Boca Juniors v Vasco DA Gama

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Boca Juniors win at 52%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Boca Juniors 52% before kick-off, 52% now. 0–0 · 52–26–22
3. 1′KICK-OFF Boca Juniors v Vasco DA Gama
4. 8′🟨 YELLOW · 8' Milton Delgado · Boca Juniors
5. 24′25′ and it is 0–1: Adson on the scoresheet for Vasco DA Gama. 0–1 · 20–27–53
6. 24′⚽ GOAL · 24' Boca Juniors 0–1 Vasco DA Gama
7. 24′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 24' Boca Juniors win: 52% at kick-off, 20% now
8. 24′THE CALL SWINGS · 24' Vasco DA Gama win is now our likeliest result at 53% (was Boca Juniors win 20%)
9. 25′We said Boca Juniors at 52%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 20%. 0–1 · 20–27–53
10. 26′We said Boca Juniors at 52%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–27–54
11. 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.4 we expected. 0–1 · 18–27–55
12. 41′We said Boca Juniors at 52%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–27–59
13. 43′🟨 YELLOW · 44' Adson · Vasco DA Gama
14. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Boca Juniors win: 52% at kick-off, 13% now
15. 45′SECOND HALF Boca Juniors 0–1 Vasco DA Gama
16. 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 46' Boca Juniors win: 52% at kick-off, 12% now
17. 51′🟨 YELLOW · 51' Santiago Sosa · Vasco DA Gama
18. 55′We said Boca Juniors at 52%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–26–65
19. 58′SUBSTITUTION · 58' Boca Juniors · On: Sebastián Villa · Off: Williams Alarcón
20. 63′🟨 YELLOW · 64' Andrés Gómez · Vasco DA Gama
21. 63′🟨 YELLOW · 63' Andrés Gómez · Vasco DA Gama
22. 63′🟥 RED CARD · 64' Andrés Gómez · Vasco DA Gama
23. 64′Vasco DA Gama are down to ten from 64′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 0–1 · 6–23–71
24. 66′🟥 RED CARD · 66' Andrés Gómez · Vasco DA Gama
25. 66′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Boca Juniors · On: Miguel Merentiel · Off: Carlos Palacios
26. 67′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Vasco DA Gama · On: Tchê Tchê · Off: Adson
27. 70′We said Boca Juniors at 52%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–1 · 4–21–75
28. 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 75' Boca Juniors win: 52% at kick-off, 2% now
29. 78′Boca Juniors have had 15.0 attempts to 9.0 and it is still 0–1. 0–1 · 2–15–83
30. 78′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Vasco DA Gama · On: Brenner · Off: Bruno Duarte Da Silva
31. 78′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Vasco DA Gama · On: Gabriel Pereira · Off: Santiago Sosa
32. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Vasco DA Gama · On: Ramon Rique Santos De Souza Barros · Off: Alan Lescano
33. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Vasco DA Gama · On: Jose Luis Rodriguez · Off: Paulo Henrique
34. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Boca Juniors · On: Ángel Romero · Off: Santiago Ascacibar
35. 87′16.0 shots for Boca Juniors, 9.0 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 0–1 · 0–7–93
36. 90′0–1 at the end. Our 52% on Boca Juniors misses, and the record keeps it. 0–1 · 0–0–100
37. FTFULL TIME Boca Juniors 0–1 Vasco DA Gama
38. FTBoca Juniors 0–1 Vasco DA Gama · Boca Juniors win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.