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ASPL 2000 v Durban City
ASPL 2000Durban CityCAF Confederation Cup · SUN 25 OCT
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Durban City are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: ASPL 2000 14%, draw 27%, Durban City 59%. Over 2.5 goals 35%, both teams to score 35%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off
ASPL 2000 win14%Durban City win59%Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 13:00
Round2nd preliminary round
Match timeline
All events
ASPL 2000MINDurban CityEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
ASPL 2000
Durban City
Last match: 18 Oct · CAF Confederation Cup
Last match: 18 Oct · CAF Confederation Cup
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Durban City a 59% chance to win. The market has them at 75%. We are 16 points less confident than the market. The model expects 0.6–1.5.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 75% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| ASPL 2000 win | 14% | 8% | +6 |
| Draw | 27% | 18% | +9 |
| Durban City win | 59% | 75% | −16 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 35% | 52% | −17 |
| Both teams to score | 35% | 40% | −5 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 62% | 76% | −14 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 16% | 30% | −14 |
| ASPL 2000 or draw | 41% | 25% | +16 |
| ASPL 2000 clean sheet | 22% | – | – |
| Durban City clean sheet | 55% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 1 bookmaker, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
1 meeting since 2024/25Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · CAF Confederation Cup this season · since 4 Sept
ASPL 2000
DURBAN CITY