |
| 32 |  Australia W | 5 | +6 | 9 |
| 33 |  Italy U23 W | 4 | +3 | 9 |
| 34 |  South Africa W | 4 | −1 | 9 |
| 35 |  Botswana W | 4 | +6 | 8 |
| 36 |  Vanuatu W | 5 | +4 | 8 |
| 37 |  Tunisia W | 4 | +2 | 8 |
| 38 |  Morocco U20 W | 4 | +6 | 7 |
| 39 |  Canada U20 W | 4 | +4 | 7 |
| 40 |  Kenya W | 6 | +3 | 7 |
| 41 |  Iran U20 W | 3 | +2 | 7 |
| 42 |  Scotland U17 W | 4 | +2 | 7 |
| 43 |  Brazil U20 W | 5 | 0 | 7 |
| 44 |  Portugal U20 W | 5 | −1 | 7 |
| 45 |  Solomon Islands W | 4 | −2 | 7 |
| 46 |  Senegal W | 6 | −3 | 7 |
| 47 |  Ethiopia W | 2 | +26 | 6 |
| 48 |  Romania U19 W | 2 | +12 | 6 |
| 49 |  Georgia U19 W | 2 | +8 | 6 |
| 50 |  Montenegro U19 W | 2 | +6 | 6 |
| 51 |  Denmark U19 W | 3 | +5 | 6 |
| 52 |  Bermuda W | 2 | +5 | 6 |
| 53 |  Kyrgyz Republic W | 4 | +4 | 6 |
| 54 | Japan W | 4 | +4 | 6 |
| 55 |  Austria U19 W | 2 | +4 | 6 |
| 56 |  Chile U20 W | 2 | +4 | 6 |
| 57 |  Cook Islands W | 2 | +4 | 6 |
| 58 |  Uzbekistan W | 4 | +3 | 6 |
| 59 |  Finland U23 W | 3 | +3 | 6 |
| 60 |  Austria U17 W | 2 | +3 | 6 |
| 61 | Haiti W | 2 | +3 | 6 |
| 62 |  Czech Republic U17 W | 3 | +2 | 6 |
| 63 |  Finland U18 W | 2 | +2 | 6 |
| 64 |  Netherlands U23 W | 6 | +1 | 6 |
| 65 |  Italy U17 W | 4 | +1 | 6 |
| 66 |  Jordan W | 3 | +1 | 6 |
| 67 |  Thailand U20 W | 3 | +1 | 6 |
| 68 |  Cameroon W | 3 | +1 | 6 |
| 69 |  Portugal U17 W | 3 | +1 | 6 |
| 70 |  Mexico W | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 71 |  Mauritania W | 3 | −1 | 6 |
| 72 |  Hong Kong W | 3 | −1 | 6 |
| 73 |  Portugal U23 W | 4 | −1 | 6 |
| 74 |  Germany U19 W | 4 | −1 | 6 |
| 75 |  Benin W | 7 | −3 | 6 |
| 76 |  Chile W | 3 | −3 | 6 |
| 77 |  Malta U19 W | 4 | −5 | 6 |
| 78 |  France U23 W | 6 | −5 | 6 |
| 79 |  Zambia W | 7 | −7 | 6 |
| 80 |  Fiji W | 7 | −7 | 6 |
| 81 |  Mexico U20 W | 6 | −8 | 6 |
| 82 |  Mexico U23 W | 3 | +3 | 5 |
| 83 |  Portugal U19 W | 3 | +2 | 5 |
| 84 |  USA U23 W | 3 | +1 | 5 |
| 85 |  Scotland U19 W | 3 | +1 | 5 |
| 86 |  England U17 W | 4 | 0 | 5 |
| 87 |  Norway U23 W | 5 | −1 | 5 |
| 88 |  Morocco U17 W | 4 | −4 | 5 |
| 89 |  Tanzania W | 6 | −6 | 5 |
| 90 |  Cambodia W | 2 | +5 | 4 |
| 91 |  Faroe Islands W | 2 | +5 | 4 |
| 92 |  Vietnam U20 W | 2 | +4 | 4 |
| 93 |  Switzerland U19 W | 2 | +2 | 4 |
| 94 |  Bosnia & Herzegovina U19 W | 2 | +2 | 4 |
| 95 |  Turkey U18 W | 2 | +2 | 4 |
| 96 |  Finland U17 W | 2 | +1 | 4 |
| 97 |  Uruguay W | 2 | +1 | 4 |
| 98 |  Venezuela W | 2 | +1 | 4 |
| 99 |  Argentina U17 W | 2 | +1 | 4 |
| 100 |  France U19 W | 2 | +1 | 4 |
| 101 |  Japan U20 W | 2 | +1 | 4 |
| 102 |  Moldova W | 2 | +1 | 4 |
| 103 |  Nigeria U20 W | 2 | +1 | 4 |
| 104 |  Serbia U19 W | 2 | +1 | 4 |
| 105 |  Colombia U20 W | 2 | +1 | 4 |
| 106 |  Jamaica W | 2 | +1 | 4 |
| 107 |  Norway U17 W | 2 | +1 | 4 |
| 108 |  Canada W U17 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 109 |  Portugal U18 W | 4 | −1 | 4 |
| 110 |  Uruguay U20 W | 4 | −3 | 4 |
| 111 |  Burkina Faso W | 6 | −6 | 4 |
| 112 |  Indonesia W | 4 | −6 | 4 |
| 113 |  Bhutan W | 1 | +7 | 3 |
| 114 |  Pakistan W | 3 | +5 | 3 |
| 115 |  Congo DR W | 2 | +4 | 3 |
| 116 |  Czechia U23 W | 3 | +2 | 3 |
| 117 |  Germany W | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 118 |  Bangladesh U20 W | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 119 |  Metalist 1925 W | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 120 |  Netherlands U17 W | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 121 |  Turkey U19 W | 2 | +1 | 3 |
| 122 |  France U20 W | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 123 |  Montenegro W | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 124 |  Morocco U23 W | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 125 |  Norway U19 W | 2 | +1 | 3 |
| 126 |  Armenia W | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 127 |  Palestine W | 2 | +1 | 3 |
| 128 |  Poland U20 W | 2 | +1 | 3 |
| 129 |  Csikszereda MC W | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 130 |  Malta W | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 131 |  San Diego Wave W | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 132 |  Iceland U19 W | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 133 |  Kyrgyzstan W | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 134 |  Philippines W | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 135 |  Mali W | 4 | −1 | 3 |
| 136 |  Zimbabwe W | 2 | −1 | 3 |
| 137 |  Italy U19 W | 4 | −1 | 3 |
| 138 |  Denmark U23 W | 4 | −2 | 3 |
| 139 |  Denmark U17 W | 2 | −2 | 3 |
| 140 |  Sweden U19 W | 2 | −2 | 3 |
| 141 |  Azerbaijan U19 W | 2 | −3 | 3 |
| 142 |  Poland U17 W | 4 | −3 | 3 |
| 143 |  Estonia W | 2 | −3 | 3 |
| 144 |  Finland U19 W | 3 | −3 | 3 |
| 145 |  Singapore W | 2 | −3 | 3 |
| 146 |  Nepal U19 W | 3 | −4 | 3 |
| 147 |  Peru W | 3 | −4 | 3 |
| 148 |  Netherlands U19 W | 3 | −5 | 3 |
| 149 |  Wales U19 W | 4 | −7 | 3 |
| 150 |  Vietnam W | 5 | −13 | 3 |
| 151 |  Poland U19 W | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 152 |  Germany U17 W | 3 | −1 | 2 |
| 153 |  Mexico U17 W | 4 | −2 | 2 |
| 154 |  Switzerland U17 W | 5 | −7 | 2 |
| 155 |  América W | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 156 |  Cyprus W | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 157 |  Denmark W | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 158 |  Greece W | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 159 |  Italy U20 W | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 160 |  Croatia U19 W | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 161 |  Spartak Moskva W | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 162 |  Tajikistan W | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 163 |  UAE W | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 164 |  Benin U20 W | 2 | −1 | 1 |
| 165 |  Ecuador W | 2 | −1 | 1 |
| 166 |  Hungary U17 W | 2 | −1 | 1 |
| 167 |  South Africa U17 W | 2 | −1 | 1 |
| 168 |  Ecuador U20 W | 2 | −1 | 1 |
| 169 |  Greece U19 W | 2 | −1 | 1 |
| 170 |  Myanmar W | 2 | −1 | 1 |
| 171 |  New Zealand W | 2 | −1 | 1 |
| 172 |  Panama W | 2 | −1 | 1 |
| 173 |  Belgium U19 W | 3 | −2 | 1 |
| 174 |  Republic of Ireland U19 W | 2 | −2 | 1 |
| 175 |  Slovenia U19 W | 2 | −2 | 1 |
| 176 |  Uzbekistan U18 W | 2 | −2 | 1 |
| 177 |  Namibia W | 2 | −3 | 1 |
| 178 |  Scotland U23 W | 3 | −5 | 1 |
| 179 |  South Korea W | 3 | −6 | 1 |
| 180 |  Czech Republic U19 W | 4 | −6 | 1 |
| 181 |  Korea Republic U20 W | 4 | −6 | 1 |
| 182 |  Hungary U19 W | 3 | −8 | 1 |
| 183 |  Costa Rica W | 3 | −9 | 1 |
| 184 |  Cape Verde W | 4 | −11 | 1 |
| 185 |  Malawi W | 6 | −12 | 1 |
| 186 |  Ukraine U19 W | 3 | −12 | 1 |
| 187 |  Bosnia-Herzegovina W | 1 | −1 | 0 |
| 188 |  American Samoa W | 1 | −1 | 0 |
| 189 |  Belgium U17 W | 1 | −1 | 0 |
| 190 |  Ghana U20 W | 1 | −1 | 0 |
| 191 |  Schlieren W | 1 | −1 | 0 |
| 192 |  Georgia W | 1 | −1 | 0 |
| 193 |  Hertha Berlin W | 1 | −1 | 0 |
| 194 |  Luxembourg W | 1 | −1 | 0 |
| 195 |  Norway U18 W | 2 | −2 | 0 |
| 196 |  Equatorial Guinea W | 1 | −2 | 0 |
| 197 |  Albion San Diego W | 1 | −2 | 0 |
| 198 |  France U17 W | 1 | −2 | 0 |
| 199 |  Zvezda Perm W | 1 | −2 | 0 |
| 200 |  Comoros W | 2 | −3 | 0 |
| 201 |  Dominican Republic W | 1 | −3 | 0 |
| 202 |  Argentina U20 W | 2 | −4 | 0 |
| 203 |  Guatemala W | 1 | −4 | 0 |
| 204 |  Romania U23 W | 1 | −4 | 0 |
| 205 |  Afghanistan W | 2 | −4 | 0 |
| 206 |  Chile U17 W | 2 | −4 | 0 |
| 207 |  Sri Lanka W | 1 | −4 | 0 |
| 208 |  Malaysia W | 3 | −5 | 0 |
| 209 |  Perth Azzurri W | 1 | −5 | 0 |
| 210 |  Costa Rica U20 W | 2 | −5 | 0 |
| 211 |  Andorra W | 1 | −5 | 0 |
| 212 |  Belize W | 2 | −5 | 0 |
| 213 |  Perth RedStar W | 1 | −5 | 0 |
| 214 |  Cyprus U19 W | 2 | −6 | 0 |
| 215 |  Jordan U20 W | 3 | −6 | 0 |
| 216 |  Belgium U23 W | 5 | −7 | 0 |
| 217 |  Macau W | 1 | −7 | 0 |
| 218 |  Wales U17 W | 2 | −7 | 0 |
| 219 |  Laos W | 2 | −8 | 0 |
| 220 |  Lesotho W | 2 | −8 | 0 |
| 221 |  Armenia U19 W | 2 | −8 | 0 |
| 222 |  Paraguay W | 3 | −8 | 0 |
| 223 |  Tajikistan U20 W | 3 | −10 | 0 |
| 224 |  Saudi Arabia U20 W | 3 | −10 | 0 |
| 225 |  New Caledonia U20 W | 1 | −11 | 0 |
| 226 |  Bahrain W | 3 | −12 | 0 |
| 227 |  New Caledonia W | 6 | −16 | 0 |
| 228 |  Bhutan U19 W | 3 | −21 | 0 |
| 229 |  Seychelles W | 2 | −26 | 0 |
| 230 |  Turks and Caicos Islands W | 3 | −28 | 0 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.
Last updated 2026-10-10 05:31 UTC.