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Shanghai Shenhua v Machida Zelvia

Shanghai Shenhua
12:15Upcoming
Machida Zelvia

AFC Champions League Two · THU 29 OCT · Shanghai Stadium

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Shanghai ShenhuaDrawMachida Zelvia
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 12:15
Before kick-off · Match result · Machida Zelvia 57%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Machida Zelvia are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Shanghai Shenhua 19%, draw 24%, Machida Zelvia 57%. Over 2.5 goals 51%, both teams to score 51%.

The AI’s read on Shanghai Shenhua v Machida ZelviaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 23 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Shanghai Shenhua win19%
Draw24%
Machida Zelvia win57%

Kick-offTHU 29 OCT · 12:15

RoundGroup stage · matchday 3

VenueShanghai Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Shanghai Shenhua

Machida Zelvia

5Days since last match5

Last match: 24 Oct · the Chinese Super League

Last match: 24 Oct · J1 League

3Matches in previous 14 days4

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27 · Group G

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
1Machida Zelvia2+36
2Shanghai Shenhua2+14

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · machida zelvia winFirst published 23 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
57% The market–
Us57%

We make Machida Zelvia a 57% chance to win. The model expects 0.9–1.8, and 0–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Shanghai Shenhua v Machida Zelvia0.93 – 1.78
Form · AFC Champions League Two this season · since 17 SeptW1 D1 L0 · W2 D0 L0
Table places · points 4 v 62 v 1

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Shanghai Shenhua win19%––
Draw24%––
Machida Zelvia win57%––
Over 2.5 goals51%––
Both teams to score51%––
Over 1.5 goals76%––
Over 3.5 goals29%––
Shanghai Shenhua or draw43%––
Shanghai Shenhua clean sheet17%––
Machida Zelvia clean sheet39%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–1 at 11.4%
0123450 7.0 11.4 10.5 6.2 2.8 1 5.8 11.4 9.8 5.8 2.6 2 2.9 5.1 4.6 2.7 3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Shanghai Shenhua down, Machida Zelvia across0–5 goals a side shown (99.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2021/22
Goals a meeting2.00
Over 2.50 of 1
Both scored0 of 1
Last meetingsSHA 0–2 MAC

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · AFC Champions League Two this season · since 17 Sept

SHANGHAI SHENHUA

WD2–1 · 0–0

MACHIDA ZELVIA

WW2–0 · 1–0

The table

2026/27 · Group G
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Machida Zelvia2+36
2Shanghai Shenhua2+14
3Svay Rieng2−21
4Tampines Rovers2−20

The competition's standings before kick-off.