Persib Bandung v Melbourne Victory prediction · AFC Champions League Two

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Persib BandungDrawMelbourne Victory

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 12:15

Before kick-off · Match result · Melbourne Victory 39%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Melbourne Victory are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Persib Bandung 30%, draw 30%, Melbourne Victory 39%. Over 2.5 goals 36%, both teams to score 43%.

The AI’s read on Persib Bandung v Melbourne VictoryBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Persib Bandung win30%

Draw30%

Melbourne Victory win39%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 12:15

RoundGroup stage · matchday 3

VenueGelora Bandung Lautan Api Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Persib Bandung

Melbourne Victory

6Days since last match4

Last match: 22 Oct · Liga 1 (Indonesia)

Last match: 24 Oct · A-League

3Matches in previous 14 days3

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · melbourne victory winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

39% The market–

Us39%

We make Melbourne Victory a 39% chance to win. The model expects 1.0–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Persib Bandung v Melbourne Victory~~0.98 – 1.15

~~Form · AFC Champions League Two this season · since 31 Aug~~W3 D0 L0 · W1 D1 L0

~~Table places · points 6 v 4~~1 v 2

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Persib Bandung win	30%	–	–
Draw	30%	–	–
Melbourne Victory win	39%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	36%	–	–
Both teams to score	43%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	63%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	17%	–	–
Persib Bandung or draw	61%	–	–
Persib Bandung clean sheet	32%	–	–
Melbourne Victory clean sheet	38%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.8%

0123450 12.3 13.3 7.9 3.0 1 11.2 13.8 7.7 3.0 2 5.7 6.5 3.8 3 2.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Persib Bandung down, Melbourne Victory across0–5 goals a side shown (99.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates the clubs of 638 leagues on one scale, from the 409,758 league, cup and continental matches of the last three years up to 24 Oct 2026: each club against its own league, and the leagues against each other through the matches between them, weighting recent matches more.

The two leagues

Persib Bandung play in Liga 1 (Indonesia), Melbourne Victory in A-League.

Venue

Allows for home advantage: Persib Bandung are at home.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2021/22.

What the model expects

0.98 goals for Persib Bandung, 1.15 for Melbourne Victory. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · AFC Champions League Two this season · since 31 Aug

PERSIB BANDUNG

WWW1–0 · 1–0 · 1–0

MELBOURNE VICTORY

DW1–1 · 3–0

The table

2026/27 · Group E

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Persib Bandung	2	+2	6
2	Melbourne Victory	2	+3	4
3	Viettel	2	−1	1
4	FC Seoul	2	−4	0

The competition's standings before kick-off.

Persib Bandung v Melbourne Victory

The match pulse

AI match analysis

Pre-match prediction

Match timeline

Line-ups

Rest & schedule

Persib Bandung

Melbourne Victory

The game in numbers

League table

Line-ups

Match statistics

Line-ups

What the number rests on

Head to head

Form · AFC Champions League Two this season · since 31 Aug

The table