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Sidama Bunna v Al Hilal Omdurman

Sidama Bunna
0–2Full time
Al Hilal Omdurman

CAF Champions League · SUN 18 OCT

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 16:43
Sidama Bunna 0–2 Al Hilal Omdurman AL HILAL OMDURMAN WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT0–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Al Hilal Omdurman win61%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.236

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay13 notes · 7 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Al Hilal Omdurman win at 61%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Al Hilal Omdurman 61% before kick-off, 61% now. 0–0 · 13–26–61
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Sidama Bunna v Al Hilal Omdurman
  4. 31′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 31' Al Hilal Omdurman win: 61% at kick-off, 51% now
  5. 35′We said Al Hilal Omdurman at 61%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 49%. 0–0 · 13–37–49
  6. 45′⚽ GOAL · 45' Sidama Bunna 0–1 Al Hilal Omdurman
  7. 46′Al Hilal Omdurman find the net on 11′. 0–1. 0–1 · 2–11–87
  8. 46′We said Al Hilal Omdurman at 61% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 87%. 0–1 · 2–11–87
  9. 46′The goal count is tracking the 2.1 we expected. 0–1 · 2–11–87
  10. 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 46' Al Hilal Omdurman win: 61% at kick-off, 87% now
  11. 51′Al Hilal Omdurman find the net on 11′. 0–1. 0–1 · 1–11–88
  12. 52′Al Hilal Omdurman find the net on 11′. 0–1. 0–1 · 1–11–88
  13. 52′We said Al Hilal Omdurman at 61% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 88%. 0–1 · 1–11–88
  14. 53′The goal count is tracking the 2.1 we expected. 0–1 · 1–11–88
  15. 63′We said Al Hilal Omdurman at 61% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 0–1 · 1–10–90
  16. 68′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 68' Al Hilal Omdurman win: 61% at kick-off, 91% now
  17. 80′We said Al Hilal Omdurman at 61% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 0–1 · 0–5–95
  18. 94′A goal for Al Hilal Omdurman on 90′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 0–0–100
  19. 94′⚽ GOAL · 90+4' Sidama Bunna 0–2 Al Hilal Omdurman
  20. 95′We said Al Hilal Omdurman at 61% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 0–2 · 0–0–100
  21. FTFULL TIME Sidama Bunna 0–2 Al Hilal Omdurman
  22. FTSidama Bunna 0–2 Al Hilal Omdurman · Al Hilal Omdurman win: right · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 0–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Al Hilal Omdurman are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Sidama Bunna 13%, draw 26%, Al Hilal Omdurman 61%. Over 2.5 goals 36%, both teams to score 35%.

The AI’s read on Sidama Bunna v Al Hilal OmdurmanBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Sidama Bunna win13%
Draw26%
Al Hilal Omdurman win61%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 14:00

Round2nd preliminary round

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Sidama Bunna

Al Hilal Omdurman

7Days since last match32

Last match: 11 Oct · Premier League (Ethiopia)

Last match: 16 Sept · National Soccer League

1Matches in previous 14 days0

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · al hilal omdurman winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · updated 17 Oct 00:18 · locked at kick-off
61% The market–
Us61%

We make Al Hilal Omdurman a 61% chance to win. The model expects 0.6–1.6, and 0–1 is the single most likely score at 18%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Sidama Bunna v Al Hilal Omdurman0.58 – 1.56
Form · CAF Champions League this season · since 5 SeptW1 D1 L0 · W2 D0 L0

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
50%55%60%65% 12 OCT 04:0818 OCT 13:55
Our probability · Al Hilal Omdurman win

Published at 54%, 61% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Sidama Bunna win13%––
Draw26%––
Al Hilal Omdurman win61%––
Over 2.5 goals36%––
Both teams to score35%––
Over 1.5 goals64%––
Over 3.5 goals17%––
Sidama Bunna or draw39%––
Sidama Bunna clean sheet21%––
Al Hilal Omdurman clean sheet56%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–1 at 17.9%
0123450 12.0 17.9 14.3 7.4 2.9 1 6.5 11.0 8.3 4.4 2 3.1 2.4 3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Sidama Bunna down, Al Hilal Omdurman across0–5 goals a side shown (99.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2020/21

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2020/21.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · CAF Champions League this season · since 5 Sept

SIDAMA BUNNA

DW0–0 · 3–0

AL HILAL OMDURMAN

WW2–0 · 1–0