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Wiliete v Mamelodi Sundowns
WilieteMamelodi SundownsCAF Champions League · SUN 18 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Mamelodi Sundowns win at 59%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Mamelodi Sundowns was 59% before kick-off and our model makes it 58% now. 0–0 · 18–24–58
- 1′KICK-OFF Wiliete v Mamelodi Sundowns
- 34′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 34' Mamelodi Sundowns win: 59% at kick-off, 49% now
- 39′We said Mamelodi Sundowns at 59%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 47%. 0–0 · 18–35–47
- 41′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 41' Mamelodi Sundowns win: 59% at kick-off, 47% now
- 41′THE CALL SWINGS · 41' Mamelodi Sundowns win is now our likeliest result at 47% (was Draw 36%)
- 45′HALF-TIME Wiliete 0–0 Mamelodi Sundowns
- 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Mamelodi Sundowns win: 59% at kick-off, 45% now
- 45′THE CALL SWINGS · 45' Mamelodi Sundowns win is now our likeliest result at 45% (was Draw 38%)
- 46′We said Mamelodi Sundowns at 59%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 44%. 0–0 · 17–38–44
- 46′SECOND HALF Wiliete 0–0 Mamelodi Sundowns
- 55′We expected about 2.7 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 16–44–40
- 56′We said Mamelodi Sundowns at 59%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 16–45–39
- 56′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45+11' Mamelodi Sundowns win: 59% at kick-off, 39% now
- 56′THE CALL SWINGS · 45+11' Draw is now our likeliest result at 45% (was Mamelodi Sundowns win 39%)
- 56′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 56' Mamelodi Sundowns win: 59% at kick-off, 39% now
- 56′THE CALL SWINGS · 56' Draw is now our likeliest result at 45% (was Mamelodi Sundowns win 39%)
- 62′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 62' Mamelodi Sundowns win: 59% at kick-off, 35% now
- 62′THE CALL SWINGS · 62' Draw is now our likeliest result at 50% (was Mamelodi Sundowns win 35%)
- 63′We said Mamelodi Sundowns at 59%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 14–51–34
- 69′We said Mamelodi Sundowns at 59%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 13–58–29
- 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 69' Mamelodi Sundowns win: 59% at kick-off, 29% now
- 74′We said Mamelodi Sundowns at 59%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 11–65–24
- 78′We said Mamelodi Sundowns at 59%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 9–72–19
- 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 78' Mamelodi Sundowns win: 59% at kick-off, 19% now
- 82′We said Mamelodi Sundowns at 59%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 6–80–14
- 86′We said Mamelodi Sundowns at 59%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 4–87–9
- 86′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 86' Mamelodi Sundowns win: 59% at kick-off, 9% now
- 92′We said Mamelodi Sundowns at 59%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 2–94–4
- FTFULL TIME Wiliete 0–0 Mamelodi Sundowns
- FTWiliete 0–0 Mamelodi Sundowns · Mamelodi Sundowns win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 0–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Mamelodi Sundowns are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Wiliete 18%, draw 24%, Mamelodi Sundowns 59%. Over 2.5 goals 50%, both teams to score 49%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Wiliete win18%Mamelodi Sundowns win59%Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 16:00
Round2nd preliminary round
Match timeline
All events
WilieteMINMamelodi SundownsEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Wiliete
Mamelodi Sundowns
Last match: 10 Oct · Girabola
Last match: 13 Oct · Premier Soccer League (South Africa)
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Mamelodi Sundowns a 59% chance to win. The model expects 0.9–1.8, and 0–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 60%, 59% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wiliete win | 18% | – | – |
| Draw | 24% | – | – |
| Mamelodi Sundowns win | 59% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 49% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% | – | – |
| Wiliete or draw | 41% | – | – |
| Wiliete clean sheet | 17% | – | – |
| Mamelodi Sundowns clean sheet | 41% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2021/22No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · CAF Champions League this season · since 6 Sept
WILIETE
MAMELODI SUNDOWNS
No matches in our record yet.