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Model 1.1

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France W v Latvia W

France W
9–0Full time
Latvia W

Friendlies Women · SAT 10 OCT · Stade Francis Le Basser

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 22:31
France W 9–0 Latvia W FRANCE W WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT6–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said France W win99%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.000

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay3 notes · 37 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said France W win at 99%.
  2. 1′KICK-OFF France W v Latvia W
  3. 2′Much as we predicted: France W was 99% before kick-off and our model makes it 98% now. 0–0 · 98–1–0
  4. 5′Much as we predicted: France W was 99% before kick-off and our model makes it 98% now. 0–0 · 98–2–0
  5. 8′⚽ GOAL · 8' France W 1–0 Latvia W
  6. 8′⚽ GOAL · 7' France W 1–0 Latvia W · K. Diani
  7. 12′⚽ GOAL · 7' France W 2–0 Latvia W · K. Diani (assist O. Hurtre)
  8. 12′⚽ GOAL · 12' France W 2–0 Latvia W
  9. 20′⚽ GOAL · 20' France W 3–0 Latvia W
  10. 25′⚽ GOAL · 7' France W 3–0 Latvia W · K. Diani (assist O. Hurtre)
  11. 25′⚽ GOAL · 12' France W 3–0 Latvia W · A. Le Moguedec (assist M. Malard)
  12. 25′⚽ GOAL · 20' France W 3–0 Latvia W · M. Malard (assist S. Bacha)
  13. 26′M. Malard scores for France W on 20′ — 3–0. 3–0 · 100–0–0
  14. 32′⚽ GOAL · 31' France W 4–0 Latvia W
  15. 40′⚽ GOAL · 40' France W 5–0 Latvia W
  16. 45′⚽ GOAL · 46' France W 6–0 Latvia W · O. Hurtre
  17. 45′HALF-TIME France W 6–0 Latvia W
  18. 46′SUBSTITUTION · 46' France W · On: E. Cascarino · Off: S. Karchaoui
  19. 46′SUBSTITUTION · 46' France W · On: P. Peyraud-Magnin · Off: C. Picaud
  20. 46′SUBSTITUTION · 46' France W · On: S. Baltimore · Off: S. Bacha
  21. 46′SUBSTITUTION · 46' France W · On: A. Sombath · Off: G. Mbock
  22. 46′SECOND HALF France W 6–0 Latvia W
  23. 57′SUBSTITUTION · 46' France W · On: K. Gago · Off: M. N'Dongala
  24. 58′SUBSTITUTION · 49' France W · On: M. Katoto · Off: M. Malard Corrected
  25. 58′SUBSTITUTION · 46' France W · On: V. Becho · Off: O. Hurtre
  26. 59′⚽ GOAL · 59' France W 7–0 Latvia W · K. Gago
  27. 60′⚽ GOAL · 59' France W 7–0 Latvia W · K. Gago
  28. 61′⚽ GOAL · 59' France W 7–0 Latvia W · K. Gago (assist S. Baltimore)
  29. 61′SUBSTITUTION · 60' France W · On: A. Ebayilin · Off: A. Le Moguedec
  30. 61′SUBSTITUTION · 60' France W · On: J. Swierot · Off: G. Geyoro
  31. 66′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Latvia W · On: A. Keita Baltrusaite · Off: S. Voitane
  32. 67′⚽ GOAL · 66' France W 8–0 Latvia W · C. Mateo
  33. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Latvia W · On: D. Suvitra · Off: A. Poluhovica
  34. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Latvia W · On: A. Belova · Off: V. Zaicikova
  35. 80′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Latvia W · On: A. Lipsane · Off: N. Preijere
  36. 83′⚽ GOAL · 82' France W 9–0 Latvia W · M. Katoto
  37. 85′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Latvia W · On: M. Telukevica · Off: S. S. Vuskane
  38. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Latvia W · On: L. Steinberga · Off: O. Sevcova
  39. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Latvia W · On: A. Hropataja · Off: S. Gergeleziu
  40. 87′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Latvia W · On: A. Vainere · Off: A. Andersone
  41. FTFULL TIME France W 9–0 Latvia W
  42. FTFrance W 9–0 Latvia W · France W win: right · Over 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 6–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

France W win99%
Draw1%
Latvia W win0%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 20:00

Venue · Stade Francis Le Basser

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

France W

Formation not confirmed

21 C. Picaud

23 M. N'Dongala

3 T. Samoura

19 G. Mbock

13 S. Bacha

8 G. Geyoro

18 A. Le Moguedec

7 S. Karchaoui

11 K. Diani

9 M. Malard

22 O. Hurtre

Coach · Laurent Bonadei

Substitutes

16 · P. Peyraud-Magnin

1 · A. Pinguet

20 · E. Cascarino

2 · M. Lakrar

4 · A. Sombath

5 · J. Swierot

6 · A. Ebayilin

10 · C. Mateo

17 · S. Baltimore

15 · K. Gago

14 · V. Becho

12 · M. Katoto

Latvia W

Formation not confirmed

23 E. Strazdina

2 U. Upite

10 M. Stube

16 S. Gergeleziu

13 S. Voitane

18 S. S. Vuskane

8 V. Zaicikova

4 A. Andersone

19 N. Preijere

14 O. Sevcova

9 A. Poluhovica

Coach · L. Vāciete

Substitutes

1 · S. Nesterova

20 · A. Keita Baltrusaite

17 · A. Vainere

3 · A. Lipsane

15 · A. Belova

5 · A. Hropataja

7 · A. Ansone

22 · L. Steinberga

11 · D. Suvitra

21 · S. Senberga

6 · M. Telukevica

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

France W

Formation not confirmed

21 C. Picaud

23 M. N'Dongala

3 T. Samoura

19 G. Mbock

13 S. Bacha

8 G. Geyoro

18 A. Le Moguedec

7 S. Karchaoui

11 K. Diani

9 M. Malard

22 O. Hurtre

Coach · Laurent Bonadei

Substitutes

16 · P. Peyraud-Magnin

1 · A. Pinguet

20 · E. Cascarino

2 · M. Lakrar

4 · A. Sombath

5 · J. Swierot

6 · A. Ebayilin

10 · C. Mateo

17 · S. Baltimore

15 · K. Gago

14 · V. Becho

12 · M. Katoto

Latvia W

Formation not confirmed

23 E. Strazdina

2 U. Upite

10 M. Stube

16 S. Gergeleziu

13 S. Voitane

18 S. S. Vuskane

8 V. Zaicikova

4 A. Andersone

19 N. Preijere

14 O. Sevcova

9 A. Poluhovica

Coach · L. Vāciete

Substitutes

1 · S. Nesterova

20 · A. Keita Baltrusaite

17 · A. Vainere

3 · A. Lipsane

15 · A. Belova

5 · A. Hropataja

7 · A. Ansone

22 · L. Steinberga

11 · D. Suvitra

21 · S. Senberga

6 · M. Telukevica

Our number · france w winPublished 10 Oct 20:07
99% The market–
Us99%

We make France W a 99% chance to win. The model expects 5.8–0.5, and 6–0 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

How the number movedSince we published
95%100% 9 OCT 06:2310 OCT 04:02
Our probability · france w win

Published at 97%, 99% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
France W win99%––
Draw1%––
Latvia W win0%––
Over 2.5 goals96%––
Both teams to score39%––
Over 1.5 goals99%––
Over 3.5 goals88%––
France W or draw100%––
France W clean sheet60%––
Latvia W clean sheet0%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 6–0 at 10.1%
0123450 1 2 2.8 3 5.6 2.8 4 8.4 4.2 5 10.1 5.1
under 2% 5% 12%+France W down, Latvia W across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2011

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Friendlies Women

FRANCE W

WWLDWW2–1 · 4–1 · 1–2 · 1–1 · 2–0 · 1–0

LATVIA W

LLLLLL2–3 · 1–3 · 0–3 · 0–1 · 0–5 · 1–2

The table

2026
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Ivory Coast W9+2922
2Saudi Arabia W10+1922
3Morocco W9+1921
4India W11+619
5England U20 W9+1517
6United States W U179+1417
7USA U19 W7+1016
8Russia W7+616
9Brazil W8+1115
10Papua New Guinea W5+1313
11Ghana W5+1313
12Sweden U23 W6+613
13Germany U23 W6+413
14USA U18 W4+2612
15USA W6+1112
16Japan U175+712
17Nigeria W5+612
18United States U20 W6+711
19Egypt W8−111
20Uzbekistan U20 W10−311
21Canada W5+1110
22El Salvador W4+910
23Thailand W4+710
24Russia U19 W5+510
25England U23 W4+510
26Algeria W6+210
27Sweden U18 W6−510
28Bangladesh U19 W4+149
29Spain U20 W3+129
30India U17 W4+119
31China W5+89
32Australia W5+69
33Italy U23 W4+39
34South Africa W4−19
35Botswana W4+68
36Vanuatu W5+48
37Tunisia W4+28
38Morocco U20 W4+67
39Canada U20 W4+47
40Kenya W6+37
41Iran U20 W3+27
42Scotland U17 W4+27
43Brazil U20 W507
44Portugal U20 W5−17
45Solomon Islands W4−27
46Senegal W6−37
47Ethiopia W2+266
48Romania U19 W2+126
49Georgia U19 W2+86
50Montenegro U19 W2+66
51Denmark U19 W3+56
52Bermuda W2+56
53Kyrgyz Republic W4+46
54Japan W4+46
55Austria U19 W2+46
56Chile U20 W2+46
57Cook Islands W2+46
58Uzbekistan W4+36
59Finland U23 W3+36
60Austria U17 W2+36
61Haiti W2+36
62Czech Republic U17 W3+26
63Finland U18 W2+26
64Netherlands U23 W6+16
65Italy U17 W4+16
66Jordan W3+16
67Thailand U20 W3+16
68Cameroon W3+16
69Portugal U17 W3+16
70Mexico W306
71Mauritania W3−16
72Hong Kong W3−16
73Portugal U23 W4−16
74Germany U19 W4−16
75Benin W7−36
76Chile W3−36
77Malta U19 W4−56
78France U23 W6−56
79Zambia W7−76
80Fiji W7−76
81Mexico U20 W6−86
82Mexico U23 W3+35
83Portugal U19 W3+25
84USA U23 W3+15
85Scotland U19 W3+15
86England U17 W405
87Norway U23 W5−15
88Morocco U17 W4−45
89Tanzania W6−65
90Cambodia W2+54
91Faroe Islands W2+54
92Vietnam U20 W2+44
93Switzerland U19 W2+24
94Bosnia & Herzegovina U19 W2+24
95Turkey U18 W2+24
96Finland U17 W2+14
97Uruguay W2+14
98Venezuela W2+14
99Argentina U17 W2+14
100France U19 W2+14
101Japan U20 W2+14
102Moldova W2+14
103Nigeria U20 W2+14
104Serbia U19 W2+14
105Colombia U20 W2+14
106Jamaica W2+14
107Norway U17 W2+14
108Canada W U17304
109Portugal U18 W4−14
110Uruguay U20 W4−34
111Burkina Faso W6−64
112Indonesia W4−64
113Bhutan W1+73
114Pakistan W3+53
115Congo DR W2+43
116Czechia U23 W3+23
117Germany W1+23
118Bangladesh U20 W1+23
119Metalist 1925 W1+23
120Netherlands U17 W1+23
121Turkey U19 W2+13
122France U20 W1+13
123Montenegro W1+13
124Morocco U23 W1+13
125Norway U19 W2+13
126Armenia W1+13
127Palestine W2+13
128Poland U20 W2+13
129Csikszereda MC W1+13
130Malta W1+13
131San Diego Wave W1+13
132Iceland U19 W203
133Kyrgyzstan W303
134Philippines W303
135Mali W4−13
136Zimbabwe W2−13
137Italy U19 W4−13
138Denmark U23 W4−23
139Denmark U17 W2−23
140Sweden U19 W2−23
141Azerbaijan U19 W2−33
142Poland U17 W4−33
143Estonia W2−33
144Finland U19 W3−33
145Singapore W2−33
146Nepal U19 W3−43
147Peru W3−43
148Netherlands U19 W3−53
149Wales U19 W4−73
150Vietnam W5−133
151Poland U19 W202
152Germany U17 W3−12
153Mexico U17 W4−22
154Switzerland U17 W5−72
155América W101
156Cyprus W101
157Denmark W101
158Greece W101
159Italy U20 W101
160Croatia U19 W101
161Spartak Moskva W101
162Tajikistan W101
163UAE W101
164Benin U20 W2−11
165Ecuador W2−11
166Hungary U17 W2−11
167South Africa U17 W2−11
168Ecuador U20 W2−11
169Greece U19 W2−11
170Myanmar W2−11
171New Zealand W2−11
172Panama W2−11
173Belgium U19 W3−21
174Republic of Ireland U19 W2−21
175Slovenia U19 W2−21
176Uzbekistan U18 W2−21
177Namibia W2−31
178Scotland U23 W3−51
179South Korea W3−61
180Czech Republic U19 W4−61
181Korea Republic U20 W4−61
182Hungary U19 W3−81
183Costa Rica W3−91
184Cape Verde W4−111
185Malawi W6−121
186Ukraine U19 W3−121
187Bosnia-Herzegovina W1−10
188American Samoa W1−10
189Belgium U17 W1−10
190Ghana U20 W1−10
191Schlieren W1−10
192Georgia W1−10
193Hertha Berlin W1−10
194Luxembourg W1−10
195Norway U18 W2−20
196Equatorial Guinea W1−20
197Albion San Diego W1−20
198France U17 W1−20
199Zvezda Perm W1−20
200Comoros W2−30
201Dominican Republic W1−30
202Argentina U20 W2−40
203Guatemala W1−40
204Romania U23 W1−40
205Afghanistan W2−40
206Chile U17 W2−40
207Sri Lanka W1−40
208Malaysia W3−50
209Perth Azzurri W1−50
210Costa Rica U20 W2−50
211Andorra W1−50
212Belize W2−50
213Perth RedStar W1−50
214Cyprus U19 W2−60
215Jordan U20 W3−60
216Belgium U23 W5−70
217Macau W1−70
218Wales U17 W2−70
219Laos W2−80
220Lesotho W2−80
221Armenia U19 W2−80
222Paraguay W3−80
223Tajikistan U20 W3−100
224Saudi Arabia U20 W3−100
225New Caledonia U20 W1−110
226Bahrain W3−120
227New Caledonia W6−160
228Bhutan U19 W3−210
229Seychelles W2−260
230Turks and Caicos Islands W3−280

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.