Home › Football › AFC Champions League Two › Kuching FA v Kitchee
Back

Kuching FA v Kitchee
Kuching FA
KitcheeAFC Champions League Two · THU 15 OCT · Stadium Taha Ariffin
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Kuching FA win at 67%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Kuching FA 67% before kick-off, 67% now. 0–0 · 67–20–13
- 1′KICK-OFF Kuching FA v Kitchee
- 3′We said Kuching FA at 67% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 87%. 1–0 · 87–9–4
- 3′Kuching FA score on 2′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 87–9–4
- 3′⚽ GOAL · 3' Kuching FA 1–0 Kitchee
- 3′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 3' Kuching FA win: 67% at kick-off, 87% now
- 12′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 12' Kuching FA win: 67% at kick-off, 86% now
- 14′Kitchee level it on 14′ through Everton Camargo. 1–1. 1–1 · 64–23–14
- 14′⚽ GOAL · 14' Kuching FA 1–1 Kitchee · Everton Camargo
- 14′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 14' Kuching FA win: 67% at kick-off, 64% now
- 28′🟨 YELLOW · 27' Ariff Farhan · Kuching FA
- 32′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 32' Kuching FA win: 67% at kick-off, 57% now
- 37′We said Kuching FA at 67%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 55%. 1–1 · 55–31–14
- 39′We said Kuching FA at 67%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 54%. 1–1 · 54–32–14
- 44′🟨 YELLOW · 43' Gabriel Peres · Kuching FA
- 45′HALF-TIME Kuching FA 1–1 Kitchee
- 45′SECOND HALF Kuching FA 1–1 Kitchee
- 49′We said Kuching FA at 67%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 49%. 1–1 · 49–37–14
- 49′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Kuching FA · On: Ryan Lambert · Off: Kaishu Yamazaki
- 51′The goal count is tracking the 2.8 we expected. 1–1 · 48–39–13
- 52′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 52' Kuching FA win: 67% at kick-off, 47% now
- 56′We said Kuching FA at 67%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 44%. 1–1 · 44–43–13
- 59′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Kitchee · On: Walter Soares Belitardo Júnior · Off: Kendy Renato Ikegami Leira
- 60′THE CALL SWINGS · 60' Draw is now our likeliest result at 46% (was Kuching FA win 41%)
- 63′We said Kuching FA at 67%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 1–1 · 39–49–12
- 65′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 65' Kuching FA win: 67% at kick-off, 37% now
- 65′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Kitchee · On: Lam Lok-Kan Jordan · Off: Kam Chi-Kin Jason
- 68′We said Kuching FA at 67%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 34–55–11
- 69′🟨 YELLOW · 68' Asier Illarramendi · Kitchee
- 72′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Kuching FA · On: Ahmed Israiwah · Off: Ramadhan Saifullah Usman
- 72′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Kuching FA · On: Declan Lambert · Off: Ajdin Mujagić
- 73′We said Kuching FA at 67%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–62–9
- 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 74' Kuching FA win: 67% at kick-off, 27% now
- 77′We said Kuching FA at 67%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 23%. 1–1 · 23–69–8
- 80′We said Kuching FA at 67%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–74–7
- 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 81' Kuching FA win: 67% at kick-off, 17% now
- 82′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Kuching FA · On: Safawi Rasid · Off: Dylan Wenzel-Halls
- 82′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Kitchee · On: Tan Chun-Lok · Off: Adrián Revilla Valcárcel
- 83′We said Kuching FA at 67%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–81–5
- 84′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Kuching FA · On: Gabriel Nistelrooy · Off: João Pedro da Silva Freitas Corrected
- 87′We said Kuching FA at 67%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–87–3
- 89′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 89' Kuching FA win: 67% at kick-off, 7% now
- 90′1–1 at the end. Our 67% on Kuching FA misses, and the record keeps it. 1–1 · 0–100–0
- 90′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Kuching FA · On: Gabriel Nistelrooy · Off: Jerome etame mpacko
- 92′We said Kuching FA at 67%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–94–2
- FTFULL TIME Kuching FA 1–1 Kitchee
- FTKuching FA 1–1 Kitchee · Kuching FA win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 2–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassKuching FA are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Kuching FA 67%, draw 20%, Kitchee 13%. Over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 47%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 9 Oct 07:15 · locked at kick-off
Kuching FA win67%
Kitchee win13%Kick-offTHU 15 OCT · 13:15
RoundGroup stage · matchday 2
VenueStadium Taha Ariffin
Match timeline
All events
Kuching FAMIN
KitcheeEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Kuching FA
3-4-2-1
Kitchee
4-1-4-1
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Kuching FA
Kitchee
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Kuching FA
3-4-2-1
20 Haziq Nadzli
23 A. Farhan
77 Y. Tanigawa
4 Gabriel Peres
88 K. Yamazaki
10 P. Shitembi
7 Ramadhan Saifullah Usman
22 Joao Pedro
12 D. Wenzel-Halls
11 J. Mpacko Etame
24 A. Mujagić
Coach · A. Sahak
Substitutes
1 · Haziq Aiman
55 · Shahril Sa'ari
27 · F. Anyie
3 · Rodney Celvin Akwensivie
8 · Nazmi Faiz Mansor
44 · Alif Hassan
99 · Ahmad Israiwah
21 · Declan Lambert
5 · R. Lambert
19 · Gabriel Nistelrooy
35 · J. Okwuosa
29 · Safawi Rasid
Kitchee
4-1-4-1
17 Pong Cheuk Hei
6 Jay Haddow
14 Kam Chi Kin Jason
3 Roger Riera
22 C. Beattie
10 Kendy Renato Ikegami Leira
18 Everton Camargo
15 Camarasa
5 Illarramendi
21 Koldo Obieta
9 Revilla
Coach · Iñigo Calderón
Substitutes
37 · Shing-Chun Chan
8 · Cheng Chin Lung
42 · Yiu-Hin Cheung
20 · Dudú
30 · Walter
11 · Y. Kanda
27 · Lam Jordan Lok Kan
13 · Mehmud Enikar
56 · Ma Lok Sephrey
16 · Tan Chun Lok Mark
47 · Yu Ching Wai
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Kuching FA
3-4-2-1
20 Haziq Nadzli
23 A. Farhan
77 Y. Tanigawa
4 Gabriel Peres
88 K. Yamazaki
10 P. Shitembi
7 Ramadhan Saifullah Usman
22 Joao Pedro
12 D. Wenzel-Halls
11 J. Mpacko Etame
24 A. Mujagić
Coach · A. Sahak
Substitutes
1 · Haziq Aiman
55 · Shahril Sa'ari
27 · F. Anyie
3 · Rodney Celvin Akwensivie
8 · Nazmi Faiz Mansor
44 · Alif Hassan
99 · Ahmad Israiwah
21 · Declan Lambert
5 · R. Lambert
19 · Gabriel Nistelrooy
35 · J. Okwuosa
29 · Safawi Rasid
Kitchee
4-1-4-1
17 Pong Cheuk Hei
6 Jay Haddow
14 Kam Chi Kin Jason
3 Roger Riera
22 C. Beattie
10 Kendy Renato Ikegami Leira
18 Everton Camargo
15 Camarasa
5 Illarramendi
21 Koldo Obieta
9 Revilla
Coach · Iñigo Calderón
Substitutes
37 · Shing-Chun Chan
8 · Cheng Chin Lung
42 · Yiu-Hin Cheung
20 · Dudú
30 · Walter
11 · Y. Kanda
27 · Lam Jordan Lok Kan
13 · Mehmud Enikar
56 · Ma Lok Sephrey
16 · Tan Chun Lok Mark
47 · Yu Ching Wai
We make Kuching FA a 67% chance to win. The market has them at 54%. We are 13 points more confident than the market. The model expects 2.1–0.8.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 66%, 67% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 54% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kuching FA win | 67% | 54% | +13 |
| Draw | 20% | 24% | −4 |
| Kitchee win | 13% | 22% | −9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 56% | −2 |
| Both teams to score | 47% | 57% | −9 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% | 78% | 0 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% | 35% | −4 |
| Kuching FA or draw | 87% | 78% | +9 |
| Kuching FA clean sheet | 46% | – | – |
| Kitchee clean sheet | 13% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2021/22No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · AFC Champions League Two this season · since 17 Sept
KUCHING FA
KITCHEE
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Phnom Penh Crown | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 2 | Gangwon FC | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Kitchee | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Kuching FA | 1 | −1 | 0 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Phnom Penh Crown
Gangwon FC