Home › Football › CAF Champions League › ASEC Mimosas v Maghreb Fès
Back
ASEC Mimosas v Maghreb Fès
ASEC MimosasMaghreb FèsCAF Champions League · SUN 25 OCT
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Maghreb Fès are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: ASEC Mimosas 27%, draw 34%, Maghreb Fès 40%. Over 2.5 goals 26%, both teams to score 35%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off
ASEC Mimosas win27%Maghreb Fès win40%Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 16:00
Round2nd preliminary round
Match timeline
All events
ASEC MimosasMINMaghreb FèsEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
ASEC Mimosas
Maghreb Fès
Last match: 18 Oct · CAF Champions League
Last match: 18 Oct · CAF Champions League
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Maghreb Fès a 40% chance to win. The market has them at 30%. We are 10 points more confident than the market. The model expects 0.8–1.0.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 39%, 40% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 30% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| ASEC Mimosas win | 27% | 38% | −11 |
| Draw | 34% | 32% | +2 |
| Maghreb Fès win | 40% | 30% | +10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 26% | 37% | −11 |
| Both teams to score | 35% | 45% | −10 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 54% | 62% | −8 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 11% | 18% | −7 |
| ASEC Mimosas or draw | 60% | 70% | −10 |
| ASEC Mimosas clean sheet | 37% | – | – |
| Maghreb Fès clean sheet | 46% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
1 meeting since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · CAF Champions League this season · since 6 Sept
ASEC MIMOSAS
MAGHREB FÈS