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Persib Bandung v Viettel

Persib Bandung
1–0Full time
Viettel

AFC Champions League Two · WED 14 OCT · Jalak Harupat Soreang Stadium

Full timeGraded 14 Oct 16:01
Persib Bandung 1–0 Viettel PERSIB BANDUNG WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · RIGHT
We said Persib Bandung win47%
The market said58%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.417
The market’s Brier score0.264

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay9 notes · 29 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Persib Bandung win at 47%.
  2. 1′KICK-OFF Persib Bandung v Viettel
  3. 2′Much as we predicted: Persib Bandung was 47% before kick-off and our model makes it 47% now. 0–0 · 47–29–24
  4. 41′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 41' Persib Bandung win: 47% at kick-off, 37% now
  5. 41′THE CALL SWINGS · 41' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Persib Bandung win 37%)
  6. 45′Mariano Peralta Bauer scores for Persib Bandung on 45′ — 0–0. 0–0 · 36–44–20
  7. 45′We published Persib Bandung at 47%. Our model now makes it 80%. 1–0 · 80–16–4
  8. 45′Goals are coming at about the 2.2 we expected. 1–0 · 80–16–4
  9. 45′🟨 YELLOW · 44' rimario gordon · Viettel
  10. 45′🟨 YELLOW · 44' Thom Haye · Persib Bandung
  11. 45′⚽ GOAL · 45' Persib Bandung 1–0 Viettel · Mariano Peralta Bauer
  12. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Persib Bandung win: 47% at kick-off, 80% now
  13. 45′THE CALL SWINGS · 45' Persib Bandung win is now our likeliest result at 80% (was Draw 16%)
  14. 45′HALF-TIME Persib Bandung 1–0 Viettel
  15. 45′🟨 YELLOW · 44' R. Gordon · Viettel
  16. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Viettel · On: Junior Brandão · Off: rimario gordon
  17. 46′SECOND HALF Persib Bandung 1–0 Viettel
  18. 47′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Persib Bandung · On: Patricio Matricardi · Off: Kakang Rudianto
  19. 56′🟨 YELLOW · 48' Paulinho Curuá · Viettel
  20. 56′🟨 YELLOW · 55' Văn Tú Nguyễn · Viettel
  21. 60′🟨 YELLOW · 59' Marc Klok · Persib Bandung
  22. 62′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Viettel · On: Duc Hoang Minh Nguyen · Off: Trieu Viet Hung Corrected
  23. 62′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Viettel · On: Nhật Nam Lê Quốc · Off: Văn Tú Nguyễn Corrected
  24. 65′We published Persib Bandung at 47%. Our model now makes it 85%. 1–0 · 85–14–2
  25. 69′A red card for Viettel on 67′. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 1–0 · 86–12–1
  26. 69′🟥 RED CARD · 67' Paulinho Curuá · Viettel
  27. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Persib Bandung · On: Luka Menalo · Off: Berguinho da Silva
  28. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Persib Bandung · On: Adam Alis Setyano · Off: Luciano Guaycochea
  29. 70′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Persib Bandung · On: Balsa Sekulic · Off: Mariano Peralta Bauer
  30. 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 70' Persib Bandung win: 47% at kick-off, 87% now
  31. 75′Persib Bandung are down to ten from 74′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 1–0 · 89–10–1
  32. 75′🟥 RED CARD · 74' Marc Klok · Persib Bandung
  33. 76′We published Persib Bandung at 47%. Our model now makes it 90%. 1–0 · 90–10–1
  34. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Viettel · On: Hernandes Rodrigues da Silva · Off: Khuat Van Khang
  35. 84′We published Persib Bandung at 47%. Our model now makes it 95%. 1–0 · 95–5–0
  36. 88′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Viettel · On: Danh Trung Tran · Off: Viet Tu Dinh
  37. 89′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 89' Persib Bandung win: 47% at kick-off, 97% now
  38. 90′SUBSTITUTION · 90' Persib Bandung · On: Danijel Lončar · Off: Ikhwan Tanamal
  39. FTFULL TIME Persib Bandung 1–0 Viettel
  40. FTPersib Bandung 1–0 Viettel · Persib Bandung win: right · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.

AI match analysis

Pass
Example · Everton v Chelsea · written before kick-off

Chelsea are slight favourites, but Everton are close behind.

Chelsea are our model’s narrow favourites at 38%, with Everton at 35% and the draw at 27%. Chelsea remain below an even chance: this is a slight lean towards the visitors, not a strong likelihood.

Everton are at home and unbeaten in the 2026/27 Premier League: two wins and four draws from six matches, earning 10 points, scoring eight and conceding five.

The AI’s read on Persib Bandung v ViettelBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

Published 14 Oct 12:31 · locked at kick-off

Persib Bandung win47%
Draw29%
Viettel win24%

Kick-offWED 14 OCT · 13:15

VenueJalak Harupat Soreang Stadium

Line-ups

Persib Bandung

3-5-1-1

Viettel

3-4-3

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Persib Bandung

Viettel

28Days since last match28
0Matches in previous 14 days0

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#TEAMPGDPTS
2Persib Bandung113
3Viettel101

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Persib Bandung

3-5-1-1

14 T. Paku Alam

5 K. Rudianto

4 Júlio César

6 S. Walsh

2 E. Reijnders

8 L. Guaycochea

23 M. Klok

33 T. Haye

40 I. Tanamal

97 Berguinho

10 M. Peralta

Coach · I. Tolić

Substitutes

19 · N. Alfaro

22 · D. Lončar

94 · Uilliam Barros Pereira

11 · D. Kusnandar

48 · P. Matricardi

9 · L. Menalo

18 · A. Alis

81 · F. Maulana

99 · B. Sekulić

30 · Rafi Rasyiq

60 · R. Syafaka

Viettel

3-4-3

28 Nguyễn Văn Việt II

2 K. Colonna

18 V. T. Nguyen

15 Lucas

13 R. Gordon

14 Paulinho Curuá

97 Triệu Việt Hưng

12 Phan Tuấn Tài

11 Khuất Văn Khang

9 Lucas Ribamar

88 Văn Tú Nguyễn

Coach · V. Popov

Substitutes

33 · Phí Minh Long

16 · Phạm Trung Hiếu

95 · Júnior Brandão

8 · Huu Thang Nguyen

10 · Hernandes

1 · Lawrence Caruso

89 · Nhật Nam Lê Quốc

22 · Hoàng Khanh Nguyễn

17 · Nguyễn Đức Hoàng Minh

20 · Dao Van Nam

6 · Trần Danh Trung

Our number · persib bandung winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · updated 14 Oct 12:31 · locked at kick-off
47% The market58%
Us47%
Market58%

We make Persib Bandung a 47% chance to win. The market has them at 58%. We are 11 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.3–0.9.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Persib Bandung v Viettel1.33 – 0.85
Last six in AFC Champions League TwoW4 D0 L2 · W3 D2 L0
Table places · points 3 v 12 v 3
The market · Persib Bandung win58% · ours 47%

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
45%50%55%60% 9 OCT 06:2114 OCT 11:00
Our probability · persib bandung win The market, margin stripped

Published at 46%, 47% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 58% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Persib Bandung win47%58%−11
Draw29%24%+5
Viettel win24%18%+6
Over 2.5 goals37%49%−12
Both teams to score43%49%−6
Over 1.5 goals65%72%−8
Over 3.5 goals18%28%−11
Persib Bandung or draw76%82%−6
Persib Bandung clean sheet43%––
Viettel clean sheet26%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 14.5%
0123450 11.7 9.2 4.1 1 14.5 13.2 5.5 2 9.9 8.5 3.6 3 4.4 3.8 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Persib Bandung down, Viettel across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No meetings between these two in AFC Champions League Two since 2021. Cup ties and meetings in other competitions are not counted here.

Form · last six in AFC Champions League Two

PERSIB BANDUNG

LWLWWW2–3 · 1–0 · 0–3 · 1–0 · 1–0 · 1–0

VIETTEL

WWWDD5–1 · 1–0 · 5–2 · 0–0 · 1–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Melbourne Victory234
2Persib Bandung113
3Viettel101
4FC Seoul2-40

The competition's standings.