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Portmore United v Violette AC

Portmore United
3–1Full time
Violette AC

CONCACAF Caribbean Club Championship · WED 14 OCT · Sabina Park

Full timeGraded 14 Oct 03:35
Portmore United 3–1 Violette AC DRAW · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG0–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said a draw35%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.719

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay12 notes · 28 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said a draw at 35%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: the draw 35% before kick-off, 34% now. 0–0 · 31–34–35
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Portmore United v Violette AC
  4. 33′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 33' Draw: 35% at kick-off, 45% now
  5. 38′⚽ GOAL · 38' Portmore United 0–1 Violette AC
  6. 38′GOAL DISALLOWED · 38' Violette AC
  7. 39′Violette AC ahead on 39′ through J. Vedrine. 0–1. 0–1 · 5–20–75
  8. 39′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 39' Draw: 35% at kick-off, 20% now
  9. 39′THE CALL SWINGS · 39' Violette AC win is now our likeliest result at 75% (was Draw 20%)
  10. 42′We said the draw at 35%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 5–19–76
  11. 43′The goal count is tracking the 1.7 we expected. 0–1 · 5–19–76
  12. 45′SECOND HALF Portmore United 0–1 Violette AC
  13. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Portmore United · On: M. Reid · Off: R. Small Corrected
  14. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Portmore United · On: T. Bryan · Off: R. Guthrie Corrected
  15. 52′SUBSTITUTION · 53' Portmore United · On: N. Gayle · Off: S. Young Corrected
  16. 56′SUBSTITUTION · 57' Violette AC · On: R. Louima · Off: D. Norestant Corrected
  17. 62′⚽ GOAL · 62' Portmore United 1–1 Violette AC
  18. 64′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Violette AC · On: M. Chery · Off: C. Exantus Corrected
  19. 64′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Violette AC · On: J. Morisset · Off: J. Vedrine Corrected
  20. 67′J. Brown scores for Portmore United on 63′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 15–68–17
  21. 67′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 67' Draw: 35% at kick-off, 68% now
  22. 67′THE CALL SWINGS · 67' Draw is now our likeliest result at 68% (was Violette AC win 17%)
  23. 69′We said the draw at 35% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 70%. 1–1 · 14–70–16
  24. 70′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Portmore United · On: C. Peck · Off: A. Mullings Corrected
  25. 70′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Portmore United · On: L. Walker O'Neal · Off: J. Grant Corrected
  26. 73′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Violette AC · On: M. Jean-Jules · Off: T. Charleus Corrected
  27. 74′⚽ GOAL · 74' Portmore United 2–1 Violette AC · J. Brown
  28. 75′74′ and it is 2–1: J. Brown on the scoresheet for Portmore United. 2–1 · 88–11–1
  29. 75′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Violette AC · On: C. Louis-Jean · Off: G. Stevenson Corrected
  30. 75′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Violette AC · On: M. Jean-Jules · Off: T. Charleus Corrected
  31. 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 75' Draw: 35% at kick-off, 11% now
  32. 75′THE CALL SWINGS · 75' Portmore United win is now our likeliest result at 88% (was Draw 11%)
  33. 77′We said the draw at 35%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 10%. 2–1 · 89–10–1
  34. 78′🟨 YELLOW · 78' J. Morisset · Violette AC
  35. 79′We said the draw at 35%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 2–1 · 91–9–0
  36. 81′3 goals already, more than the 1.7 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 92–8–0
  37. 86′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 86' Draw: 35% at kick-off, 5% now
  38. 87′We said the draw at 35%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 2–1 · 96–4–0
  39. 95′Portmore United ahead on 90′ through T. Bryan. 3–1. 3–1 · 100–0–0
  40. 95′⚽ GOAL · 95' Portmore United 3–1 Violette AC · J. Brown
  41. FTFULL TIME Portmore United 3–1 Violette AC
  42. FTPortmore United 3–1 Violette AC · Draw: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 0–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.

AI match analysis

Pass
Example · Everton v Chelsea · written before kick-off

Chelsea are slight favourites, but Everton are close behind.

Chelsea are our model’s narrow favourites at 38%, with Everton at 35% and the draw at 27%. Chelsea remain below an even chance: this is a slight lean towards the visitors, not a strong likelihood.

Everton are at home and unbeaten in the 2026/27 Premier League: two wins and four draws from six matches, earning 10 points, scoring eight and conceding five.

The AI’s read on Portmore United v Violette ACBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

Published 14 Oct 00:30 · locked at kick-off

Portmore United win31%
Draw35%
Violette AC win34%

Kick-offWED 14 OCT · 01:00

VenueSabina Park

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Portmore United

Violette AC

27Days since last match29
0Matches in previous 14 days0

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026

Positions of these teams

#TEAMPGDPTS
1Violette AC4+612
4Portmore United4+16

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · drawFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · updated 14 Oct 00:30 · locked at kick-off
35% The market–
Us35%

We make the draw a 35% chance. The model expects 0.8–0.9, and 0–0 is the single most likely score at 19%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Portmore United v Violette AC0.82 – 0.89
Last six in CONCACAF Caribbean Club ChampionshipW2 D0 L2 · W5 D1 L0
Table places · points 6 v 124 v 1

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Portmore United win31%––
Draw35%––
Violette AC win34%––
Over 2.5 goals25%––
Both teams to score33%––
Over 1.5 goals51%––
Over 3.5 goals9%––
Portmore United or draw66%––
Portmore United clean sheet41%––
Violette AC clean sheet44%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–0 at 18.5%
0123450 18.5 15.6 7.1 2.1 1 14.4 13.6 5.9 2 6.1 5.4 2.4 3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Portmore United down, Violette AC across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No meetings between these two in CONCACAF Caribbean Club Championship since 2021. Cup ties and meetings in other competitions are not counted here.

Form · last six in CONCACAF Caribbean Club Championship

PORTMORE UNITED

LWLW1–2 · 2–0 · 0–1 · 2–1

VIOLETTE AC

WDWWWW3–1 · 0–0 · 3–0 · 1–0 · 2–1 · 1–0

The table

2026
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Violette AC4+612
2Club Sando4+27
3Mount Pleasant Academy4+17
4Portmore United4+16
5Salcedo4+16
6Delfines Del Este4+15
7Cibao405
8Defence Force4−63
9Cavalier4−32
10Broki4−31

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.