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TP Mazembe v Club Africain
TP MazembeClub AfricainCAF Champions League · SAT 17 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said TP Mazembe win at 46%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: TP Mazembe was 46% before kick-off and our model makes it 46% now. 0–0 · 46–34–20
- 1′KICK-OFF TP Mazembe v Club Africain
- 31′THE CALL SWINGS · 31' Draw is now our likeliest result at 43% (was TP Mazembe win 38%)
- 37′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 37' TP Mazembe win: 46% at kick-off, 36% now
- 42′We said TP Mazembe at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–49–17
- 45′HALF-TIME TP Mazembe 1–1 Club Africain
- 47′Club Africain find the net on 45′. 1–1. 1–1 · 32–52–16
- 47′⚽ GOAL · 45+2' TP Mazembe 1–1 Club Africain
- FTFULL TIME TP Mazembe 1–1 Club Africain
- FTTP Mazembe 1–1 Club Africain · TP Mazembe win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassTP Mazembe are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: TP Mazembe 46%, draw 33%, Club Africain 20%. Over 2.5 goals 24%, both teams to score 31%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
TP Mazembe win46%Club Africain win20%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 14:00
Round2nd preliminary round
Match timeline
All events
TP MazembeMINClub AfricainEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
TP Mazembe
Club Africain
Last match: 12 Sept · CAF Champions League
Last match: 10 Oct · Ligue 1 (Tunisia)
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make TP Mazembe a 46% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–0.6, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 20%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 45%, 46% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| TP Mazembe win | 46% | – | – |
| Draw | 33% | – | – |
| Club Africain win | 20% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 24% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 31% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 51% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 9% | – | – |
| TP Mazembe or draw | 80% | – | – |
| TP Mazembe clean sheet | 54% | – | – |
| Club Africain clean sheet | 34% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2021/22No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · CAF Champions League this season · since 5 Sept
TP MAZEMBE
CLUB AFRICAIN