Al-Ettifaq v Kazma prediction · AGCFF Gulf Champions League

Full timeGraded 14 Oct 21:30

Al-Ettifaq 2–0 Kazma AL-ETTIFAQ WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT2–0 EXACTLY · RIGHT

~~We said Al-Ettifaq win~~76%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.087

Corrected on 16 Oct: this prediction was last updated after the match had started (it kicked off on 14 Oct 17:00), so it is shown but not counted in the record’s figures.

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay3 notes · 24 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Al-Ettifaq win at 76%.
46′46′ and it is 1–1: Kazma have scored. 1–1 · 58–32–10
46′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 46' Al-Ettifaq win: 76% at kick-off, 58% now
46′GOAL DISALLOWED · 46' Kazma
51′A goal for Al-Ettifaq on 27′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 90–8–1
51′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 51' Al-Ettifaq win: 76% at kick-off, 90% now
52′We said Al-Ettifaq at 76% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 1–0 · 90–8–1
55′🟨 YELLOW · 55' Al-Ettifaq
58′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Kazma · On: N. Falah · Off: O. Al Shammari
59′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Al-Ettifaq · On: J. Larsson · Off: S. Harun
59′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Al-Ettifaq · On: B. Celina · Off: Y. Al Shammari
60′SUBSTITUTION · 57' Kazma · On: M. Antar · Off: B. Al Thekr
67′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Kazma · On: N. Falah · Off: O. Al Shammari
67′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Al-Ettifaq · On: J. Larsson · Off: S. Harun
67′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Al-Ettifaq · On: B. Celina · Off: Y. Al Shammari
67′🟨 YELLOW · 55' Al-Ettifaq
67′SUBSTITUTION · 57' Kazma · On: M. Antar · Off: B. Al Thekr
68′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Kazma · On: S. Al Khaldi · Off: S. Al Enezi
68′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Kazma · On: M. Al Shammari · Off: A. Zanki
71′SUBSTITUTION · 57' Kazma · On: M. Antar · Off: B. Al Thekr
73′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Al-Ettifaq · On: M. Gluscevic · Off: M. Dembele
81′🟥 RED CARD · 81' Kazma
83′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Al-Ettifaq · On: M. Al Olayan · Off: M. Al Alaeli
88′🟥 RED CARD · 80' D. Chaabi · Kazma
88′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Kazma · On: A. Al Fahad · Off: Patrick
90′⚽ GOAL · 91' Al-Ettifaq 2–0 Kazma
90′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Al-Ettifaq · On: A. Hawsawi · Off: K. Al Ghannam
FTFULL TIME Al-Ettifaq 2–0 Kazma
FTAl-Ettifaq 2–0 Kazma · Al-Ettifaq win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 2–0 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass

Example · Everton v Chelsea · written before kick-off

Chelsea are slight favourites, but Everton are close behind.

Chelsea are our model’s narrow favourites at 38%, with Everton at 35% and the draw at 27%. Chelsea remain below an even chance: this is a slight lean towards the visitors, not a strong likelihood.

Everton are at home and unbeaten in the 2026/27 Premier League: two wins and four draws from six matches, earning 10 points, scoring eight and conceding five.

The AI’s read on Al-Ettifaq v KazmaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

Published 14 Oct 17:55 · locked at kick-off

Al-Ettifaq win76%

Draw16%

Kazma win8%

Kick-offWED 14 OCT · 19:00

VenueAbdullah Al Dabil Stadium

Line-ups

Al-Ettifaq

Kazma

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Al-Ettifaq

Kazma

581Days since last match—

0Matches in previous 14 days0

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Al-Ettifaq

Formation not confirmed

92 T. Ba Al Jawsh

61 R. Al Otaibi

4 J. Hendry

70 A. A. Khateeb

13 M. Al Alaeli

42 A. Kante

99 S. Harun

58 Y. Al Shammari

11 O. Duda

7 K. Al Ghannam

9 M. Dembele

Coach · Arthur Papas

Substitutes

1 · M. Rodak

3 · A. Madu

5 · Pedro Henrique

33 · M. Al Olayan

78 · M. H. Tambakti

87 · M. Al Sibyani

26 · R. Sharahili

43 · B. Celina

77 · A. Hawsawi

17 · J. Larsson

71 · M. Gluscevic

Kazma

Formation not confirmed

1 H. Kankone

2 S. Al Mehtab

4 F. Al Hajeri

97 D. Chaabi

3 B. Al Thekr

30 S. Al Enezi

19 A. Ndaw

29 A. Zanki

74 O. Al Shammari

98 Patrick

99 T. Knoll

Coach · –

Substitutes

35 · F. Al Subaie

36 · D. Al-Mesri

11 · M. Al Shammari

12 · M. Antar

16 · D. Al Raqum

66 · B. Al Barazi

8 · N. Falah

10 · S. Al Khaldi

14 · M. Al Abdulsalam

7 · B. Tareq Ali

6 · A. Al Fahad

20 · Y. Al Khateeb

Our number · al-ettifaq winFirst published 13 Oct 00:00 · updated 14 Oct 17:55 · locked at kick-off

76% The market–

Us76%

We make Al-Ettifaq a 76% chance to win. The model expects 2.4–0.6, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Al-Ettifaq v Kazma~~2.38 – 0.62

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Al-Ettifaq win	76%	–	–
Draw	16%	–	–
Kazma win	8%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	58%	–	–
Both teams to score	42%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	80%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	35%	–	–
Al-Ettifaq or draw	92%	–	–
Al-Ettifaq clean sheet	54%	–	–
Kazma clean sheet	9%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 14.1%

0123450 5.2 2.9 1 11.6 7.6 2.3 2 14.1 8.7 2.7 3 11.2 6.9 2.1 4 6.6 4.1 5 3.2

under 2% 5% 12%+Al-Ettifaq down, Kazma across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates every club on one scale from 407,336 league, cup and continental matches in 638 leagues up to 14 Oct 2026: each club against its own league, and the leagues against each other through the matches between them, weighting recent matches more.

The two leagues

Al-Ettifaq play in the Pro League, Kazma in the Premier League.

Venue

Allows for home advantage: Al-Ettifaq are at home.

Head to head

No previous meeting between these two in this competition, so this step adds nothing.

What the model expects

2.38 goals for Al-Ettifaq, 0.62 for Kazma. Most likely score 2–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2024

No meetings between these two in AGCFF Gulf Champions League since 2024. Cup ties and meetings in other competitions are not counted here.

Form · last six in AGCFF Gulf Champions League

AL-ETTIFAQ

WWLDLL2–1 · 5–0 · 1–2 · 1–1 · 0–1 · 0–1

KAZMA

No matches in our record yet.

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	NEOM	1	+4	3
2	Al Nasr	1	+3	3
3	Al Zawra'a	1	0	1
4	Qatar SC	1	0	1
5	Al Riffa	1	−3	0
6	Al Sha'ab Hadhramaut	1	−4	0

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Al-Ettifaq v Kazma

The match pulse

AI match analysis

Pre-match prediction

Match timeline

Line-ups

Al-Ettifaq

Kazma

Rest & schedule

Al-Ettifaq

Kazma

The game in numbers

Line-ups

Al-Ettifaq

Kazma

Match statistics

Line-ups

Al-Ettifaq

Kazma

What the number rests on

Head to head

Form · last six in AGCFF Gulf Champions League

The table