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Model 1.2

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FAR Rabat v Korhogo

FAR Rabat
19:00Upcoming
Korhogo

CAF Confederation Cup · SUN 25 OCT · Stade Prince Moulay Abdallah

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

FAR RabatDrawKorhogo
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 19:00
Before kick-off · Match result · FAR Rabat 84%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

FAR Rabat are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: FAR Rabat 84%, draw 12%, Korhogo 4%. Over 2.5 goals 60%, both teams to score 33%.

The AI’s read on FAR Rabat v KorhogoBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

FAR Rabat win84%
Draw12%
Korhogo win4%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 19:00

Round2nd preliminary round

VenueStade Prince Moulay Abdallah

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

FAR Rabat

Korhogo

8Days since last match8

Last match: 17 Oct · CAF Confederation Cup

Last match: 17 Oct · CAF Confederation Cup

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · far rabat winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · updated 24 Oct 04:27 · locked at kick-off
84% The market75%
Us84%
Market75%

We make FAR Rabat an 84% chance to win. The market has them at 75%. We are 9 points more confident than the market. The model expects 2.7–0.4.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · FAR Rabat v Korhogo2.69 – 0.44
Form · CAF Confederation Cup this season · since 4 SeptW0 D1 L0 · W1 D2 L0
The market · FAR Rabat win75% · ours 84%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
70%75%80%85%90% 19 OCT 01:3724 OCT 22:53
Our probability · FAR Rabat win The market, margin stripped

Published at 85%, 84% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 75% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
FAR Rabat win84%75%+9
Draw12%17%−5
Korhogo win4%7%−3
Over 2.5 goals60%57%+3
Both teams to score33%41%−8
Over 1.5 goals82%78%+4
Over 3.5 goals38%36%+2
FAR Rabat or draw96%93%+3
FAR Rabat clean sheet64%––
Korhogo clean sheet7%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 7 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 15.8%
0123450 4.6 1 11.6 5.4 2 15.8 7.0 3 14.2 6.2 4 9.5 4.2 5 5.1 2.3
under 2% 5% 12%+FAR Rabat down, Korhogo across0–5 goals a side shown (94.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2021/22
Goals a meeting0.00
Over 2.50 of 1
Both scored0 of 1
Last meetingsKOR 0–0 FAR

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · CAF Confederation Cup this season · since 4 Sept

FAR RABAT

D0–0

KORHOGO

DWD2–2 · 2–0 · 0–0