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Model 1.2

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CD Olimpia v CS Cartagines

CD Olimpia
03:00Upcoming
CS Cartagines

CONCACAF Central American Cup · THU 29 OCT · Estadio Nacional Chelato Ucles

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

CD OlimpiaDrawCS Cartagines
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 03:00
Before kick-off · Match result · CD Olimpia 55%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

CD Olimpia are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: CD Olimpia 55%, draw 25%, CS Cartagines 20%. Over 2.5 goals 48%, both teams to score 49%.

The AI’s read on CD Olimpia v CS CartaginesBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 23 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

CD Olimpia win55%
Draw25%
CS Cartagines win20%

Kick-offTHU 29 OCT · 03:00

RoundSemi-finals

VenueEstadio Nacional Chelato Ucles

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

CD Olimpia

CS Cartagines

7Days since last match7

Last match: 22 Oct · CONCACAF Central American Cup

Last match: 22 Oct · CONCACAF Central American Cup

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · cd olimpia winFirst published 23 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
55% The market–
Us55%

We make CD Olimpia a 55% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–0.9, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · CD Olimpia v CS Cartagines1.69 – 0.92
Form · last six in CONCACAF Central American Cup this season · since 6 AugW5 D0 L1 · W4 D2 L0

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
CD Olimpia win55%––
Draw25%––
CS Cartagines win20%––
Over 2.5 goals48%––
Both teams to score49%––
Over 1.5 goals74%––
Over 3.5 goals27%––
CD Olimpia or draw80%––
CD Olimpia clean sheet40%––
CS Cartagines clean sheet18%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 12.1%
0123450 7.8 6.4 3.1 1 12.1 11.8 5.2 2 10.5 9.7 4.4 3 5.9 5.4 2.5 4 2.5 2.3 5
under 2% 5% 12%+CD Olimpia down, CS Cartagines across0–5 goals a side shown (99.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2021/22
Goals a meeting2.67
Over 2.52 of 3
Both scored2 of 3
Last meetingsCSC 1–0 CDO · CDO 3–1 CSC · CSC 1–2 CDO

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in CONCACAF Central American Cup this season · since 6 Aug

CD OLIMPIA

WWWWWL2–1 · 3–1 · 2–1 · 3–0 · 3–0 · 0–1

CS CARTAGINES

DWWDWW1–1 · 4–0 · 2–0 · 2–2 · 3–2 · 1–0