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Mount Pleasant Academy v Club Sando

Mount Pleasant Academy
2–0Full time
Club Sando

CONCACAF Caribbean Club Championship · FRI 23 OCT · Sabina Park

Full timeGraded 23 Oct 02:30
Mount Pleasant Academy 2–0 Club Sando MOUNT PLEASANT ACADEMY WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Mount Pleasant Academy win62%
The market said64%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.228
The market’s Brier score0.195

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay13 notes · 25 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Mount Pleasant Academy win at 62%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: Mount Pleasant Academy was 62% before kick-off and our model makes it 61% now. 0–0 · 61–26–13
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Mount Pleasant Academy v Club Sando
  4. 30′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 30' Mount Pleasant Academy win: 62% at kick-off, 52% now
  5. 34′We said Mount Pleasant Academy at 62%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 50%. 0–0 · 50–37–13
  6. 36′We said Mount Pleasant Academy at 62%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 49%. 0–0 · 49–38–13
  7. 36′PENALTY MISSED · 36' T. Reid · Mount Pleasant Academy
  8. 45′SECOND HALF Mount Pleasant Academy 0–0 Club Sando
  9. 46′We said Mount Pleasant Academy at 62%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 44%. 0–0 · 44–44–12
  10. 47′🟨 YELLOW · 45+2' S. Hamilton · Club Sando
  11. 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 50' Mount Pleasant Academy win: 62% at kick-off, 42% now
  12. 50′HALF-TIME Mount Pleasant Academy 0–0 Club Sando
  13. 51′THE CALL SWINGS · 51' Draw is now our likeliest result at 47% (was Mount Pleasant Academy win 44%)
  14. 55′We said Mount Pleasant Academy at 62%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 39–50–11
  15. 56′We published Mount Pleasant Academy at 62%. Our model now makes it 89%. 1–0 · 89–10–1
  16. 56′⚽ GOAL · 56' Mount Pleasant Academy 1–0 Club Sando
  17. 56′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 56' Mount Pleasant Academy win: 62% at kick-off, 89% now
  18. 56′THE CALL SWINGS · 56' Mount Pleasant Academy win is now our likeliest result at 89% (was Draw 51%)
  19. 58′Mount Pleasant Academy ahead on 57′ through W. Brown. 1–0. 1–0 · 89–10–1
  20. 58′Goals are coming at about the 2.1 we expected. 1–0 · 89–10–1
  21. 61′We published Mount Pleasant Academy at 62%. Our model now makes it 90%. 1–0 · 90–9–1
  22. 62′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Mount Pleasant Academy · On: D. Davis · Off: D. Green
  23. 68′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Mount Pleasant Academy · On: J. M. Anglin · Off: T. Reid
  24. 68′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Club Sando · On: A. Fraser · Off: J. A. Pascall
  25. 68′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Club Sando · On: T. Lee · Off: A. Raymond
  26. 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 70' Mount Pleasant Academy win: 62% at kick-off, 92% now
  27. 73′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Club Sando · On: M. Mieres · Off: J. Joseph Corrected
  28. 78′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Mount Pleasant Academy · On: N. Fuller · Off: J. Calvin
  29. 78′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Mount Pleasant Academy · On: K. E. Bailey Travolta · Off: S. McCalla
  30. 78′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Mount Pleasant Academy · On: S. Byron · Off: W. Brown
  31. 79′We published Mount Pleasant Academy at 62%. Our model now makes it 95%. 1–0 · 95–5–0
  32. 81′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Club Sando · On: M. Wharfe · Off: S. Henry
  33. 81′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Club Sando · On: A. Barclay · Off: D. David
  34. 87′🟨 YELLOW · 86' D. Davis · Mount Pleasant Academy
  35. 93′We published Mount Pleasant Academy at 62%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 2–0 · 100–0–0
  36. 93′⚽ GOAL · 90+3' Mount Pleasant Academy 2–0 Club Sando
  37. 95′N. Fuller scores for Mount Pleasant Academy on 90′ — 2–0. 2–0 · 100–0–0
  38. 95′Full time, 2–0. We called Mount Pleasant Academy at 62% — that one lands. 2–0 · 100–0–0
  39. FTFULL TIME Mount Pleasant Academy 2–0 Club Sando
  40. FTMount Pleasant Academy 2–0 Club Sando · Mount Pleasant Academy win: right · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Mount Pleasant Academy are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Mount Pleasant Academy 62%, draw 26%, Club Sando 13%. Over 2.5 goals 35%, both teams to score 34%.

The AI’s read on Mount Pleasant Academy v Club SandoBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 17 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Mount Pleasant Academy win62%
Draw26%
Club Sando win13%

Kick-offFRI 23 OCT · 00:00

RoundSemi-finals

VenueSabina Park

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Mount Pleasant Academy

Club Sando

7Days since last match7

Last match: 15 Oct · CONCACAF Caribbean Club Championship

Last match: 15 Oct · CONCACAF Caribbean Club Championship

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · mount pleasant academy winFirst published 17 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
62% The market64%
Us62%
Market64%

We make Mount Pleasant Academy a 62% chance to win. The market has them at 64%. We are within 2 points of the market. The model expects 1.6–0.5.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Mount Pleasant Academy v Club Sando1.56 – 0.55
Form · CONCACAF Caribbean Club Championship this season · since 6 AugW2 D2 L1 · W2 D2 L1
The market · Mount Pleasant Academy win64% · ours 62%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
55%60%65%70% 17 OCT 00:0122 OCT 23:55
Our probability · Mount Pleasant Academy win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 64% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Mount Pleasant Academy win62%64%−2
Draw26%23%+3
Club Sando win13%13%0
Over 2.5 goals35%49%−14
Both teams to score34%44%−10
Over 1.5 goals63%72%−9
Over 3.5 goals16%27%−11
Mount Pleasant Academy or draw87%87%0
Mount Pleasant Academy clean sheet58%––
Club Sando clean sheet21%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 18.6%
0123450 12.5 6.3 1 18.6 10.7 2.9 2 14.8 8.1 2.2 3 7.7 4.2 4 3.0 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Mount Pleasant Academy down, Club Sando across0–5 goals a side shown (99.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2020
Goals a meeting2.00
Over 2.50 of 1
Both scored1 of 1
Last meetingsCLU 1–1 MOU

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · CONCACAF Caribbean Club Championship this season · since 6 Aug

MOUNT PLEASANT ACADEMY

LDWWD1–2 · 1–1 · 1–0 · 1–0 · 1–1

CLUB SANDO

WWDLD2–1 · 2–0 · 0–0 · 0–1 · 1–1