Mamelodi Sundowns v Wiliete

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Mamelodi Sundowns win at 72%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Mamelodi Sundowns 72% before kick-off, 72% now. 0–0 · 72–18–10
3. 1′KICK-OFF Mamelodi Sundowns v Wiliete
4. 11′A goal for Mamelodi Sundowns on 11′. 0–0 · 69–21–10
5. 24′We said Mamelodi Sundowns at 72% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 89%. 1–0 · 89–8–2
6. 24′⚽ GOAL · 11' Mamelodi Sundowns 1–0 Wiliete · T. Matthews
7. 24′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 24' Mamelodi Sundowns win: 72% at kick-off, 89% now
8. 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.9 we expected. 1–0 · 89–9–2
9. 45′HALF-TIME Mamelodi Sundowns 1–0 Wiliete
10. 45′SECOND HALF Mamelodi Sundowns 1–0 Wiliete
11. 48′We said Mamelodi Sundowns at 72%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 54%. 1–1 · 54–35–11
12. 48′⚽ GOAL · 48' Mamelodi Sundowns 1–1 Wiliete
13. 48′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 48' Mamelodi Sundowns win: 72% at kick-off, 54% now
14. 49′A goal for Wiliete on 49′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 53–36–11
15. 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 50' Mamelodi Sundowns win: 72% at kick-off, 52% now
16. 53′3 goals already, more than the 2.9 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 89–9–1
17. 53′⚽ GOAL · 53' Mamelodi Sundowns 2–1 Wiliete
18. 53′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 53' Mamelodi Sundowns win: 72% at kick-off, 89% now
19. 54′GOAL DISALLOWED · 54' Mamelodi Sundowns
20. 54′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 54' Mamelodi Sundowns win: 72% at kick-off, 49% now
21. 63′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 63' Mamelodi Sundowns win: 72% at kick-off, 42% now
22. 63′THE CALL SWINGS · 63' Draw is now our likeliest result at 48% (was Mamelodi Sundowns win 45%)
23. 66′We said Mamelodi Sundowns at 72%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 1–1 · 39–52–9
24. 70′We said Mamelodi Sundowns at 72%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 34–57–9
25. 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 72' Mamelodi Sundowns win: 72% at kick-off, 32% now
26. 74′We said Mamelodi Sundowns at 72%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–63–8
27. 78′We said Mamelodi Sundowns at 72%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–70–6
28. 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 79' Mamelodi Sundowns win: 72% at kick-off, 22% now
29. 81′We said Mamelodi Sundowns at 72%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–76–5
30. 84′We said Mamelodi Sundowns at 72%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 13%. 1–1 · 13–83–4
31. 85′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 85' Mamelodi Sundowns win: 72% at kick-off, 12% now
32. 88′We said Mamelodi Sundowns at 72%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–88–3
33. 90′1–1 at the end. Our 72% on Mamelodi Sundowns misses, and the record keeps it. 1–1 · 0–100–0
34. 90′The 90 minutes are over: our published call is settled on that score. For the result after extra time our model now makes Mamelodi Sundowns likeliest at 45%. 1–1 · 45–45–10
35. 93′We said Mamelodi Sundowns at 72%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–95–1
36. 94′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+4' Mamelodi Sundowns win: 72% at kick-off, 2% now
37. FTFULL TIME Mamelodi Sundowns 1–1 Wiliete
38. FTMamelodi Sundowns 1–1 Wiliete · Mamelodi Sundowns win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 2–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.