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Svay Rieng v Shanghai Shenhua
Svay Rieng
Shanghai ShenhuaAFC Champions League Two · THU 15 OCT · Morodok Techo National Stadium
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Shanghai Shenhua win at 50%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Shanghai Shenhua 50% before kick-off, 50% now. 0–0 · 28–21–50
- 1′KICK-OFF Svay Rieng v Shanghai Shenhua
- 10′🟨 YELLOW · 9' Svay Rieng
- 14′SUBSTITUTION · 12' Shanghai Shenhua · On: Xie Pengfei · Off: Luis Asue
- 39′SUBSTITUTION · 38' Shanghai Shenhua · On: Rafael Ratão · Off: Liu Chengyu
- 45′HALF-TIME Svay Rieng 0–0 Shanghai Shenhua
- 46′SECOND HALF Svay Rieng 0–0 Shanghai Shenhua
- 48′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 48' Shanghai Shenhua win: 50% at kick-off, 40% now
- 53′We said Shanghai Shenhua at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 38%. 0–0 · 25–37–38
- 55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 3.6 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 25–38–37
- 56′Svay Rieng have had 9 attempts to 4 and it is still 0–0. 0–0 · 24–39–37
- 56′🟨 YELLOW · 54' Visal Soeuy · Svay Rieng
- 56′SUBSTITUTION · 55' Svay Rieng · On: Breninho · Off: Visal Soeuy
- 59′THE CALL SWINGS · 59' Draw is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Shanghai Shenhua win 35%)
- 60′SUBSTITUTION · 58' Shanghai Shenhua · On: Wilson Manafá · Off: Yang Zexiang
- 60′SUBSTITUTION · 58' Shanghai Shenhua · On: João Teixeira · Off: Wang Haijian
- 61′We said Shanghai Shenhua at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 23–43–34
- 66′🟨 YELLOW · 63' Jin Shunkai · Shanghai Shenhua
- 68′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 68' Shanghai Shenhua win: 50% at kick-off, 30% now
- 69′We said Shanghai Shenhua at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 20–51–29
- 69′🟨 YELLOW · 68' Johannes Tartarotti · Svay Rieng
- 71′12 shots for Svay Rieng, 5 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 0–0 · 19–54–27
- 75′We said Shanghai Shenhua at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 17–60–24
- 75′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Svay Rieng · On: Sosidan Nhean · Off: Sylvester van de Water
- 75′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Svay Rieng · On: Martins Júnior · Off: Johannes Tartarotti
- 75′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Svay Rieng · On: Mateus Barbosa · Off: Tiago Alves
- 76′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Shanghai Shenhua · On: Han Jiawen · Off: Wu Xi
- 76′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Shanghai Shenhua · On: Yang Haoyu · Off: Xu Haoyang
- 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 78' Shanghai Shenhua win: 50% at kick-off, 20% now
- 79′We said Shanghai Shenhua at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 13–68–19
- 83′We said Shanghai Shenhua at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 13%. 0–0 · 10–77–13
- 85′🟨 YELLOW · 82' Mateus Barbosa · Svay Rieng
- 85′🟨 YELLOW · 83' Wilson Manafá · Shanghai Shenhua
- 86′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 86' Shanghai Shenhua win: 50% at kick-off, 10% now
- 86′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Svay Rieng · On: Ratanak Min · Off: Connor Shields
- 87′We said Shanghai Shenhua at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 7–84–9
- 90′16 shots for Svay Rieng, 7 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 0–0 · 5–89–6
- 92′We said Shanghai Shenhua at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 3–92–4
- FTFULL TIME Svay Rieng 0–0 Shanghai Shenhua
- FTSvay Rieng 0–0 Shanghai Shenhua · Shanghai Shenhua win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–2 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassShanghai Shenhua are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Svay Rieng 28%, draw 22%, Shanghai Shenhua 50%. Over 2.5 goals 70%, both teams to score 69%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 9 Oct 07:15 · locked at kick-off
Svay Rieng win28%
Shanghai Shenhua win50%Kick-offTHU 15 OCT · 13:15
RoundGroup stage · matchday 2
VenueMorodok Techo National Stadium
RefereeAli Al-Achkar
Match timeline
All events
Svay RiengMIN
Shanghai ShenhuaEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Svay Rieng
4-2-3-1
Shanghai Shenhua
4-3-1-2
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Svay Rieng
Shanghai Shenhua
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Svay Rieng
4-2-3-1
27 Vireak Dara
4 F. Hammouti
61 Takashi Odawara
5 Soeuy Visal
3 T. Ose
6 Rui Pires
97 Connor Shields
96 Sylvester van de Water
37 J. Tartarotti
7 Tiago Alves
46 Kwame Peprah
Coach · Matthew McConkey
Substitutes
8 · Breno Caetano
2 · Barbosa
35 · D. Sophal
30 · Ofufu Ibeh
28 · R. Fujii
25 · Chou Sinti
21 · Juninho Maranhense
18 · Aim Sovannarath
11 · Min Ratanak
10 · Nhean Sosidan
9 · Sieng Chanthea
1 · Hankhun Sang
Shanghai Shenhua
4-3-1-2
24 Ma Zhen
16 Yang Zexiang
3 Jin Shunkai
26 Yang Shuai
27 Chan Shinichi
17 Gao Tianyi
33 Wang Haijian
15 Wu Xi
21 Xu Haoyang
19 Luís Asué
18 Liu Chengyu
Coach · V. Milojević
Substitutes
1 · Xue Qinghao
2 · Wang Shilong
4 · Jiang Shenglong
5 · Zhu Chenjie
9 · Rafael Ratão
10 · João Teixeira
13 · Wilson Manafá
30 · Xie Pengfei
38 · Wu Qipeng
43 · Yang Haoyu
45 · Han Jiawen
50 · Jiang Zhicheng
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Svay Rieng
4-2-3-1
27 Vireak Dara
4 F. Hammouti
61 Takashi Odawara
5 Soeuy Visal
3 T. Ose
6 Rui Pires
97 Connor Shields
96 Sylvester van de Water
37 J. Tartarotti
7 Tiago Alves
46 Kwame Peprah
Coach · Matthew McConkey
Substitutes
8 · Breno Caetano
2 · Barbosa
35 · D. Sophal
30 · Ofufu Ibeh
28 · R. Fujii
25 · Chou Sinti
21 · Juninho Maranhense
18 · Aim Sovannarath
11 · Min Ratanak
10 · Nhean Sosidan
9 · Sieng Chanthea
1 · Hankhun Sang
Shanghai Shenhua
4-3-1-2
24 Ma Zhen
16 Yang Zexiang
3 Jin Shunkai
26 Yang Shuai
27 Chan Shinichi
17 Gao Tianyi
33 Wang Haijian
15 Wu Xi
21 Xu Haoyang
19 Luís Asué
18 Liu Chengyu
Coach · V. Milojević
Substitutes
1 · Xue Qinghao
2 · Wang Shilong
4 · Jiang Shenglong
5 · Zhu Chenjie
9 · Rafael Ratão
10 · João Teixeira
13 · Wilson Manafá
30 · Xie Pengfei
38 · Wu Qipeng
43 · Yang Haoyu
45 · Han Jiawen
50 · Jiang Zhicheng
We make Shanghai Shenhua a 50% chance to win. The market has them at 56%. We are 6 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.5–2.1.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 42%, 50% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 56% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Svay Rieng win | 28% | 20% | +8 |
| Draw | 22% | 23% | −2 |
| Shanghai Shenhua win | 50% | 56% | −6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 59% | +10 |
| Both teams to score | 69% | 59% | +10 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 88% | 80% | +7 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 48% | 39% | +9 |
| Svay Rieng or draw | 50% | 44% | +6 |
| Svay Rieng clean sheet | 13% | – | – |
| Shanghai Shenhua clean sheet | 22% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2021/22No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · AFC Champions League Two this season · since 17 Sept
SVAY RIENG
SHANGHAI SHENHUA
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Machida Zelvia | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 2 | Shanghai Shenhua | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 3 | Tampines Rovers | 1 | −1 | 0 |
| 4 | Svay Rieng | 1 | −2 | 0 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Machida Zelvia
Tampines Rovers