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Nouadhibou v San-Pédro
NouadhibouSan-PédroCAF Champions League · SUN 25 OCT
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Nouadhibou are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Nouadhibou 49%, draw 28%, San-Pédro 23%. Over 2.5 goals 42%, both teams to score 46%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off
Nouadhibou win49%San-Pédro win23%Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 17:00
Round2nd preliminary round
Match timeline
All events
NouadhibouMINSan-PédroEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Nouadhibou
San-Pédro
Last match: 17 Oct · CAF Champions League
Last match: 17 Oct · CAF Champions League
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Nouadhibou a 49% chance to win. The market has them at 38%. We are 11 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.4–0.9.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 48%, 49% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 38% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nouadhibou win | 49% | 38% | +11 |
| Draw | 28% | 31% | −3 |
| San-Pédro win | 23% | 31% | −8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% | 42% | 0 |
| Both teams to score | 46% | 48% | −2 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 68% | 66% | +2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 21% | 22% | −1 |
| Nouadhibou or draw | 77% | 69% | +8 |
| Nouadhibou clean sheet | 40% | – | – |
| San-Pédro clean sheet | 24% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
1 meeting since 2020Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · CAF Champions League this season · since 5 Sept
NOUADHIBOU
SAN-PÉDRO