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Azam v Masr
AzamMasrCAF Confederation Cup · SAT 24 OCT · Azam Complex Stadium
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Masr win at 38%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Masr was 38% before kick-off and our model makes it 38% now. 0–0 · 29–33–38
- 1′KICK-OFF Azam v Masr
- 24′THE CALL SWINGS · 24' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Masr win 36%)
- 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45+1' Masr win: 38% at kick-off, 28% now
- 52′We said Masr at 38%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 26%. 0–0 · 21–52–26
- 57′We said Masr at 38%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 20–56–24
- FTFULL TIME Azam 1–0 Masr
- FTAzam 1–0 Masr · Masr win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 0–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Masr are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Azam 29%, draw 33%, Masr 38%. Over 2.5 goals 30%, both teams to score 38%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Azam win29%Masr win38%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 14:00
Round2nd preliminary round
VenueAzam Complex Stadium
Match timeline
All events
AzamMINMasrEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Azam
Masr
Last match: 16 Oct · CAF Confederation Cup
Last match: 20 Oct · the Egyptian Premier League
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Masr a 38% chance to win. The market has them at 29%. We are 9 points more confident than the market. The model expects 0.9–1.0.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 29% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Azam win | 29% | 41% | −12 |
| Draw | 33% | 30% | +3 |
| Masr win | 38% | 29% | +9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30% | 41% | −11 |
| Both teams to score | 38% | 48% | −10 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 57% | 66% | −9 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 13% | 21% | −8 |
| Azam or draw | 62% | 71% | −9 |
| Azam clean sheet | 36% | – | – |
| Masr clean sheet | 42% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
1 meeting since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · CAF Confederation Cup this season · since 6 Sept
AZAM
MASR