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Zamalek SC v APR
Zamalek SCAPRCAF Champions League · SAT 24 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Zamalek SC win at 69%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Zamalek SC was 69% before kick-off and our model makes it 69% now. 0–0 · 69–21–10
- 1′KICK-OFF Zamalek SC v APR
- 2′Zamalek SC find the net on 1′. 1–0. 1–0 · 90–8–2
- 2′⚽ GOAL · 1' Zamalek SC 1–0 APR
- 2′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 2' Zamalek SC win: 69% at kick-off, 90% now
- 3′We published Zamalek SC at 69%. Our model now makes it 90%. 1–0 · 90–8–2
- 19′We published Zamalek SC at 69%. Our model now makes it 89%. 1–0 · 89–9–2
- 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.4 we expected. 1–0 · 89–9–2
- 45′SECOND HALF Zamalek SC 1–0 APR
- 46′HALF-TIME Zamalek SC 1–0 APR
- 79′We published Zamalek SC at 69%. Our model now makes it 95%. 1–0 · 95–5–0
- 91′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+1' Zamalek SC win: 69% at kick-off, 99% now
- FTFULL TIME Zamalek SC 1–0 APR
- FTZamalek SC 1–0 APR · Zamalek SC win: right · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: right
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Zamalek SC are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Zamalek SC 69%, draw 21%, APR 10%. Over 2.5 goals 44%, both teams to score 36%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Zamalek SC win69%APR win10%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 18:00
Round2nd preliminary round
Match timeline
All events
Zamalek SCMINAPREvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Zamalek SC
APR
Last match: 20 Oct · the Egyptian Premier League
Last match: 16 Oct · CAF Champions League
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Zamalek SC a 69% chance to win. The market has them at 75%. We are 6 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.9–0.6.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 70%, 69% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 75% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zamalek SC win | 69% | 75% | −6 |
| Draw | 21% | 18% | +3 |
| APR win | 10% | 8% | +2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | 52% | −8 |
| Both teams to score | 36% | 38% | −2 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70% | 75% | −5 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 23% | 30% | −7 |
| Zamalek SC or draw | 90% | 92% | −2 |
| Zamalek SC clean sheet | 58% | – | – |
| APR clean sheet | 15% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
1 meeting since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · CAF Champions League this season · since 4 Sept
ZAMALEK SC
APR