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Durban City v ASPL 2000

Durban City
3–1Full time
ASPL 2000

CAF Confederation Cup · SUN 18 OCT · Chatsworth Stadium

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 18:02
Durban City 3–1 ASPL 2000 DURBAN CITY WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Durban City win66%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.180

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Durban City are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Durban City 66%, draw 24%, ASPL 2000 10%. Over 2.5 goals 36%, both teams to score 31%.

The AI’s read on Durban City v ASPL 2000Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Durban City win66%
Draw24%
ASPL 2000 win10%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 14:00

Round2nd preliminary round

VenueChatsworth Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Durban City

ASPL 2000

5Days since last match36

Last match: 13 Oct · Premier Soccer League (South Africa)

Last match: 12 Sept · CAF Confederation Cup

1Matches in previous 14 days0

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · durban city winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · updated 18 Oct 00:24 · locked at kick-off
66% The market–
Us66%

We make Durban City a 66% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–0.5, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 19%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Durban City v ASPL 20001.66 – 0.48
Form · CAF Confederation Cup this season · since 4 SeptW2 D0 L0 · W1 D1 L0

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
60%65%70% 12 OCT 04:0818 OCT 13:55
Our probability · Durban City win

Published at 68%, 66% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Durban City win66%––
Draw24%––
ASPL 2000 win10%––
Over 2.5 goals36%––
Both teams to score31%––
Over 1.5 goals63%––
Over 3.5 goals17%––
Durban City or draw90%––
Durban City clean sheet62%––
ASPL 2000 clean sheet19%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 19.3%
0123450 12.2 5.3 1 19.3 9.6 2.2 2 16.3 7.7 3 9.0 4.3 4 3.7 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Durban City down, ASPL 2000 across0–5 goals a side shown (99.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2024/25

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2024/25.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · CAF Confederation Cup this season · since 4 Sept

DURBAN CITY

WW1–0 · 2–1

ASPL 2000

DW1–1 · 1–0