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Scotland Mabvuku v Petro de Luanda
Scotland MabvukuPetro de LuandaCAF Champions League · SUN 18 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Petro de Luanda win at 37%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Petro de Luanda was 37% before kick-off and our model makes it 37% now. 0–0 · 25–37–37
- 1′KICK-OFF Scotland Mabvuku v Petro de Luanda
- 2′A red card for Petro de Luanda on 2′. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 0–0 · 25–38–37
- 2′🟥 RED CARD · 2' Petro de Luanda
- 43′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 43' Petro de Luanda win: 37% at kick-off, 27% now
- 45′HALF-TIME Scotland Mabvuku 0–0 Petro de Luanda
- 46′SECOND HALF Scotland Mabvuku 0–0 Petro de Luanda
- 49′We said Petro de Luanda at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 25%. 0–0 · 18–56–25
- 52′We said Petro de Luanda at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 17–58–24
- 63′We said Petro de Luanda at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 14–67–19
- 66′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 66' Petro de Luanda win: 37% at kick-off, 17% now
- 67′A goal for Scotland Mabvuku on 67′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 83–15–2
- 67′⚽ GOAL · 67' Scotland Mabvuku 1–0 Petro de Luanda
- 67′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 67' Petro de Luanda win: 37% at kick-off, 2% now
- 67′THE CALL SWINGS · 67' Scotland Mabvuku win is now our likeliest result at 83% (was Draw 15%)
- 68′We said Petro de Luanda at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 2%. 1–0 · 84–15–2
- 68′Goals are coming at about the 1.5 we expected. 1–0 · 84–15–2
- 81′Scotland Mabvuku score on 81′ to make it 2–0. 2–0 · 100–0–0
- 81′⚽ GOAL · 81' Scotland Mabvuku 2–0 Petro de Luanda
- 86′80′: K. Musona on the scoresheet for Scotland Mabvuku, making it 2–0. 2–0 · 100–0–0
- FTFULL TIME Scotland Mabvuku 2–0 Petro de Luanda
- FTScotland Mabvuku 2–0 Petro de Luanda · Petro de Luanda win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Under 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 0–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Close to call, with Petro de Luanda just ahead.
The Pitchside prediction: Scotland Mabvuku 25%, draw 37%, Petro de Luanda 37%. Over 2.5 goals 19%, both teams to score 28%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Scotland Mabvuku win25%Petro de Luanda win37%Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 14:00
Round2nd preliminary round
Match timeline
All events
Scotland MabvukuMINPetro de LuandaEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Scotland Mabvuku
Petro de Luanda
Last match: 10 Oct · Premier Soccer League (Zimbabwe)
Last match: 13 Oct · Girabola
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Petro de Luanda a 37% chance to win. The model expects 0.7–0.9, and 0–0 is the single most likely score at 23%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scotland Mabvuku win | 25% | – | – |
| Draw | 37% | – | – |
| Petro de Luanda win | 37% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 19% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 28% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 45% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 7% | – | – |
| Scotland Mabvuku or draw | 63% | – | – |
| Scotland Mabvuku clean sheet | 42% | – | – |
| Petro de Luanda clean sheet | 52% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2025No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2025.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · CAF Champions League this season · since 6 Sept
SCOTLAND MABVUKU
PETRO DE LUANDA