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Model 1.2

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Al Hilal Omdurman v Sidama Bunna

Al Hilal Omdurman
16:00Upcoming
Sidama Bunna

CAF Champions League · SUN 25 OCT · Al Hilal Stadium

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Al Hilal OmdurmanDrawSidama Bunna
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 16:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Al Hilal Omdurman 75%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Al Hilal Omdurman are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Al Hilal Omdurman 75%, draw 18%, Sidama Bunna 7%. Over 2.5 goals 45%, both teams to score 31%.

The AI’s read on Al Hilal Omdurman v Sidama BunnaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Al Hilal Omdurman win75%
Draw18%
Sidama Bunna win7%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 16:00

Round2nd preliminary round

VenueAl Hilal Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Al Hilal Omdurman

Sidama Bunna

7Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · CAF Champions League

Last match: 18 Oct · CAF Champions League

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · al hilal omdurman winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off
75% The market65%
Us75%
Market65%

We make Al Hilal Omdurman a 75% chance to win. The market has them at 65%. We are 10 points more confident than the market. The model expects 2.0–0.4.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Al Hilal Omdurman v Sidama Bunna2.04 – 0.44
Form · CAF Champions League this season · since 5 SeptW3 D0 L0 · W1 D1 L1
The market · Al Hilal Omdurman win65% · ours 75%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
60%65%70%75%80%85% 19 OCT 01:3725 OCT 01:06
Our probability · Al Hilal Omdurman win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 65% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Al Hilal Omdurman win75%65%+10
Draw18%23%−5
Sidama Bunna win7%12%−5
Over 2.5 goals45%45%0
Both teams to score31%41%−10
Over 1.5 goals71%69%+2
Over 3.5 goals24%26%−2
Al Hilal Omdurman or draw93%88%+5
Al Hilal Omdurman clean sheet64%––
Sidama Bunna clean sheet13%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 5 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 17.4%
0123450 8.6 3.5 1 16.8 7.8 2 17.4 7.7 3 11.8 5.2 4 6.0 2.7 5 2.4
under 2% 5% 12%+Al Hilal Omdurman down, Sidama Bunna across0–5 goals a side shown (98.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2020/21
Goals a meeting2.00
Over 2.50 of 1
Both scored0 of 1
Last meetingsSID 0–2 ALH

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · CAF Champions League this season · since 5 Sept

AL HILAL OMDURMAN

WWW2–0 · 1–0 · 2–0

SIDAMA BUNNA

DWL0–0 · 3–0 · 0–2