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Muharraq v Gol Gohar

Muharraq
2–0Full time
Gol Gohar

AFC Champions League Two · WED 14 OCT · Seeb Stadium

Full timeGraded 14 Oct 19:45
Muharraq 2–0 Gol Gohar MUHARRAQ WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Muharraq win43%
The market said35%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.495
The market’s Brier score0.638

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay11 notes · 26 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Muharraq win at 43%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Muharraq 43% before kick-off, 43% now. 0–0 · 43–31–27
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Muharraq v Gol Gohar
  4. 34′THE CALL SWINGS · 34' Draw is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Muharraq win 36%)
  5. 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 42' Muharraq win: 43% at kick-off, 33% now
  6. 45′🟨 YELLOW · 48' Milad Kor · Gol Gohar
  7. 45′HALF-TIME Muharraq 0–0 Gol Gohar
  8. 46′SECOND HALF Muharraq 0–0 Gol Gohar
  9. 47′We said Muharraq at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 31%. 0–0 · 31–48–21
  10. 47′🟨 YELLOW · 46' Mohammad Erfan Masoumi · Gol Gohar
  11. 49′48′ and it is 1–0: Arthur Rezende on the scoresheet for Muharraq. 1–0 · 79–17–4
  12. 49′⚽ GOAL · 48' Muharraq 1–0 Gol Gohar · Arthur Rezende
  13. 49′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 49' Muharraq win: 43% at kick-off, 79% now
  14. 49′THE CALL SWINGS · 49' Muharraq win is now our likeliest result at 79% (was Draw 17%)
  15. 50′We said Muharraq at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 1–0 · 80–17–3
  16. 51′The goal count is tracking the 2.0 we expected. 1–0 · 80–17–3
  17. 56′Gol Gohar are down to ten from 55′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 1–0 · 81–16–3
  18. 56′🟥 RED CARD · 55' Mohammad Erfan Masoumi · Gol Gohar
  19. 58′SUBSTITUTION · 58' Gol Gohar · On: Masih Zahedi · Off: Milad Kor
  20. 61′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 61' Muharraq win: 43% at kick-off, 83% now
  21. 63′🟨 YELLOW · 62' Soufiane Mahrouq · Muharraq
  22. 66′We said Muharraq at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 1–0 · 85–14–2
  23. 66′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Muharraq · On: Abdulwahab Al-Malood · Off: Mohammed Al-Hardan
  24. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Gol Gohar · On: Siamak Nemati · Off: Mojtaba Najarian
  25. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Gol Gohar · On: Mohammad. Alinejad · Off: Mohammadreza Abbasi Nasrabadi
  26. 75′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Muharraq · On: Abdulkareem Omar Madou Diara · Off: Soufiane Mahrouq
  27. 76′We said Muharraq at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 1–0 · 90–10–1
  28. 76′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Muharraq · On: Ahmed Al-Sherooqi · Off: Elliot Simoes
  29. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Gol Gohar · On: Mohammad Amin Kazemian · Off: Mehdi Goudarzi
  30. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Gol Gohar · On: Omid Alishah · Off: Majid Aliyari
  31. 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 81' Muharraq win: 43% at kick-off, 93% now
  32. 84′We said Muharraq at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 1–0 · 95–5–0
  33. 87′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Muharraq · On: A. Annan · Off: Anderson Leite
  34. 87′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Muharraq · On: Facundo Tobares · Off: Edimar Ribeiro da Costa
  35. 90′Muharraq ahead on 90′ through Facundo Tobares. 2–0. 2–0 · 100–0–0
  36. 90′We said Muharraq at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 100%. 2–0 · 100–0–0
  37. 90′⚽ GOAL · 90' Muharraq 2–0 Gol Gohar · Arthur Rezende
  38. FTFULL TIME Muharraq 2–0 Gol Gohar
  39. FTMuharraq 2–0 Gol Gohar · Muharraq win: right · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass
Example · Everton v Chelsea · written before kick-off

Chelsea are slight favourites, but Everton are close behind.

Chelsea are our model’s narrow favourites at 38%, with Everton at 35% and the draw at 27%. Chelsea remain below an even chance: this is a slight lean towards the visitors, not a strong likelihood.

Everton are at home and unbeaten in the 2026/27 Premier League: two wins and four draws from six matches, earning 10 points, scoring eight and conceding five.

The AI’s read on Muharraq v Gol GoharBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

Published 14 Oct 16:33 · locked at kick-off

Muharraq win43%
Draw31%
Gol Gohar win26%

Kick-offWED 14 OCT · 17:00

VenueSeeb Stadium

Line-ups

Muharraq

4-2-3-1

Gol Gohar

5-3-2

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Muharraq

Gol Gohar

29Days since last match29
0Matches in previous 14 days0

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#TEAMPGDPTS
3Gol Gohar101
4Muharraq1-10

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Muharraq

4-2-3-1

1 Vladan·Dekic

13 Bruno Santos

73 Ahmed Bughammar

5 Amine Benadi

25 Hasan Al Karani

8 Mohammed Al-Hardan

29 Anderson Leite

99 Elliot Simoes

80 Arthur Rezende

11 Soufiane Mahrouq

37 Edimar Ribeiro da Costa

Coach · Hélder Cristóvão

Substitutes

15 · A. Annan

18 · Husain Abdulkarim

27 · Mohamed Albanna

3 · Waleed Al-Hayyam

32 · A. Al Khalasi

10 · Abdulwahab Al Malood

7 · Ahmed Al-Sherooqi

17 · Ahmad Khaled Ali

20 · Abdulkareem Omar Madou Diara

96 · R. Kobiljar

21 · Sayed Mohamed Jaffer

9 · F. Tobares

Gol Gohar

5-3-2

97 M. Akhbari

2 M. Najarian

5 M. Kor

6 M. Masoumi

3 E. Hosseini

19 P. Ghazipour

11 M. Goudarzi

4 A. Alizadeh

99 L. Ben Hassine

20 Mohammadreza Abbasi Nasrabadi

10 M. Aliyari

Coach · M. Rahmati

Substitutes

9 · O. Alishah

8 · A. Aashouri

7 · M. Fakhrian

1 · F. Garousian

14 · A. Jafari

69 · M. Kazemian

88 · S. Nemati

76 · S. Sahraei

70 · A. Sheikholeslami

26 · M. Zahedi

60 · A. Zendehrouh

13 · M. Alinejad

Our number · muharraq winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · updated 14 Oct 16:33 · locked at kick-off
43% The market35%
Us43%
Market35%

We make Muharraq a 43% chance to win. The market has them at 35%. We are 8 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.2–0.8.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Muharraq v Gol Gohar1.16 – 0.84
Last six in AFC Champions League TwoW1 D1 L4 · W0 D1 L0
Table places · points 0 v 14 v 3
The market · Muharraq win35% · ours 43%

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
30%35%40%45% 9 OCT 06:2114 OCT 14:41
Our probability · muharraq win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 35% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Muharraq win43%35%+8
Draw31%31%0
Gol Gohar win26%34%−8
Over 2.5 goals32%45%−13
Both teams to score39%52%−12
Over 1.5 goals60%70%−10
Over 3.5 goals14%26%−12
Muharraq or draw74%66%+8
Muharraq clean sheet43%––
Gol Gohar clean sheet31%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 15.3%
0123450 14.0 11.0 4.8 1 15.3 13.6 5.5 2 9.1 7.6 3.2 3 3.5 2.9 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Muharraq down, Gol Gohar across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No meetings between these two in AFC Champions League Two since 2021. Cup ties and meetings in other competitions are not counted here.

Form · last six in AFC Champions League Two

MUHARRAQ

WLLDLL1–0 · 0–1 · 1–2 · 2–2 · 0–3 · 0–1

GOL GOHAR

D0–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Arkadag113
2Al-Jazira101
3Gol Gohar101
4Muharraq1-10

The competition's standings.