Install the appInstall the appPitchside Lab · free · no ads
Pitchside Lab
Model 1.2

Home › Football › AFC Champions League Two › Nasaf v Al Kuwait

Back

Nasaf v Al Kuwait

Nasaf
13:45Upcoming
Al Kuwait

AFC Champions League Two · WED 28 OCT · Markaziy Stadium

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

NasafDrawAl Kuwait
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:45
Before kick-off · Match result · Nasaf 43%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Nasaf are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Nasaf 43%, draw 27%, Al Kuwait 30%. Over 2.5 goals 50%, both teams to score 54%.

The AI’s read on Nasaf v Al KuwaitBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Nasaf win43%
Draw27%
Al Kuwait win30%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 13:45

RoundGroup stage · matchday 3

VenueMarkaziy Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Nasaf

Al Kuwait

4Days since last match5

Last match: 24 Oct · Super League (Uzbekistan)

Last match: 23 Oct · Premier League (Kuwait)

3Matches in previous 14 days3

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27 · Group A

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
2Al Kuwait2+13
3Nasaf2−11

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · nasaf winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · updated 24 Oct 00:26 · locked at kick-off
43% The market–
Us43%

We make Nasaf a 43% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Nasaf v Al Kuwait1.48 – 1.19
Form · AFC Champions League Two this season · since 16 SeptW0 D1 L1 · W1 D0 L1
Table places · points 1 v 33 v 2

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
40%45% 22 OCT 00:0125 OCT 03:23
Our probability · Nasaf win

Our number has not moved since we published.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Nasaf win43%––
Draw27%––
Al Kuwait win30%––
Over 2.5 goals50%––
Both teams to score54%––
Over 1.5 goals75%––
Over 3.5 goals28%––
Nasaf or draw70%––
Nasaf clean sheet30%––
Al Kuwait clean sheet23%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.6%
0123450 7.4 7.9 4.9 1 9.9 12.6 7.2 2.9 2 7.6 9.0 5.4 2.1 3 3.7 4.4 2.6 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Nasaf down, Al Kuwait across0–5 goals a side shown (99.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2021/22
Goals a meeting1.50
Over 2.51 of 2
Both scored1 of 2
Last meetingsNAS 1–2 ALK · ALK 0–0 NAS

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · AFC Champions League Two this season · since 16 Sept

NASAF

DL0–0 · 1–2

AL KUWAIT

LW2–3 · 3–1

The table

2026/27 · Group A
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Al Wahda FC2+26
2Al Kuwait2+13
3Nasaf2−11
4Khalidiya2−21

The competition's standings before kick-off.