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Model 1.2

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Maniema Union v Kabuscorp

Maniema Union
13:00Upcoming
Kabuscorp

CAF Confederation Cup · SUN 25 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Maniema UnionDrawKabuscorp
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Maniema Union 52%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Maniema Union are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Maniema Union 52%, draw 32%, Kabuscorp 17%. Over 2.5 goals 26%, both teams to score 30%.

The AI’s read on Maniema Union v KabuscorpBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Maniema Union win52%
Draw32%
Kabuscorp win17%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 13:00

Round2nd preliminary round

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Maniema Union

Kabuscorp

7Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · CAF Confederation Cup

Last match: 18 Oct · CAF Confederation Cup

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · maniema union winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · updated 24 Oct 00:27 · locked at kick-off
52% The market54%
Us52%
Market54%

We make Maniema Union a 52% chance to win. The market has them at 54%. We are within 2 points of the market. The model expects 1.2–0.6.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Maniema Union v Kabuscorp1.20 – 0.56
Form · CAF Confederation Cup this season · since 5 SeptW1 D0 L0 · W2 D0 L1
The market · Maniema Union win54% · ours 52%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
50%55%60% 19 OCT 01:3724 OCT 22:53
Our probability · Maniema Union win The market, margin stripped

Published at 54%, 52% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 54% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Maniema Union win52%54%−2
Draw32%25%+7
Kabuscorp win17%21%−4
Over 2.5 goals26%48%−22
Both teams to score30%49%−19
Over 1.5 goals53%73%−20
Over 3.5 goals10%26%−16
Maniema Union or draw83%79%+4
Maniema Union clean sheet57%––
Kabuscorp clean sheet30%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 1 bookmaker, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 20.2%
0123450 17.5 9.2 2.7 1 20.2 11.9 3.2 2 12.4 7.0 3 5.0 2.8 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Maniema Union down, Kabuscorp across0–5 goals a side shown (99.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2021/22
Goals a meeting5.00
Over 2.51 of 1
Both scored1 of 1
Last meetingsKAB 1–4 MAN

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · CAF Confederation Cup this season · since 5 Sept

MANIEMA UNION

W4–1

KABUSCORP

WWL2–0 · 3–1 · 1–4