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Model 1.2

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Al Riffa v Qatar SC

Al Riffa
17:00Upcoming
Qatar SC

AGCFF Gulf Champions League · TUE 27 OCT · Khalifa Sports City Stadium

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Al RiffaDrawQatar SC
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 17:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Al Riffa 41%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Al Riffa are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Al Riffa 41%, draw 24%, Qatar SC 35%. Over 2.5 goals 62%, both teams to score 64%.

The AI’s read on Al Riffa v Qatar SCBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Al Riffa win41%
Draw24%
Qatar SC win35%

Kick-offTUE 27 OCT · 17:00

RoundGroup stage · matchday 2

VenueKhalifa Sports City Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Al Riffa

Qatar SC

5Days since last match4

Last match: 22 Oct · Premier League (Bahrain)

Last match: 23 Oct · Stars League

3Matches in previous 14 days3

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · al riffa winFirst published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
41% The market–
Us41%

We make Al Riffa a 41% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–1.5, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Al Riffa v Qatar SC1.65 – 1.53
Form · AGCFF Gulf Champions League this season · since 13 OctW0 D0 L1 · W0 D1 L0

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Al Riffa win41%––
Draw24%––
Qatar SC win35%––
Over 2.5 goals62%––
Both teams to score64%––
Over 1.5 goals83%––
Over 3.5 goals39%––
Al Riffa or draw65%––
Al Riffa clean sheet22%––
Qatar SC clean sheet19%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.8%
0123450 4.5 6.0 4.9 2.5 1 6.5 10.8 8.0 4.1 2 5.7 8.7 6.6 3.4 3 3.1 4.8 3.6 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Al Riffa down, Qatar SC across0–5 goals a side shown (98.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · AGCFF Gulf Champions League this season · since 13 Oct

AL RIFFA

L0–3

QATAR SC

D1–1