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Model 1.2

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Colombe v Teungueth

Colombe
15:00Upcoming
Teungueth

CAF Champions League · SUN 25 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

ColombeDrawTeungueth
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 15:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Colombe 54%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Colombe are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Colombe 54%, draw 35%, Teungueth 10%. Over 2.5 goals 15%, both teams to score 17%.

The AI’s read on Colombe v TeunguethBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Colombe win54%
Draw35%
Teungueth win10%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 15:00

Round2nd preliminary round

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Colombe

Teungueth

7Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · CAF Champions League

Last match: 18 Oct · CAF Champions League

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · colombe winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · updated 24 Oct 04:27 · locked at kick-off
54% The market59%
Us54%
Market59%

We make Colombe a 54% chance to win. The market has them at 59%. We are 5 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.0–0.3.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Colombe v Teungueth1.04 – 0.30
Form · CAF Champions League this season · since 5 SeptW1 D2 L0 · W2 D0 L1
The market · Colombe win59% · ours 54%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
40%45%50%55%60%65% 19 OCT 01:3725 OCT 01:06
Our probability · Colombe win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 59% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Colombe win54%59%−5
Draw35%25%+10
Teungueth win10%15%−5
Over 2.5 goals15%41%−26
Both teams to score17%44%−27
Over 1.5 goals39%65%−26
Over 3.5 goals5%20%−15
Colombe or draw90%85%+5
Colombe clean sheet74%––
Teungueth clean sheet35%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 7 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 26.9%
0123450 26.3 7.6 1 26.9 8.5 2 14.2 4.3 3 4.9 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Colombe down, Teungueth across0–5 goals a side shown (99.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2021/22
Goals a meeting2.00
Over 2.50 of 1
Both scored0 of 1
Last meetingsTEU 0–2 COL

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · CAF Champions League this season · since 5 Sept

COLOMBE

DDW0–0 · 0–0 · 2–0

TEUNGUETH

WWL1–0 · 1–0 · 0–2