Petro de Luanda v Scotland Mabvuku

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said a draw at 38%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: the draw was 38% before kick-off and our model makes it 38% now. 0–0 · 32–38–30
3. 1′KICK-OFF Petro de Luanda v Scotland Mabvuku
4. 18′A goal for Petro de Luanda on 18′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 72–21–7
5. 18′We said the draw at 38%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 21%. 1–0 · 72–21–7
6. 18′⚽ GOAL · 18' Petro de Luanda 1–0 Scotland Mabvuku
7. 18′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 18' Draw: 38% at kick-off, 21% now
8. 18′THE CALL SWINGS · 18' Petro de Luanda win is now our likeliest result at 72% (was Draw 42%)
9. 37′Goals are coming at about the 1.5 we expected. 1–0 · 76–20–5
10. 38′We said the draw at 38%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–0 · 76–19–5
11. 45′HALF-TIME Petro de Luanda 1–0 Scotland Mabvuku
12. 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45+1' Draw: 38% at kick-off, 18% now
13. 46′SECOND HALF Petro de Luanda 1–0 Scotland Mabvuku
14. 63′We said the draw at 38%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–0 · 84–14–2
15. 67′Petro de Luanda score on 67′ to make it 2–0. 2–0 · 99–1–0
16. 67′⚽ GOAL · 67' Petro de Luanda 2–0 Scotland Mabvuku
17. 67′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 67' Draw: 38% at kick-off, 1% now
18. 68′We said the draw at 38%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 1%. 2–0 · 99–1–0
19. 85′Petro de Luanda find the net on 85′. 3–0. 3–0 · 100–0–0
20. 85′⚽ GOAL · 85' Petro de Luanda 3–0 Scotland Mabvuku
21. 86′That is 3, and we only asked for 1.5 across ninety minutes. 3–0 · 100–0–0
22. FTFULL TIME Petro de Luanda 3–0 Scotland Mabvuku
23. FTPetro de Luanda 3–0 Scotland Mabvuku · Draw: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: right · Under 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 0–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.