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El Kanemi Warriors v Raja Casablanca
El Kanemi Warriors
Raja CasablancaCAF Confederation Cup · SUN 18 OCT · El-Kanemi Stadium
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Raja Casablanca win at 80%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Raja Casablanca 80% before kick-off, 80% now. 0–0 · 5–15–80
- 1′KICK-OFF El Kanemi Warriors v Raja Casablanca
- 7′El Kanemi Warriors find the net on 6′. 1–0. 1–0 · 22–26–52
- 7′We said Raja Casablanca at 80%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 52%. 1–0 · 22–26–52
- 7′⚽ GOAL · 6' El Kanemi Warriors 1–0 Raja Casablanca
- 7′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 7' Raja Casablanca win: 80% at kick-off, 52% now
- 11′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 11' Raja Casablanca win: 80% at kick-off, 50% now
- 13′We said Raja Casablanca at 80%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 49%. 1–0 · 24–27–49
- 21′We said Raja Casablanca at 80%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 44%. 1–0 · 27–29–44
- 23′A goal for Raja Casablanca on 23′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 6–22–73
- 23′⚽ GOAL · 23' El Kanemi Warriors 1–1 Raja Casablanca
- 23′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 23' Raja Casablanca win: 80% at kick-off, 73% now
- 32′We said Raja Casablanca at 80%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 68%. 1–1 · 6–26–68
- 40′We said Raja Casablanca at 80%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 64%. 1–1 · 6–30–64
- 45′HALF-TIME El Kanemi Warriors 1–1 Raja Casablanca
- 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45+1' Raja Casablanca win: 80% at kick-off, 60% now
- 46′SECOND HALF El Kanemi Warriors 1–1 Raja Casablanca
- 47′We said Raja Casablanca at 80%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 59%. 1–1 · 6–35–59
- 56′The goal count is tracking the 2.6 we expected. 1–1 · 6–42–52
- 58′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 58' Raja Casablanca win: 80% at kick-off, 50% now
- 61′Raja Casablanca score on 61′ to make it 1–2. 1–2 · 0–5–94
- 61′⚽ GOAL · 61' El Kanemi Warriors 1–2 Raja Casablanca
- 61′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 61' Raja Casablanca win: 80% at kick-off, 94% now
- 62′We said Raja Casablanca at 80% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 94%. 1–2 · 0–5–94
- 62′3 goals already, more than the 2.6 we expected for the whole match. 1–2 · 0–5–94
- 64′We said Raja Casablanca at 80% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 1–2 · 0–5–95
- 83′El Kanemi Warriors find the net on 83′. 2–2. 2–2 · 2–82–16
- 83′We said Raja Casablanca at 80%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 16%. 2–2 · 2–82–16
- 83′⚽ GOAL · 83' El Kanemi Warriors 2–2 Raja Casablanca
- 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 83' Raja Casablanca win: 80% at kick-off, 16% now
- 83′THE CALL SWINGS · 83' Draw is now our likeliest result at 82% (was Raja Casablanca win 16%)
- 84′We said Raja Casablanca at 80%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 2–2 · 2–84–14
- 84′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.6 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 2–84–14
- 87′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 87' Raja Casablanca win: 80% at kick-off, 10% now
- 88′We said Raja Casablanca at 80%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 2–2 · 1–89–9
- 93′We said Raja Casablanca at 80%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 2–2 · 1–96–4
- FTFULL TIME El Kanemi Warriors 2–2 Raja Casablanca
- FTEl Kanemi Warriors 2–2 Raja Casablanca · Raja Casablanca win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 0–2 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Raja Casablanca are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: El Kanemi Warriors 5%, draw 15%, Raja Casablanca 80%. Over 2.5 goals 48%, both teams to score 28%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
El Kanemi Warriors win5%
Raja Casablanca win80%Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 16:00
Round2nd preliminary round
VenueEl-Kanemi Stadium
Match timeline
All events
El Kanemi WarriorsMIN
Raja CasablancaEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
El Kanemi Warriors
Raja Casablanca
Last match: 13 Sept · CAF Confederation Cup
Last match: 13 Oct · Botola Pro
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Raja Casablanca an 80% chance to win. The market has them at 69%. We are 11 points more confident than the market. The model expects 0.4–2.2.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 81%, 80% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 69% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| El Kanemi Warriors win | 5% | 10% | −5 |
| Draw | 15% | 21% | −6 |
| Raja Casablanca win | 80% | 69% | +11 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 48% | 0 |
| Both teams to score | 28% | 37% | −9 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% | 70% | +4 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% | 28% | −1 |
| El Kanemi Warriors or draw | 20% | 31% | −11 |
| El Kanemi Warriors clean sheet | 11% | – | – |
| Raja Casablanca clean sheet | 69% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2023/24No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2023/24.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · CAF Confederation Cup this season · since 6 Sept
EL KANEMI WARRIORS
RAJA CASABLANCA
No matches in our record yet.