Home › Football › CAF Confederation Cup › CS Sfaxien v AFAD
Back
CS Sfaxien v AFAD
CS SfaxienAFADCAF Confederation Cup · SAT 24 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said CS Sfaxien win at 47%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: CS Sfaxien was 47% before kick-off and our model makes it 46% now. 0–0 · 46–32–21
- 1′KICK-OFF CS Sfaxien v AFAD
- 7′CS Sfaxien find the net on 7′. 0–0 · 45–34–21
- 8′We published CS Sfaxien at 47%. Our model now makes it 79%. 1–0 · 79–16–6
- 8′⚽ GOAL · 7' CS Sfaxien 1–0 AFAD
- 8′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 8' CS Sfaxien win: 47% at kick-off, 79% now
- 20′We published CS Sfaxien at 47%. Our model now makes it 80%. 1–0 · 80–16–5
- 30′Goals are coming at about the 1.8 we expected. 1–0 · 80–16–4
- 45′HALF-TIME CS Sfaxien 1–0 AFAD
- 46′SECOND HALF CS Sfaxien 1–0 AFAD
- 56′We published CS Sfaxien at 47%. Our model now makes it 85%. 1–0 · 85–14–2
- 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 64' CS Sfaxien win: 47% at kick-off, 87% now
- 72′We published CS Sfaxien at 47%. Our model now makes it 90%. 1–0 · 90–10–1
- 82′We published CS Sfaxien at 47%. Our model now makes it 95%. 1–0 · 95–5–0
- 86′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 86' CS Sfaxien win: 47% at kick-off, 97% now
- FTFULL TIME CS Sfaxien 1–0 AFAD
- FTCS Sfaxien 1–0 AFAD · CS Sfaxien win: right · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: right
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
CS Sfaxien are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: CS Sfaxien 47%, draw 32%, AFAD 21%. Over 2.5 goals 28%, both teams to score 34%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
CS Sfaxien win47%AFAD win21%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 18:00
Round2nd preliminary round
Match timeline
All events
CS SfaxienMINAFADEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
CS Sfaxien
AFAD
Last match: 17 Oct · CAF Confederation Cup
Last match: 17 Oct · CAF Confederation Cup
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make CS Sfaxien a 47% chance to win. The market has them at 69%. We are 22 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.2–0.7.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 69% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| CS Sfaxien win | 47% | 69% | −22 |
| Draw | 32% | 22% | +10 |
| AFAD win | 21% | 9% | +12 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 28% | 40% | −12 |
| Both teams to score | 34% | 32% | +2 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 55% | 64% | −9 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 11% | 21% | −10 |
| CS Sfaxien or draw | 79% | 91% | −12 |
| CS Sfaxien clean sheet | 51% | – | – |
| AFAD clean sheet | 32% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
1 meeting since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · CAF Confederation Cup this season · since 5 Sept
CS SFAXIEN
AFAD