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Singida Black Stars v Tusker
Singida Black StarsTuskerCAF Confederation Cup · SUN 25 OCT · Airtel Stadium
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Singida Black Stars are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Singida Black Stars 66%, draw 21%, Tusker 12%. Over 2.5 goals 48%, both teams to score 42%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off
Singida Black Stars win66%Tusker win12%Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 16:00
Round2nd preliminary round
VenueAirtel Stadium
Match timeline
All events
Singida Black StarsMINTuskerEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Singida Black Stars
Tusker
Last match: 18 Oct · CAF Confederation Cup
Last match: 18 Oct · CAF Confederation Cup
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Singida Black Stars a 66% chance to win. The market has them at 49%. We are 17 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.9–0.7.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 67%, 66% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 49% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Singida Black Stars win | 66% | 49% | +17 |
| Draw | 21% | 29% | −8 |
| Tusker win | 12% | 22% | −10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 39% | +9 |
| Both teams to score | 42% | 44% | −2 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% | 64% | +9 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 20% | +6 |
| Singida Black Stars or draw | 88% | 78% | +10 |
| Singida Black Stars clean sheet | 51% | – | – |
| Tusker clean sheet | 15% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
1 meeting since 2024/25Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · CAF Confederation Cup this season · since 6 Sept
SINGIDA BLACK STARS
TUSKER