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Tampines Rovers v Machida Zelvia
Tampines Rovers
Machida ZelviaAFC Champions League Two · THU 15 OCT · Jalan Besar Stadium
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Machida Zelvia win at 74%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Machida Zelvia was 74% before kick-off and our model makes it 74% now. 0–0 · 9–17–74
- 1′KICK-OFF Tampines Rovers v Machida Zelvia
- 30′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 30' Machida Zelvia win: 74% at kick-off, 64% now
- 35′We said Machida Zelvia at 74%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 62%. 0–0 · 11–27–62
- 40′🟨 YELLOW · 39' Koya Kazama · Tampines Rovers
- 41′We said Machida Zelvia at 74%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 59%. 0–0 · 11–30–59
- 45′7 shots for Machida Zelvia, 2 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 0–0 · 11–32–57
- 45′HALF-TIME Tampines Rovers 0–0 Machida Zelvia
- 45′SECOND HALF Tampines Rovers 0–0 Machida Zelvia
- 47′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Machida Zelvia · On: Takahiro Akimoto · Off: Daihachi Okamura
- 47′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Machida Zelvia · On: Yuki Soma · Off: Futa Tokumura
- 50′We said Machida Zelvia at 74%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 54%. 0–0 · 11–35–54
- 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 50' Machida Zelvia win: 74% at kick-off, 54% now
- 56′We expected about 3.0 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 11–40–50
- 56′Machida Zelvia have had 8 attempts to 2 and it is still 0–0. 0–0 · 11–40–50
- 58′We said Machida Zelvia at 74%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 48%. 0–0 · 11–42–48
- 62′We said Machida Zelvia at 74%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 44%. 0–0 · 10–45–44
- 62′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 62' Machida Zelvia win: 74% at kick-off, 44% now
- 64′THE CALL SWINGS · 64' Draw is now our likeliest result at 48% (was Machida Zelvia win 43%)
- 67′We said Machida Zelvia at 74%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 9–51–39
- 68′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Tampines Rovers · On: Kenshin Yamazaki · Off: Nabel Yoshitaka Furusawa
- 68′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Machida Zelvia · On: Koki Ogawa · Off: Mitchell Duke
- 69′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Machida Zelvia · On: Henry Heroki Mochizuki · Off: Hotaka Nakamura
- 72′We said Machida Zelvia at 74%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 33%. 0–0 · 8–58–33
- 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 72' Machida Zelvia win: 74% at kick-off, 33% now
- 75′We said Machida Zelvia at 74%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 8–63–29
- 79′We said Machida Zelvia at 74%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 23%. 0–0 · 6–71–23
- 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 79' Machida Zelvia win: 74% at kick-off, 23% now
- 80′Machida Zelvia have had 12 attempts to 2 and it is still 0–0. 0–0 · 6–73–21
- 81′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Machida Zelvia · On: Tete Yengi · Off: Takuma Nishimura
- 82′We said Machida Zelvia at 74%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 18%. 0–0 · 5–77–18
- 83′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Tampines Rovers · On: Faris Ramli · Off: Koya Kazama
- 84′We said Machida Zelvia at 74%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 4–82–14
- 84′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 84' Machida Zelvia win: 74% at kick-off, 14% now
- 85′🟨 YELLOW · 85' Hokuto Shimoda · Machida Zelvia
- 88′Machida Zelvia have had 16 attempts to 2 and it is still 0–0. 0–0 · 3–88–10
- 89′We said Machida Zelvia at 74%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 8%. 0–0 · 2–89–8
- 93′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+3' Machida Zelvia win: 74% at kick-off, 4% now
- 94′We said Machida Zelvia at 74%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 3%. 0–0 · 1–97–3
- FTFULL TIME Tampines Rovers 0–1 Machida Zelvia
- FTTampines Rovers 0–1 Machida Zelvia · Machida Zelvia win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 0–2 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassMachida Zelvia are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Tampines Rovers 9%, draw 17%, Machida Zelvia 74%. Over 2.5 goals 58%, both teams to score 45%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 9 Oct 07:15 · locked at kick-off
Tampines Rovers win9%
Machida Zelvia win74%Kick-offTHU 15 OCT · 13:15
RoundGroup stage · matchday 2
VenueJalan Besar Stadium
Match timeline
All events
Tampines RoversMIN
Machida ZelviaEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Tampines Rovers
5-4-1
Machida Zelvia
3-4-2-1
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Tampines Rovers
Machida Zelvia
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Tampines Rovers
5-4-1
24 S. Buhari
26 T. Yoshimoto
6 J. Mahler
71 Irfan Fandi
33 S. Sumi
11 S. Yokoyama
25 H. Higashikawa
49 Y. Kobayashi
8 S. Shahiran
88 K. Kazama
9 Y. Furusawa
Coach · N. Nasir
Substitutes
23 · I. Najeeb
52 · Jarec Ng
81 · Y. Kimura
5 · A. Adli
17 · A. Haikal
16 · D. Fox
10 · F. Ramli
28 · Z. Rohaizad
2 · R. Suhaimi
18 · K. Yamazaki
Machida Zelvia
3-4-2-1
13 T. Morita
24 Kim Min-Tae
50 D. Okamura
5 I. Drešević
88 H. Nakamura
23 R. Shirasaki
18 H. Shimoda
34 Futa Tokumura
20 T. Nishimura
8 K. Sento
15 M. Duke
Coach · G. Kuroda
Substitutes
33 · T. Akimoto
89 · N. Guimaraes
31 · N. Lavi
16 · H. Mae
6 · H. Mochizuki
9 · Koki Ogawa
3 · G. Shōji
7 · Y. Soma
1 · K. Tani
99 · T. Yengi
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Tampines Rovers
5-4-1
24 S. Buhari
26 T. Yoshimoto
6 J. Mahler
71 Irfan Fandi
33 S. Sumi
11 S. Yokoyama
25 H. Higashikawa
49 Y. Kobayashi
8 S. Shahiran
88 K. Kazama
9 Y. Furusawa
Coach · N. Nasir
Substitutes
23 · I. Najeeb
52 · Jarec Ng
81 · Y. Kimura
5 · A. Adli
17 · A. Haikal
16 · D. Fox
10 · F. Ramli
28 · Z. Rohaizad
2 · R. Suhaimi
18 · K. Yamazaki
Machida Zelvia
3-4-2-1
13 T. Morita
24 Kim Min-Tae
50 D. Okamura
5 I. Drešević
88 H. Nakamura
23 R. Shirasaki
18 H. Shimoda
34 Futa Tokumura
20 T. Nishimura
8 K. Sento
15 M. Duke
Coach · G. Kuroda
Substitutes
33 · T. Akimoto
89 · N. Guimaraes
31 · N. Lavi
16 · H. Mae
6 · H. Mochizuki
9 · Koki Ogawa
3 · G. Shōji
7 · Y. Soma
1 · K. Tani
99 · T. Yengi
We make Machida Zelvia a 74% chance to win. The market has them at 70%. We are 3 points more confident than the market. The model expects 0.7–2.3.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 70% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tampines Rovers win | 9% | 11% | −2 |
| Draw | 17% | 19% | −2 |
| Machida Zelvia win | 74% | 70% | +3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 58% | 0 |
| Both teams to score | 45% | 48% | −3 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% | 80% | +1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36% | 39% | −4 |
| Tampines Rovers or draw | 26% | 30% | −3 |
| Tampines Rovers clean sheet | 10% | – | – |
| Machida Zelvia clean sheet | 50% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2021No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · AFC Champions League Two this season · since 17 Sept
TAMPINES ROVERS
MACHIDA ZELVIA
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Machida Zelvia | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 2 | Shanghai Shenhua | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 3 | Tampines Rovers | 1 | −1 | 0 |
| 4 | Svay Rieng | 1 | −2 | 0 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Shanghai Shenhua
Svay Rieng