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Germany W v Australia W

Germany W
4–2Full time
Australia W

Friendlies Women · FRI 9 OCT · BBBank Wildpark

Full timeGraded 9 Oct 22:00
Germany W 4–2 Australia W GERMANY W WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Germany W win69%
The market said68%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.142
The market’s Brier score0.157

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay4 notes · 46 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Germany W win at 69%.
  2. 1′KICK-OFF Germany W v Australia W
  3. 2′Little has changed for our model: Germany W 69% before kick-off, 67% now. 0–0 · 67–18–15
  4. 22′⚽ GOAL · 22' Germany W 1–0 Australia W
  5. 22′⚽ GOAL · 24' Germany W 1–0 Australia W
  6. 23′24′ and it is 1–0: Germany W have scored. 1–0 · 84–11–5
  7. 23′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 23' Germany W win: 69% at kick-off, 84% now
  8. 29′⚽ GOAL · 29' Germany W 2–0 Australia W · F. Kett
  9. 30′⚽ GOAL · 30' Germany W 2–0 Australia W
  10. 31′Germany W ahead on 30′ through M. Kossler. 2–0. 2–0 · 95–4–1
  11. 31′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 31' Germany W win: 69% at kick-off, 95% now
  12. 35′We said Germany W at 69% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 2–0 · 95–4–1
  13. 42′⚽ GOAL · 23' Germany W 2–0 Australia W · F. Kett (assist C. Wamser)
  14. 42′⚽ GOAL · 30' Germany W 2–0 Australia W · M. Kossler (assist E. Senss)
  15. 45′⚽ GOAL · 23' Germany W 2–0 Australia W · F. Kett (assist C. Wamser)
  16. 45′⚽ GOAL · 30' Germany W 2–0 Australia W · M. Kossler (assist E. Senss)
  17. 45′SECOND HALF Germany W 2–1 Australia W
  18. 46′⚽ GOAL · 46' Germany W 2–1 Australia W · M. Kossler
  19. 47′⚽ GOAL · 47' Germany W 2–1 Australia W
  20. 50′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Germany W · On: L. Baum · Off: K. Buhl
  21. 50′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Germany W · On: L. Dallmann · Off: J. Brand
  22. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Australia W · On: C. Nevin · Off: S. Catley
  23. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Australia W · On: H. McNamara · Off: S. Kerr
  24. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Australia W · On: A. Murphy · Off: A. Sayer
  25. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Australia W · On: L. McKenna · Off: E. van Egmond
  26. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Germany W · On: S. Linder · Off: C. Wamser
  27. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Germany W · On: N. Anyomi · Off: M. Kossler
  28. 79′⚽ GOAL · 23' Germany W 2–1 Australia W · M. Kossler
  29. 79′⚽ GOAL · 30' Germany W 2–1 Australia W · M. Kossler (assist E. Senss)
  30. 79′⚽ GOAL · 47' Germany W 2–1 Australia W · S. Kerr (assist E. Carpenter)
  31. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Germany W · On: M. Muller · Off: F. Kett
  32. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Germany W · On: L. Dallmann · Off: J. Brand
  33. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Germany W · On: L. Baum · Off: K. Buhl
  34. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Australia W · On: C. Nevin · Off: S. Catley
  35. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Australia W · On: H. McNamara · Off: S. Kerr
  36. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Australia W · On: A. Murphy · Off: A. Sayer
  37. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Australia W · On: L. McKenna · Off: E. van Egmond
  38. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Germany W · On: S. Linder · Off: C. Wamser
  39. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Germany W · On: N. Anyomi · Off: M. Kossler
  40. 82′⚽ GOAL · 82' Germany W 3–1 Australia W · S. Kerr
  41. 83′⚽ GOAL · 83' Germany W 3–1 Australia W
  42. 91′⚽ GOAL · 91' Germany W 3–2 Australia W · C. Kuver
  43. 92′⚽ GOAL · 92' Germany W 3–2 Australia W · C. Kuver
  44. 92′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Australia W · On: R. Siemsen · Off: H. Raso
  45. 92′⚽ GOAL · 93' Germany W 3–2 Australia W
  46. 92′SUBSTITUTION · 89' Germany W · On: S. Kleinherne · Off: J. Minge
  47. 92′⚽ GOAL · 93' Germany W 3–2 Australia W · H. McNamara
  48. 93′⚽ GOAL · 93' Germany W 3–2 Australia W · H. McNamara
  49. 93′⚽ GOAL · 93' Germany W 4–2 Australia W · H. McNamara
  50. 93′⚽ GOAL · 95' Germany W 4–2 Australia W
  51. FTFULL TIME Germany W 4–2 Australia W
  52. FTGermany W 4–2 Australia W · Germany W win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 2–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Germany W win69%
Draw14%
Australia W win17%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

FRI 9 OCT · 19:30

Venue · BBBank Wildpark

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Germany W

Formation not confirmed

1 E. Mahmutovic

13 C. Wamser

5 J. Minge

3 C. Kuver

17 F. Kett

20 E. Senss

9 S. Nusken

14 C. Zicai

22 J. Brand

19 K. Buhl

18 M. Kossler

Coach · Christian Wuck

Substitutes

21 · L. Dick

12 · S. Johannes

23 · S. Kleinherne

7 · S. Linder

2 · M. Muller

24 · L. Baum

16 · L. Dallmann

4 · L. Zahringer

10 · L. Freigang

8 · N. Anyomi

Australia W

Formation not confirmed

1 M. Arnold

21 E. Carpenter

3 W. Heatley

7 S. Catley

8 K. Torpey

6 C. Wheeler

17 A. Sayer

16 H. Raso

10 E. van Egmond

9 C. Foord

20 S. Kerr

Coach · Joseph Montemurro

Substitutes

18 · C. Newbon

12 · C. Lincoln

27 · T. Tumeth

22 · C. Grant

5 · J. Rankin

19 · L. McKenna

28 · A. Apostolakis

15 · A. Murphy

29 · D. Galic

13 · A. Chidiac

2 · C. Nevin

11 · L. Davidson

24 · H. Lowry

26 · R. Siemsen

25 · H. McNamara

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Germany W

Formation not confirmed

1 E. Mahmutovic

13 C. Wamser

5 J. Minge

3 C. Kuver

17 F. Kett

20 E. Senss

9 S. Nusken

14 C. Zicai

22 J. Brand

19 K. Buhl

18 M. Kossler

Coach · Christian Wuck

Substitutes

21 · L. Dick

12 · S. Johannes

23 · S. Kleinherne

7 · S. Linder

2 · M. Muller

24 · L. Baum

16 · L. Dallmann

4 · L. Zahringer

10 · L. Freigang

8 · N. Anyomi

Australia W

Formation not confirmed

1 M. Arnold

21 E. Carpenter

3 W. Heatley

7 S. Catley

8 K. Torpey

6 C. Wheeler

17 A. Sayer

16 H. Raso

10 E. van Egmond

9 C. Foord

20 S. Kerr

Coach · Joseph Montemurro

Substitutes

18 · C. Newbon

12 · C. Lincoln

27 · T. Tumeth

22 · C. Grant

5 · J. Rankin

19 · L. McKenna

28 · A. Apostolakis

15 · A. Murphy

29 · D. Galic

13 · A. Chidiac

2 · C. Nevin

11 · L. Davidson

24 · H. Lowry

26 · R. Siemsen

25 · H. McNamara

Our number · germany w winPublished 9 Oct 19:34
69% The market68%
Us69%
Market68%

We make Germany W a 69% chance to win. The market has them at 68%. We are within 2 points of the market. The model expects 2.5–1.1.

How the number movedSince we published
65%70%75% 9 OCT 06:239 OCT 07:27
Our probability · germany w win The market, margin stripped

Published at 70%, 69% now. The market has not moved either.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Germany W win69%68%+2
Draw14%19%−5
Australia W win17%13%+4
Over 2.5 goals71%63%+8
Both teams to score61%55%+6
Over 1.5 goals86%82%+5
Over 3.5 goals50%43%+7
Germany W or draw83%87%−4
Germany W clean sheet32%––
Australia W clean sheet8%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 9.3%
0123450 4.6 1 8.1 5.6 4.2 2 8.1 9.3 5.3 2.0 3 6.9 7.8 4.5 4 4.4 5.0 2.8 5 2.2 2.5
under 2% 5% 12%+Germany W down, Australia W across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2016
Goals a meeting4.25
Over 2.54 of 4
Both scored3 of 4
Last meetingsGER 1–2 AUS · GER 3–0 AUS · GER 5–2 AUS · GER 2–2 AUS

Form · last six in Friendlies Women

GERMANY W

WWWDWW5–0 · 4–0 · 5–1 · 0–0 · 2–0 · 2–0

AUSTRALIA W

WLWWLW2–1 · 0–1 · 5–0 · 2–0 · 0–1 · 3–1

The table

2026
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Ivory Coast W9+2922
2Morocco W9+1921
3Saudi Arabia W9+1719
4India W11+619
5England U20 W9+1517
6United States W U179+1417
7USA U19 W7+1016
8Russia W7+616
9Brazil W8+1115
10Papua New Guinea W5+1313
11Ghana W5+1313
12Sweden U23 W6+613
13Germany U23 W6+413
14USA U18 W4+2612
15USA W6+1112
16Japan U175+712
17Nigeria W5+612
18United States U20 W6+711
19Egypt W8−111
20Uzbekistan U20 W10−311
21El Salvador W4+910
22Thailand W4+710
23Russia U19 W5+510
24England U23 W4+510
25Algeria W6+210
26Sweden U18 W6−510
27Bangladesh U19 W4+149
28Spain U20 W3+129
29Canada W4+119
30India U17 W4+119
31China W5+89
32Australia W4+89
33Italy U23 W4+39
34South Africa W4−19
35Botswana W4+68
36Vanuatu W5+48
37Tunisia W4+28
38Morocco U20 W4+67
39Canada U20 W4+47
40Kenya W6+37
41Iran U20 W3+27
42Scotland U17 W4+27
43Brazil U20 W507
44Portugal U20 W5−17
45Solomon Islands W4−27
46Senegal W6−37
47Ethiopia W2+266
48Romania U19 W2+126
49Georgia U19 W2+86
50Montenegro U19 W2+66
51Denmark U19 W3+56
52Bermuda W2+56
53Kyrgyz Republic W4+46
54Japan W4+46
55Austria U19 W2+46
56Chile U20 W2+46
57Cook Islands W2+46
58Uzbekistan W4+36
59Finland U23 W3+36
60Austria U17 W2+36
61Haiti W2+36
62Czech Republic U17 W3+26
63Finland U18 W2+26
64Netherlands U23 W6+16
65Italy U17 W4+16
66Jordan W3+16
67Thailand U20 W3+16
68Cameroon W3+16
69Portugal U17 W3+16
70Mexico W306
71Mauritania W3−16
72Hong Kong W3−16
73Portugal U23 W4−16
74Germany U19 W4−16
75Benin W7−36
76Chile W3−36
77Malta U19 W4−56
78France U23 W6−56
79Zambia W7−76
80Fiji W7−76
81Mexico U20 W6−86
82Mexico U23 W3+35
83Portugal U19 W3+25
84USA U23 W3+15
85Scotland U19 W3+15
86England U17 W405
87Norway U23 W5−15
88Morocco U17 W4−45
89Tanzania W6−65
90Cambodia W2+54
91Vietnam U20 W2+44
92Switzerland U19 W2+24
93Bosnia & Herzegovina U19 W2+24
94Turkey U18 W2+24
95Finland U17 W2+14
96Uruguay W2+14
97Venezuela W2+14
98Argentina U17 W2+14
99France U19 W2+14
100Japan U20 W2+14
101Nigeria U20 W2+14
102Serbia U19 W2+14
103Colombia U20 W2+14
104Jamaica W2+14
105Norway U17 W2+14
106Canada W U17304
107Portugal U18 W4−14
108Uruguay U20 W4−34
109Burkina Faso W6−64
110Indonesia W4−64
111Bhutan W1+73
112Pakistan W3+53
113Congo DR W2+43
114Czech Republic U23 W2+33
115Bangladesh U20 W1+23
116Metalist 1925 W1+23
117Netherlands U17 W1+23
118Turkey U19 W2+13
119France U20 W1+13
120Morocco U23 W1+13
121Norway U19 W2+13
122Armenia W1+13
123Palestine W2+13
124Philippines W2+13
125Poland U20 W2+13
126Csikszereda MC W1+13
127San Diego Wave W1+13
128Iceland U19 W203
129Kyrgyzstan W303
130Mali W4−13
131Zimbabwe W2−13
132Italy U19 W4−13
133Denmark U23 W4−23
134Denmark U17 W2−23
135Sweden U19 W2−23
136Azerbaijan U19 W2−33
137Poland U17 W4−33
138Finland U19 W3−33
139Singapore W2−33
140Nepal U19 W3−43
141Netherlands U19 W3−53
142Wales U19 W4−73
143Vietnam W5−133
144Poland U19 W202
145Germany U17 W3−12
146Mexico U17 W4−22
147Switzerland U17 W5−72
148América W101
149Cyprus W101
150Faroe Islands W101
151Greece W101
152Italy U20 W101
153Moldova W101
154Croatia U19 W101
155Spartak Moskva W101
156Tajikistan W101
157UAE W101
158Benin U20 W2−11
159Ecuador W2−11
160Hungary U17 W2−11
161South Africa U17 W2−11
162Ecuador U20 W2−11
163Greece U19 W2−11
164Myanmar W2−11
165New Zealand W2−11
166Panama W2−11
167Belgium U19 W3−21
168Republic of Ireland U19 W2−21
169Slovenia U19 W2−21
170Uzbekistan U18 W2−21
171Namibia W2−31
172Scotland U23 W3−51
173South Korea W3−61
174Czech Republic U19 W4−61
175Korea Republic U20 W4−61
176Hungary U19 W3−81
177Costa Rica W3−91
178Cape Verde W4−111
179Malawi W6−121
180Ukraine U19 W3−121
181American Samoa W1−10
182Belgium U17 W1−10
183Ghana U20 W1−10
184Schlieren W1−10
185Hertha Berlin W1−10
186Norway U18 W2−20
187Equatorial Guinea W1−20
188Albion San Diego W1−20
189France U17 W1−20
190Zvezda Perm W1−20
191Malaysia W2−30
192Comoros W2−30
193Dominican Republic W1−30
194Argentina U20 W2−40
195Guatemala W1−40
196Romania U23 W1−40
197Afghanistan W2−40
198Chile U17 W2−40
199Estonia W1−40
200Sri Lanka W1−40
201Perth Azzurri W1−50
202Costa Rica U20 W2−50
203Belize W2−50
204Perth RedStar W1−50
205Peru W2−50
206Cyprus U19 W2−60
207Jordan U20 W3−60
208Belgium U23 W5−70
209Macau W1−70
210Wales U17 W2−70
211Laos W2−80
212Lesotho W2−80
213Armenia U19 W2−80
214Paraguay W3−80
215Tajikistan U20 W3−100
216Saudi Arabia U20 W3−100
217New Caledonia U20 W1−110
218Bahrain W3−120
219New Caledonia W6−160
220Bhutan U19 W3−210
221Seychelles W2−260
222Turks and Caicos Islands W3−280

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.