Install the appInstall the appPitchside Lab · free · no ads
Pitchside Lab
Model 1.2

Home › Football › CONCACAF Central American Cup › Alianza v CD Marathon

Back

Alianza v CD Marathon

Alianza
02:00Upcoming
CD Marathon

CONCACAF Central American Cup · WED 28 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

AlianzaDrawCD Marathon
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 02:00
Before kick-off · Match result · CD Marathon 44%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

CD Marathon are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Alianza 27%, draw 30%, CD Marathon 44%. Over 2.5 goals 37%, both teams to score 43%.

The AI’s read on Alianza v CD MarathonBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Alianza win27%
Draw30%
CD Marathon win44%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 02:00

RoundFinal

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Alianza

CD Marathon

7Days since last match7

Last match: 21 Oct · CONCACAF Central American Cup

Last match: 21 Oct · CONCACAF Central American Cup

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · cd marathon winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
44% The market–
Us44%

We make CD Marathon a 44% chance to win. The model expects 0.9–1.3, and 0–1 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Alianza v CD Marathon0.92 – 1.26
Form · last six in CONCACAF Central American Cup this season · since 6 AugW2 D1 L3 · W3 D1 L2

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
40%45%50% 22 OCT 00:0124 OCT 22:53
Our probability · CD Marathon win

Our number has not moved since we published.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Alianza win27%––
Draw30%––
CD Marathon win44%––
Over 2.5 goals37%––
Both teams to score43%––
Over 1.5 goals64%––
Over 3.5 goals18%––
Alianza or draw56%––
Alianza clean sheet28%––
CD Marathon clean sheet40%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–1 at 13.9%
0123450 11.8 13.9 9.0 3.8 1 10.0 13.5 8.2 3.5 2 4.8 6.0 3.8 3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Alianza down, CD Marathon across0–5 goals a side shown (99.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2021/22
Goals a meeting1.67
Over 2.51 of 3
Both scored1 of 3
Last meetingsCDM 2–1 ALI · CDM 0–1 ALI · CDM 1–0 ALI

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in CONCACAF Central American Cup this season · since 6 Aug

ALIANZA

WLWLDL1–0 · 1–3 · 1–0 · 0–3 · 0–0 · 1–2

CD MARATHON

WLWDLW3–0 · 0–1 · 3–0 · 2–2 · 1–3 · 2–1