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Al Ahly v Kitara
Al AhlyKitaraCAF Confederation Cup · SUN 25 OCT
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Al Ahly are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Al Ahly 96%, draw 3%, Kitara 1%. Over 2.5 goals 83%, both teams to score 26%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off
Al Ahly win96%Kitara win1%Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 16:00
Round2nd preliminary round
Match timeline
All events
Al AhlyMINKitaraEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Al Ahly
Kitara
Last match: 21 Oct · the Egyptian Premier League
Last match: 17 Oct · CAF Confederation Cup
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Al Ahly a 96% chance to win. The market has them at 87%. We are 9 points more confident than the market. The model expects 4.2–0.3.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 87% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al Ahly win | 96% | 87% | +9 |
| Draw | 3% | 10% | −7 |
| Kitara win | 1% | 3% | −2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 83% | 70% | +13 |
| Both teams to score | 26% | 35% | −9 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 94% | 86% | +8 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 66% | 50% | +16 |
| Al Ahly or draw | 99% | 97% | +2 |
| Al Ahly clean sheet | 73% | – | – |
| Kitara clean sheet | 2% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
1 meeting since 2023/24Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · CAF Confederation Cup this season · since 6 Sept
AL AHLY
KITARA